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Champions League Tips – 26th & 27th November
by David Lenton
We recorded another profitable weekend coming out £59.00 up from £10 stakes which continues our awesome.
I’m hopeful that this week’s selection of Champions League tips will add to the pain we’ve caused the bookies recently.
These are the return fixtures of the games played on the first matchday of the group stages and they feature some big games including Liverpool facing Napoli, Juventus taking on Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid facing Paris St Germain and Barcelona tackling Borussia Dortmund.
With a fair few of these more evenly matched contests this week compared to the previous couple of matchdays in this competition, I am hopeful that I can find some better value odds tips amongst them and I have outlined what I feel are the best bets for the games below.
Champions League Tips: Tuesday 26th November
November 26, 2019
November 26, 2019
The teams drew 2-2 when facing each other on Matchday 1.
A win for Juventus will see them finish top of the group.
Should Atletico win, they will confirm their qualification for the next phase.
Atletico have never scored against Juventus away from home in the Champions League.
These two teams met last season when a Cristiano Ronaldo hattrick in the Round of 16 saw Juventus come from 2-0 down in the first leg, to win 3-0 at home and send Juventus through to face Ajax. Atletico’s record in Italy against Juventus is pretty poor and they are yet to manage a goal in any of their three games against the Italians.
Juventus have one of the most impressive squads in the Champions League this season but it is not without its problems, with Cristiano Ronaldo reportedly storming off from the ground after being substituted in his last Serie A game for the team.
Even so, I expect those issues to be put aside when the teams meet on Tuesday night and although I can see Atletico trying to earn at least a point from this game, with Juventus already qualified, the pressure is off the Italian team and they tend to play better in those situations and they are difficult to score against at home.
As such, I am backing Atletico to draw a blank here and Ronaldo to once again be the man to put the Spaniards to the sword, playing his part in a Juventus win.
Real lost 3-0 to PSG in the opening fixture in the group.
Paris have won once and lost three times in Madrid.
If PSG avoid defeat, they will finish top. They have already qualified from the group.
If Madrid win, or Bruges and Galatasaray draw, then Real also qualify.
Real Madrid were soundly beaten by PSG in the opening game in this group and since then PSG have just gone from strength to strength, winning all four of their games so far without conceding a single goal in the process.
Real have won their last two games against Galatasaray to put themselves back in contention in the group and they know that if they win, or if Bruges and Galatasaray share the points, then they will also qualify, which is the bare minimum that the fans in the Bernebeu would expect.
For me, this is the first real test for PSG in this group. The Real they played at home in the opening game were not the same team that Real are now. Zidane still has a few issues within his squad, but on home soil, they will be itching to gain revenge over the French side, who do have a tendency to struggle against the top sides on the road.
I can see Paris scoring a goal here against what is a pretty open Real back line, but I think the home side will secure their passage into the Round of 16 with a narrow win at home.
R.Madrid to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £38.00
A win for Valencia qualifies them based on their head to head with Ajax & Chelsea.
If Chelsea win at the Mestalla, then they too would qualify for the next round.
Chelsea have never lost at the Mestalla, winning two, drawing one of the 3 games played.
Valencia have lost five of their last eight games against English teams.
If there is a ‘risky’ selection out of the games I have picked this week then it is this one as I have backed Frank Lampard’s young Chelsea side to avenge their loss at home to Valencia on matchday 1 and claim the win at the Mestalla, which would put them through into the Round of 16.
Chelsea actually have a very good record away to Valencia, winning twice and drawing once of the three games at the Mestalla against the Spaniards. Valencia’s recent record against English teams also isn’t that great and their form has been a little erratic this season.
I have always felt that this Chelsea team is best suited to playing on the counter given the pace and invention they have in the team and I can see this being a real weapon here against a Valencia side, likely to have more of the ball, but who themselves struggle to find a goal. As such, I am backing Chelsea to snatch the win on the counter attack here with a 2-1 scoreline for the Blues the most likely outcome.
Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £40.00
Napoli won the first game between the teams 2-0 in Naples.
If Liverpool win the game, they qualify as Group E winners.
If Genk hold Salzburg to a draw, then both these teams will qualify regardless.
Liverpool have not lost any of their last 24 European games at Anfield, winning 18.
Liverpool put in one of their most disappointing performances of the season when going down to a 2-0 defeat in Naples when the teams last met and if there is one manager who has a decent record against the Reds, it is Carlo Ancelotti.
However, since then the Reds have moved clear at the top of the Premier League and won their next three Champions League games to move into pole position in the group ahead of Napoli and a win here would ensure that the Reds will not only qualify, but finish top of the group. Given their excellent record at home in European football of late, that looks a distinct possibility.
Liverpool won’t want to go to Salzburg to take on a tricky Red Bull side needing to get a result, so they will want to wrap up qualification here, especially as that will mean they could rest some key men in what is likely to be a hugely busy period for the club over the coming six weeks or so.
The Reds haven’t kept a clean sheet for a while and I can see Napoli scoring a goal here, but I am backing Liverpool to pick up a narrow win to ensure that they progress into the Round of 16 with a game to spare.
Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £28.80
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter