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Champions League Tips: 16th & 17th April
by David Lenton
We have been so close on a number of these tips articles and last week in the Champions League we hit a bumper return with three out of the four games landing.
Then we also managed to keep the run going at the weekend ending £47 in profit from £10 stakes.
As you know, I never give any guarantees with my tips but that doesn’t mean I don’t enjoy it when I get things right!
We’re back this week with the four Champions League quarter-final second leg ties this week. On Tuesday night we have the reverse of the games played last Wednesday night while on Wednesday, the two games that took place on Tuesday last week, involving three of the Premier League sides, will come to their conclusion.
Here’s how I see the games panning out this week. As with last week’s matches, all games kick off at 8pm BST.
Champions League Tips: Tuesday 16th April
April 16, 2019
April 16, 2019
Barcelona head into the game with a narrow 1-0 lead from the first leg thanks to an own goal from left back Luke Shaw who deflected Luis Suarez’s header into the net.
Barcelona have not lost a Champions League game on home soil since May 2013, their unbeaten record now stretches to 30 CL games unbeaten at the Nou Camp.
Manchester United have never beaten Barcelona in the Nou Camp and have lost on four of their six visits, drawing the other two.
Man Utd will be without the suspended Luke Shaw for the game. Barcelona have no players suspended for this game and a relatively healthy squad to select from.
Barcelona did not play all that well against Manchester United at Old Trafford but still emerged with a 1-0 win to put themselves in a strong position in the second leg. However, it should be remembered that PSG took a 2-0 lead with them from the Old Trafford tie and still managed to get knocked out in front of their home fans.
That win for United was arguably their biggest in many years but a similar result here would eclipse that and have Ole Gunnar Solskjaer lifted to legendary status already. However, United have lost four of their last six and a fortunate win over West Ham on Saturday night was hardly top preparation for this game.
Barcelona rested key men in their game at the weekend heading into this game and as such, they should not be too tired and I think they’ll want to put in a good display at home, after coming in for a little criticism in the English press as to how ordinarily they played at Old Trafford.
I’m backing Lionel Messi, with Luke Shaw suspended, to have much more freedom on home soil and I think as a result, Barcelona should win this game by a 2-0 scoreline.
Ronaldo gave Juventus the lead in Amsterdam but a lovely David Neres strike in the second half brought the home side level.
Ajax have never won against Juventus in Italy. In the five games against Juventus in Turin, they have lost three and drawn two.
Ajax last reached the quarterfinals back in the 1996/97 season when they were knocked out of the competition at the hands of Juventus.
Ajax have young Argentinean defender Jose Tagliafico suspended for this game, Juventus however have no players suspended for the match.
This was an intriguing first leg tie and while Juventus will be satisfied with an away goal and level pegging heading into the second leg, I don’t think Ajax will be too disappointed either after they showed they can get at the Italian side.
Juventus rested some key players in their rare Serie A defeat at the weekend to ensure they would be ready for this game, which is a sensible move given that they have all but wrapped up the league title in Italy. Ajax played a full strength first team and were rewarded with a strong win over Excelsior, winning 6-2 at home.
After beating Real Madrid 4-1 in the Bernebeu, Ajax won’t be fazed by the trip to Italy but I think defensively, Juventus won’t afford Ajax the time and opportunity to hurt them that Real did and as such, I do think the Italian side will secure the win.
I can’t see it being by a huge margin. Ajax have proved they are classy operators in this company but I still feel Ronaldo and co will do enough to secure a win on the night either by a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline in order to progress.
Juventus to win to nil - £10 returns £28.00
Football Tips: Wednesday 17th April
April 17, 2019
April 17, 2019
A cleverly executed strike from Hyeong Min Son handed Tottenham a deserved 1-0 lead from the first leg. Sergio Aguero missed a first half penalty for Manchester City.
Neither side has any players suspended from the first leg, but Spurs will be without the injured striker Harry Kane who picked up an ankle injury in the game.
Tottenham won the Premier League fixture played between the teams earlier this season, winning 1-0 when Tottenham were playing their home games at Wembley.
A goal for Tottenham on the night would mean Manchester City would need three or more to win the game. Spurs last win in Manchester was in February 2016 (a 1-2 victory).
The drama at the Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium came in both halves with Sergio Aguero’s penalty miss now looking a real worry for Manchester City as they trail this game thanks to Son’s well-taken striker. In truth, it was less than Tottenham deserved after they dominated the game and were the better team on the evening.
City’s challenging on five fronts does seem to be catching up with them a little in recent weeks and I think this game is going to be a real challenge for them. I can see them winning the game – their home record is outstanding, but they have shown they can concede in Europe too, Lyon bagged a win at the Etihad in the Group Stage and I think Spurs are a better team than the French outfit.
Spurs are hampered by another injury to Harry Kane but in his absence Lucas Moura netted a hattrick at the weekend and with Son in a more advanced role, Spurs have the quality, I feel,to grab a goal here and that would leave City needing three to win the tie.
City can get three against Spurs but could they do that on a night in the middle of a busy schedule and with a crucial Premier League game away to Manchester United on the horizon? It is a huge ask, and one I think they will rise to. I am expecting plenty of drama and a 3-1 win for City which should see them progress into the semifinals.
Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £28.00
Liverpool earned a solid 2-0 win over Porto in the first leg thanks to early goals from a deflected Keita shot and a well worked tap in for Firmino.
Liverpool welcome back left back Andy Robertson who was suspended from the first game with James Milner deputising at full back in the first leg.
Porto also have no players suspended, but they have three in danger of missing the semi final if they qualify including Eder Militao and Danilo.
The Reds have won one and drawn two of their games in Porto, their win coming last season in a 5-0 drubbing of the home side at the Estadio di Dragao.
Although Liverpool were 2-0 winners in the first leg last week at Anfield, FC Porto showed enough to suggest that they will be a tougher proposition at home. Indeed, had they been a little more clinical in front of goal on the night, then they may well have had an away goal to their name, which would have made this second leg a great deal more difficult for the Reds.
As it stands FC Porto need to beat Liverpool by three goals in order to qualify and a 2-0 win will force extra time. In truth, with FC Porto being likely to need to attack, I can see them being caught on the break by Liverpool’s pacy strikers, as they did to devastating effect in this stadium in the Round of 16 last season.
Liverpool won 5-0 that evening but I can’t quite see that being the case here. I expect the Reds to be very dangerous on the counter and to score a goal which should, effectively, end the tie as a contest. I do feel however that FC Porto are good enough to get a goal themselves.
I also feel if Liverpool do go behind, they have shown the determination to dig out the result they need in recent weeks and I can see them doing that here. I think this one will end in a draw and that will mean it will likely be Liverpool progressing into the semifinals for the second successive season.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter