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Champions League Tips: 25th & 26th February

Champions League TipsAfter the somewhat surprising results in last week’s Round of 16 first leg games, which didn’t go particularly well for the English teams taking part, we have the second set of games taking place this week in the competition which includes both Chelsea and Manchester City up against two of the true European giants.

In truth, there isn’t an easy game, or what you would consider a game between two lesser lights in Europe, in this set of games and there is plenty of high quality and experience on the field in each of the four games this week.

Last week’s tips were a bit disappointing to say the least, although I did feel there were a couple of very unusual results which played a big part in that. Still, I am confident that last week was just a blip as we’ve been posting generally one or two wins from the selections each week and I am hoping that this set of tips will do the business for me again this week.

Remember too to keep your eyes peeled for this week’s Europa League tips which will be available on the site shortly before the second leg ties take place on Thursday night. Here’s my tips for the Champions League this week.

Champions League Tips: Tuesday 25th February

February 25, 2020
Chelsea
VS
Bayern Munich
Stamford Bridge
8:00 pm
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
VS
Bayern Munich Logo
Bayern Munich
February 25, 2020
Stamford Bridge
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Bayern won all six of the Group Stage games, the 7th team to do so in CL history.
  • Chelsea finished second to Valencia but bettered Ajax and Lille to qualify.
  • Chelsea have never lost at home to German opponents in nine games.
  • The teams met in the 2012 Final, Chelsea winning on penalties in Munich.
Analysis:

What can you make of this game? Chelsea have a great record at home against German opponents, while Bayern’s record against English opposition is a real mixed bag, however a look at the recent form of both teams would have you strongly in favour of a Bayern win, even on the road.

Chelsea are struggling without Tammy Abraham in attack and Christian Pulisic and Callum Hudson-Odoi, once a target for Munich, out injured. As such, in their recent league games, they have looked a little shot shy in the final third and that doesn’t bode well against a team that have proven to be tough to score against this season.

Bayern, apart from a 0-0 draw with Red Bull Leipzig, have been scoring plenty of goals in recent weeks and with Chelsea’s defensive issues being a problem since the start of the season, I do worry for the Blues here, even on home soil.

I can see Chelsea finding the net here, but I do think Bayern have shown more than enough quality in recent weeks to ensure that they pick up a narrow win which will make the second leg in Munich probably something of a formality.

Bayern to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £31.50
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February 25, 2020
Napoli
VS
Barcelona
San Paulo
8:00 pm
Napoli Logo
Napoli
VS
Barcelona Logo
Barcelona
February 25, 2020
San Paulo
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Napoli finished second behind Liverpool in their group to qualify for the Round of 16.
  • Barcelona finished top of Group F ahead of Dortmund to win their group with 14 points.
  • The biggest link between the two clubs is Diego Maradona who moved to Naples from Barca.
  • The teams have played twice in 2 Friendlies, both winning one apiece.
Analysis:

Napoli picked up four very important points against Liverpool in their group stage but still finished second behind the Reds in Group E to qualify for the knockout phase. Their progress built on a solid defence which conceded just four goals in their six games.

Barcelona’s defence also conceded just the four and they scored two fewer goals than Napoli (9 compared to 11) to get out of Group F as the winners. Two draws played a part in that record and with Luis Suarez injured, Barcelona will be missing their main focal point in attack.

That said, they still have the likes of Griezmann and Messi, as well as youngster Fati, who has played a key role at times this season. Napoli at home in Europe though have proven to be a tough test at times, especially for Liverpool, though it is worth remembering Arsenal beat them last season in Naples in the Europa League.

However, Barcelona’s form and injuries mean I can’t quite see them winning here and as such, I am backing the draw, although I do feel both teams will find the net.

Draw & Both Teams to Score - £10 returns £45.00
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Football Tips: Wednesday 26th February

February 26, 2020
Lyon
VS
Juventus
Groupama Stadium
8:00 pm
Lyon Logo
Lyon
VS
Juventus Logo
Juventus
February 26, 2020
Groupama Stadium
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Lyon finished second to Red Bull Leipzig in Group G with 8 points.
  • Juventus were winners of Group D, claiming 16 points from their six games.
  • The teams have met four times previously, Juve winning three with one draw.
  • Juventus have lost five of their 12 away games against French opponents in Europe.
Analysis:

It’s quite difficult to make much of these two teams at present. Domestically, both are on a somewhat inconsistent run of form and a quick look back through their recent records does not instill great confidence that either will have the quality and confidence to win this game.

History between the two suggests that it will be Juventus that come out on top and, of course, the Old Lady also can call on the mercurial talents of Cristiano Ronaldo, who shows no sign of slowing in form or goalscoring ability despite his advancing years.

In contrast, Lyon’s side is a much more youthful one and they have a number of players that are being courted by a number of top European sides. This may then be their last chance to star in the Champions League before being the subject of big money bids next summer.

As I have said, this is a tough one to call and given the last game between the two sides back in 2016 finished all square, I feel that this will do likewise, before Juventus finish the job off in Turin in three weeks time.

: Draw - £10 returns £36.00
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February 26, 2020
Real Madrid
VS
Man City
Bernebeu
8:00 pm
Real Madrid Logo
Real Madrid
VS
Man City Logo
Man City
February 26, 2020
Bernebeu
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Real finished second in Group A, five points behind group winners PSG.
  • Manchester City finished on 14 points at the top of Group C ahead of Atalanta.
  • The teams have met four times, Real winning two games with two draws.
  • The last time Real went out at this stage to an English team was in 2009 to Liverpool.
Analysis:

Arguably this is the biggest tie of the round and a fixture that many experts felt would have graced the final itself. The game has been given an extra edge with Manchester City being banned from Europe for the next two seasons, although City are going to go to the Court of Arbitration for Sport to see if they can get that ruling overturned.

Even so, this promises to be a very tough game for both sides. Real have found a bit of form of late and sit at the top of La Liga and have just lost the one game in the league this season. City’s league form is a little erratic but they have generally been very good in Europe this season and are unbeaten in the competition.

The match also sees Pep Guardiola facing one of his most fierce rival clubs throughout his career as a player and manager and that will give the game added spice. In truth, I don’t actually think this is going to be too difficult to call. While I see Real nabbing a narrow win in the home leg, I actually feel City will come through comfortably in the home leg to make it into the quarterfinals at the Spanish sides’ expense. As such, I am backing Real to win this one 2-1 but City to make sure that they progress in the home leg.

R. Madrid to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £42.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter