Home > Tips > Champions League Tips: April 18th & 19th
Champions League Tips: April 18th & 19th
by the Cheeky Punter
The football action is coming thick and fast right now and there’s now slowing down with Champions League quarter finals playing out on Tuesday and Wednesday this week.
I’ve got betting tips for all four fixtures and I’ll be sending out any additional bets I make to the email list. You can jump on that at the bottom of this page using the sign up form, it’s totally free and you’ll get all my bets and my accumulators as well.
Football Tips: Tuesday 18th April
April 18, 2017
King Power Stadium
April 18, 2017
King Power Stadium
Atletico Madrid take a narrow 1-0 lead into this game following the first leg six days ago.
Leicester will be without the suspended Robert Huth, but Wes Morgan should be back.
Atletico won 3-0 at the weekend, Leicester drew 2-2 with Crystal Palace.
Only Bayern (1-0) have beaten Atletico away in the Champions League this season.
Leicester City have won all four of their home Champions League games.
Leicester have never beaten Atletico in five attempts in Europe, home or away.
Leicester’s fine performance in Spain and the fact that they only lost to a highly dubious penalty decision, which clearly occurred outside the penalty area, means the bookmakers have shortened the odds on a Foxes win considerably, although Atletico remain the hot favourites to progress and to get a result on the night.
Atletico’s performances on the road in Europe have been the cornerstone of their success. Only Bayern Munich have beaten them this season and that by a narrow 1-0 scoreline. However, can the directness of Vardy and the guile of Mahrez be the difference for Leicester on the night as it was against Sevilla in the Round of 16?
My gut feeling here is that Leicester may grab a single goal here, but I think Atletico will calm their nerves by also finding the net. As such, I think the draw is a solid choice here.
Real Madrid have lost just once at the Bernebeu in all competitions this season.
Bayern have defeated Real Madrid in Madrid twice in eight matches since 2001.
Pepe, Rafael Varane and Gareth Bale are out for the tie.
Mats Hummels and Jerome Boateng face late fitness tests.
Javi Martinez of Bayern Munich is suspended after receiving a red card in the first leg.
Ronaldo became the first player to score 100 Champions League goals with his double against Bayern in the first leg
Bayern’s chances of an upset look slim, but if they can see key players return to fitness, notably their two central defenders Hummels and Boateng, alongside Lewandowski in attack, then the German side could have the firepower to cause an upset.
However, that would be a long shot given Madrid’s hugely impressive home form this season, although Zidane’s side will be considerably weaker given their own injury list which means Gareth Bale will miss out, along with Pepe and Varane in defence.
Arturo Vidal’s missed penalty on half time turned the game on its head in the first leg and I think Real Madrid with home advantage will not let such an opportunity go to waste. This will be close and I can’t see it being a game with too many goals, but I am backing Real to finish the job here.
Juventus lead the tie after a stunning 3-0 in the first leg eight days ago.
H2H all time record - Juventus 5, Barcelona 4, Draw 2.
Juventus knocked Barca out in 2003 winning 2-1 AET at the Nou Camp.
In 147 European games, Juve GK Buffon has conceded 3 or more goals just 8 times.
If Barca win, they'll match Bayern's 16 successive home wins in the Champions League
Both teams should be at full strength for Wednesday night’s clash.
Can Barcelona complete another stunning comeback from a first leg thumping to progress into the semi finals? Juventus 3-0 lead from the first leg is big enough but ally that to an outstanding defence and the world’s best goalkeeper of the last 15 years and Barcelona’s task looks all the more difficult.
Still, an early goal for the home side would certainly cause consternation for Juventus, although it is notable that this Juventus team is markedly more experienced and perhaps better suited to playing on the counter attack than PSG were in the last round.
I do think Barcelona will win the game but I don’t think they will progress as I think Juve will play it very cagey and catch Barcelona on the break and make them pay in the way that PSG should have done, but failed to do.
Monaco hold a 3-2 lead over Dortmund from the first leg.
Monaco have netted an incredible 90 goals in the Ligue 1 this season.
Dortmund will be without Marc Bartra, who was injured in the bomb attack.
Fabinho is suspended for Monaco.
Dortmund have won only one of their last six games played in France.
Monaco have won five of their six home games in the 2016/2017 Champions League.
After the horrific bomb attack on the Dortmund coach saw the first leg delayed by 24 hours and thankfully no serious injuries, Monaco took advantage with a fine performance to take a 3-2 lead into the second leg at the King Louis II stadium.
Both sides are notable for being attack minded and like the first leg, this is a game that I can see having goals at both ends and although Monaco hold an advantage, I can see Dortmund scoring at least once, if not twice.
The problem the German side has is that I can also see Monaco doing likewise and my money is on the French side securing a deserved semi final spot.
The Cheeky Punter is an professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.