Champions League Tips: 11th & 12th April

Champions League Football TipsMy football betting tips are on a roll right now.

I hit 3/4 winners in the tips I posted for the weekend and I landed a 17/1 accumulator on Saturday and a 5/1 double on Sunday (both of those tips were sent out to the email list – join here for free).

Let me know if you cashed in by leaving a comment below.

Needless to say I’m hoping to continue that great run with my Champions League tips and predictions for Tuesday 11th and Wednesday 12th April.

UCL Tips: Tuesday 11th April

April 11, 2017
Borussia Dortmund
VS
AS Monaco
Westfalenstadion
7:45 pm
Borussia Dortmund Logo
Borussia Dortmund
VS
AS Monaco Logo
AS Monaco
April 11, 2017
Westfalenstadion
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • This is Dortmund’s third Champions League quarter final in five years.
  • Dortmund have won just two of their last six games at home to French visiting teams.
  • Monaco’s total of 87 league goals in their 30 games is the most in Europe.
  • Monaco are the only team to conceded 6 in a two-legged UCL tie and still progress.
  • Monaco are top of Ligue 1, with 71 points from 30 games, 3 points clear of PSG.
  • Dortmund lie 4th in the Bundesliga on 50 points from 27 games, GD +30.
Analysis:

This is a match between two attack-minded and freescoring teams. Monaco lost 3-0 in Germany to Leverkusen in the group stages of the competition, but it is fair to say that the team has improved and grown in confidence hugely since then.

It seems certain that there will be goals in this game as neither side is particularly strong defensively and Monaco do seem to have an attack at all costs attitude, which may well be their downfall against some of the stronger teams in this competition.

I fancy Dortmund to take a slender lead to France for the second leg next week here, but I do think both teams will find the net.

Dortmund to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £27.50
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April 11, 2017
Juventus
VS
Barcelona
Juventus Stadium
7:45 pm
Juventus Logo
Juventus
VS
Barcelona Logo
Barcelona
April 11, 2017
Juventus Stadium
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Juventus have won all Serie A home games this season, conceding 8 scoring 38.
  • Juve were held twice at home in the Group stage, by Lyon and Sevilla.
  • Barca overcame a 4-0 defeat to come through their previous round vs PSG.
  • Messi is now the 2nd highest Champions League goalscorer of all time on 94 goals.
  • The teams last met in the Champions League Final in Berlin in May 2015, Barca winning 3-1.
  • Last season in all competitions, Barca trio Messi, Neymar & Suarez scored 131 goals combined in all comps.
Analysis:

Ordinarily, there is no way I would back against Juventus at home, even against a side as good as Barcelona, but while Barcelona have enjoyed a relatively straightforward run up to this fixture, Juventus have been embroiled in some very tough matches, including two hard fought games against Napoli.

I feel Barcelona will have learned so much from that first leg defeat in Paris in the last round and I expect them to hit Juventus on the counter and even Juventus talented backline will feel the pace of Suarez, Neymar and Messi.

My gut feeling here is that Barcelona are catching Juventus at a good time to play them here and they will have learned from the debacle in Paris in the last round. I’m backing Barcelona to play on the counter and come away with a narrow win here.

Barcelona to win - £10 returns £28
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Champions League Predictions: Wednesday 12th April

April 12, 2017
Atletico Madrid
VS
Leicester
Vicente Calderon Stadium
7:45 pm
Atletico Madrid Logo
Atletico Madrid
VS
Leicester Logo
Leicester
April 12, 2017
Vicente Calderon Stadium
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Leicester have won 6 or their last 7 matches in all competitions.
  • Atletico hold the fourth best home record in La Liga, with 11 W, 2 D & 2 L.
  • Atletico have won five and drawn one of their last six games in all comps.
  • The teams last met in Europe in 1997 with Madrid winning 4/1 on agg.
  • Atletico have conceded just four goals in total in the Champions League this season.
  • Jamie Vardy has scored in 5 of his last 6 games.
Analysis:

The odds being offered by the bookies suggest that Leicester City are up against it here and there’s no denying that the vastly experienced Atletico Madrid, who have reached the final in two of the last three years.

Atletico are built on a rock solid defence, arguably the best in Europe while in attack the threat of French striker Antoine Griezmann is certainly going to be tough for the Foxes to deal with. However, will Atletico have had much experience of playing against the likes of Jamie Vardy in form?

I can’t go against the bookies here and it is an Atletico Madrid win for me, but I think this will be a lot closer than people are suggesting and I do fancy Leicester to perhaps nick an away goal.

Atletico Madrid to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £41
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April 12, 2017
Bayern Munich
VS
Real Madrid
Allianz Arena
7:45 pm
Bayern Munich Logo
Bayern Munich
VS
Real Madrid Logo
Real Madrid
April 12, 2017
Allianz Arena
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Both teams are top of their respective leagues.
  • Last meeting in semi-final UCL 2014, Madrid won 5-0 on agg.
  • Robert Lewandowski could miss the game through injury.
  • Madrid have scored in every game they have played this season.
  • Bayern have lost twice in the group stages of this years tournament.
  • Ronaldo is the highest ever Champions League goalscorer with 95.
Analysis:

A game that has the quality to be the final and one that may well provide the winner of the tournament come the final in June. Bayern have an excellent home record this season, undefeated in all competitions, but they come into this game on the back of a shock league defeat 1-0 away to Hoffenheim.

Real Madrid do not have the best record in Germany and Bayern will certainly be hoping to take a lead into the second leg at the Bernebeu next week. Real however have shown real resilience under Zinedine Zidane this season so that is not likely to be an easy prospect.

My gut feeling here is that Bayern will edge this one, but it will be a close run thing and I do expect both teams to find the net.

Bayern Munich to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £33
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the Cheeky Punter

the Cheeky Punter

The Cheeky Punter is an professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.
simson
April 10, 2017

Nice prediction, cant wait for the game to kick off.

    the Cheeky Punter
    April 12, 2017

    Barcelona had a shocker last night but with three more games to come tonight I’m still feeling like we can make a profit overall. I really like all the three tips that remain and am expecting some seriously good matches.

My Picks
Nyasha
April 10, 2017

Dortmund vs Monaco—Both Teams To Score + over 2.5
Atletico Madrid vs Leicester—HalfTime Draw

    the Cheeky Punter
    April 12, 2017

    Like the Dortmund v Monaco bet… the Madrid v Leicester bet I’m not so keen on. Leicester shipped 4 goals at the weekend and have been conceding quite freely of late, I think they’ll struggle tonight but might well nick one on the breakaway.

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