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Champions League Tips: 27th & 28th November
by David Lenton
It felt good to get back to winning ways at the weekend, with the Arsenal v Bournemouth game really pushing us into a healthy profit.
It’s the penultimate round of games in the Champions League this week and I’m hoping for more of the same across Tuesday and Wednesday night.
United and City play on Tuesday night, City face Lyon in France, a team that surprisingly beat City 2-1 in the opening round of fixtures, but that victory has been followed by three draws for Lyon, while City have taken control of the group with three wins and a win for City here would not only confirm their progress, but they would also be confirmed as group winners.
On Wednesday there’s a key game in France once again as Liverpool travel to face PSG in what is a crucial game for the Reds. Jurgen Klopp needs his team to get something from this tricky trip otherwise they could be left in a precarious position when Napoli come to Anfield on the final day.
Spurs face Inter Milan at Wembley knowing that they not only need a win, but ideally a strong one to improve their head to head record with the Italians, although even a win would still need Spurs likely needing a win over Barcelona to qualify, with Inter’s final game being at home to PSV Eindhoven.
Football Betting Tips: Tuesday 27th November
November 27, 2018
November 27, 2018
Roma lie 2nd in the group on the same points as Madrid, but with a worse goal difference and a worse h2h record.
Real are top of group G with nine points in total. A win for either team would put them in pole position to win the group.
Real dominated the match between the teams in September, winning 3-0 in Madrid thanks to goals from Isco, Bale and Mariano.
Real could be without Marcelo for this game as the left back has not featured through injury in recent weeks.
When these two teams first met at the start of the Champions League Group Stages, it seemed like Real were far and away the best team in the group. Three matches later and in truth, Roma have been the most consistent and better performer since.
However, that 3-0 defeat to Real in Madrid will have hurt Roma and they know that only a win here will give them a chance of topping the group, with both sides likely to fancy their chances of winning their final group games, Roma away to Plzen, while Real take on CSKA at home.
The Italian team have been in very good form of late, and particularly in the Champions League, Real’s form has picked up since Santiago Solari took over, as he has led the team to four straight wins, but this trip to Rome is without doubt his toughest test since taking over.
I am very surprised that the odds on Roma are so long to win a home game in the competition, especially when you consider they beat Barcelona 3-0 at home last season. I can see Madrid scoring, but I still feel Roma will earn the victory.
Roma to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £57.50
Lyon inflicted a rare defeat on Manchester City on the opening night of games, the French team hanging on to claim a 2-1 win at the Etihad.
That win for Lyon is the only time the two teams have met previously in European football so is the only historic reference point for the two sides.
Both sides come into the game unbeaten in their last five games, City winning all five of their matches, Lyon winning three and drawing two of their games.
A win for City would confirm them as winners of the group, a point would also qualify City as would Hoffenheim not defeating Shakhtar Donetsk in their home game.
Lyon’s win over City in the opening round of fixtures was a real shock for some people, but the French team caught City could on the counter twice in the first half and then hung on grimly to secure what has been their only win in the Group Stage so far.
That evening Pep Guardiola was banished to the stands, but the Spaniard will be back on the bench for this one and I think he will feel his team have a point to prove against their French rivals. Given City’s form at the moment, it is hard to see any team stopping them and that even includes a team that beat them a few months ago.
City have found the Champions League tougher than the domestic league in England but they thumped Shakhtar Donetsk last time out hitting six goals and I fancy them strongly to keep their winning run in the competition going with a victory in Lyon, though I would not bet against the home team finding the net once in consolation.
Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £24.50
Liverpool won the opening game in the group 3-2 over PSG thanks to Firmino’s injury time winner, after PSG had come back from 2-0 down.
The teams have met three times in their history, Liverpool winning both games played at Anfield, while PSG won 3-0 in the game Paris.
A defeat for Paris would eliminate them from the group if Napoli also beat Red Star Belgrade on the same night.
Liverpool would qualify with a victory and if Red Star Belgrade do not beat Napoli on the same night.
This looks like being a tough night for a Liverpool team that have lost their last two away fixtures in the Champions League and against a PSG team that is usually so dominant at home, this looks like being a very tough game for Jurgen Klopp’s men.
PSG do have slight injury concerns over Neymar and Mbappe, though both will likely feature in the game and they will have a point to prove after having been beaten 3-2 at Anfield, conceding a late goal to Roberto Firmino, just after coming back to tie the game at 2-2.
Liverpool’s away form though is a real worry and it is hard to see them travelling to Paris and getting back to winning ways there against a team with so much attacking talent. That said, the Reds could grab a goal themselves given their ability and pace on the counter attack.
I still think PSG will win the game but I also feel Liverpool will find the net at least once, hence the PSG to win and both teams to score bet looks the best value to me here.
PSG to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £34.00
Inter lie second in the group, three points ahead of Spurs, with Barcelona leading the group and looking certain to qualify.
A draw would confirm a place in the knockout stage for Inter and would leave Spurs battling PSV for a Europa League spot.
Spurs need to win and then likely beat Barcelona, in Barcelona, if they are to stand a chance of progressing from the group.
The teams have met five times previously, Spurs winning three to Inter two, although both teams have a markedly better record in home games than away fixtures.
This is going to be the pivotal game in terms of who qualifies with Barcelona from this group, although in truth, Inter Milan are in the box seat by a comfortable margin. Inter need just a draw from this game in order to progress and the Italians, who have only lost to Barcelona so far in the tournament, look well capable of achieving that.
Tottenham’s recent form is good, but when they have lost games this season, it has been to stronger sides in the main and Inter certainly come into that bracket based on their performances in the Champions League this year.
I was tempted to opt for the draw here given Tottenham's record but after their display against Chelsea at the weekend I can't help but back them to win this one.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter