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Boxing Day Football Tips: 26th December

Premier League TipsWell, after a run of fantastic weeks of profit, the last couple have been a bit of a disappointment with just a £2 profit followed by a loss of £13 last weekend.

Neither of those results were the end of the world but I want to do better.

We now move onto Boxing Day with a full set of ten games to be played across two days, including the big game at the King Power as Leicester City take on the new World Club Champions Liverpool in what could be a pivotal game in the Premier League.

There’s another huge clash at Old Trafford as Manchester United face Newcastle, while Tottenham and Brighton will get the ball rolling at the Tottenham Stadium in the opening game of the day. The round of games finishes on the 27th with Manchester City facing a very tricky looking trip to Wolves on Friday.

All that remains is for me to hope that you have had a good Christmas and that this set of tips will kick us back into healthy profit ahead of the final set of tips of the year coming up at the weekend.

Boxing Day Tips: Thursday 26th December

December 26, 2019
Aston Villa
VS
Norwich City
Villa Park
3:00 pm
Aston Villa Logo
Aston Villa
VS
Norwich City Logo
Norwich City
December 26, 2019
Villa Park
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Villa have lost all their last four in the EPL to drop to 18th in the table.
  • Norwich have drawn two of their last four and lie 19th in the EPL.
  • The last ten games between the teams has seen 5 wins apiece.
  • Villa hammered Norwich 5-1 when the teams met earlier in the season.
Analysis:

Ordinarily, when one team has thrashed their opponent 5-1 away from home earlier in the season, the chances of me then backing the loser of that game to win the return is slim, but having watched these two teams over the last few weeks, while both have struggled, it appears to me as if Norwich are starting to come to terms with more with life in the Premier League than Villa.

That injury to Villa’s key midfielder John McGinn is also a massive blow for the home side here and Norwich have produced some decent performances on the road of late. Notably, the Canaries have struggled more against teams around them in the table and that could be the case here as it was in the first game between the teams.

However, I think Norwich are probably more dangerous on the road against these teams and I have seen little from Villa to suggest they are capable of another stellar performance and big win here. Recent history between the teams is also very close and although you can make a case for any result here, I do feel Norwich could spring a surprise in a game where I feel both teams will find the net.

Norwich City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £48.00
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December 26, 2019
Crystal Palace
VS
West Ham
Selhurt Park
3:00 pm
Crystal Palace Logo
Crystal Palace
VS
West Ham Logo
West Ham
December 26, 2019
Selhurt Park
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Two wins in a row has seen Palace move up to 12th in the table on 23 points.
  • West Ham didn’t play last weekend which dropped them down to 16th in the table.
  • Palace have won just one of the last nine between the team. A 2-1 win in October.
  • Nine of the last 11 games between these teams have seen both teams score.
Analysis:

The stats seem to favour Crystal Palace here. The Eagles beat West Ham at home when the two teams met earlier in the season in October, their recent form is better than their London rivals and of course, they have the advantage of playing at home.

But having said that, I think a big positive for West Ham is that they have had a rest heading into this game with their match with Liverpool postponed at the weekend. At this stage of the season, those extra few days of rest and preparation are absolutely vital for teams in what is a hectic and demanding period of the season.

History tends to suggest West Ham have the better of these games, especially of late, and while Palace’s form is erratic, West Ham’s is generally poorer than the Eagles and as such, I am not fully convinced they will do enough to gain the win. As such, I can see both teams scoring as usually happens in this game but I feel a draw is the most likely outcome on balance of probabilities.

Draw & both teams to score - £10 returns £45.00
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December 26, 2019
Man Utd
VS
Newcastle United
Old Trafford
5:30 pm
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
VS
Newcastle United Logo
Newcastle United
December 26, 2019
Old Trafford
5:30 pm
Key Stats
  • The Red Devil’s defeat at Watford saw them drop to 8th in the table.
  • Newcastle lie 9th and have the same number of points as Man Utd.
  • Newcastle’s last win at Old Trafford was a 1-0 win back in December 2013.
  • Man Utd have won 9 of the last 14 between the teams, Newcastle winning just 3.
Analysis:

Consistency has not been the byword for Man Utd this season, as just a fortnight after beating Man City away, they lost on the road to bottom club Watford. Solskjaer’s team have generally been decent at home this season but they face a Newcastle side that have picked up some very good wins on the road already this year, notably against Tottenham and Sheffield United.

Steve Bruce has done a great job and their latest win moved them level on points with their hosts today and they now lie just one place below them in the table. It is a big ask for Newcastle to get the win here, especially with some key players out injured in the attacking third, although Miguel Almiron breaking his goal duck last weekend was a big moment for the Paraguayan.

However, while I can see Newcastle scoring once, I feel the home side need a big result after drawing at home to Everton and then losing at Watford. That is not good enough for United and the manager will expect a big performance from his team on Boxing Day and I do feel Man Utd have enough quality to deliver the win.

Man Utd to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £31.00
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December 26, 2019
Leicester
VS
Liverpool
King Power
8:00 pm
Leicester Logo
Leicester
VS
Liverpool Logo
Liverpool
December 26, 2019
King Power
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Leicester come into the game having picked up one point from the last 6 available.
  • Liverpool remain top by 10 points, but now also have a game in hand on the Foxes.
  • Leicester have won three of the last 17 games between the teams. (4 Draws).
  • Liverpool come into the game crowned as the new FIFA Club World Champions.
Analysis:

This game is now a must win for Leicester. Held at home by Norwich and beaten by Manchester City, the Foxes now lie 10 points behind Liverpool, with Liverpool also having a game in hand. A win for Liverpool here would move them 13 points ahead of Leicester which would be 16 with their game in hand and that would be a gap likely far too big to bridge over the remainder of the season.

There’s no doubt that this Leicester team can beat Liverpool, but in truth, they have tended to give the Reds more problems at Anfield than at home in recent years and I can see this game being similar. The one thing that may play an issue here is the extra travelling Liverpool have had to endure in winning the FIFA Club World Cup.

However, Jurgen Klopp’s men have shown no weaknesses so far this season in terms of physical power and mentality and although this is a big game for the Reds, I feel that the experience of last season when they didn’t perform in key games is showing through and as such, I am backing the visitors to once again clinch a narrow and potentially decisive victory here.

Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £36.00
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Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter