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Champions League Tips: 3rd & 4th November

Author: Published: November 3, 2020

Champions League TipsAfter our winning run came to an end with my Champions League tips last week it was pleasing to get back into the green at the weekend – we ended up £13.20 in profit from all bets.

This week we have a selection of Champions League games and due to some pretty unappealing odds involving the English teams left in the competition in their games, I have focused on some games where I feel the odds are much more appealing and which I feel, offer us a good chance of a decent value winner.

That includes the two crucial games now in Group B, where Inter and Real Madrid trail the top two Shakhtar Donetsk and Borossia Monchengladbach, with just one of the four games in this group producing a win.

We’ve also focused on the games in Manchester United’s group which sees the Red Devils taking in Istanbul Basaksehir and then Red Bull Leipzig facing off against their conquerors in last year’s Champions League semifinal, Paris St Germain.

Champions League Tips: Tuesday 27th October

Shakhtar Donetsk VS Borussia Monchengladbach
03/11/2020 5:55 pm GMT

Key Stats

Donetsk have beaten Real Madrid 3-2 and drawn 0-0 with Inter.
Borossia have two draws so far, 2-2 with Real and by the same score away to Inter.
Donetsk top Group B with 4 points ahead of Borossia with 2 points.
10 of the last 11 games for both teams have seen both teams score.

Analysis

Admittedly, this may not be the fixture that leaps out of the schedule as being one of the most important games of the week, or featuring some of the biggest teams in Europe, but in terms of Group B and in terms of odds, it is one of the best options available for punters.

Group B is somewhat on its head compared to what was expected, three draws plus Shakhtar’s surprise win in Madrid over Real means they lead the group, with Real at the bottom and Inter and Borossia both with two points, but with the German side ahead on the number of goals scored.

As such, this is a crucial game for both teams as they seek to upset the odds and claim a place in the knockout phase. Both sides score goals aplenty but also do concede them, all of Borossia’s last six games have seen both teams score while four of Donetsk’s last five have done likewise.

So I can see goals here, but I think it will be a tight and edgy game but one that I think the Ukrainian side will just about get the better of, so I am backing them to win with both teams to score here.

Prediction

Shakhtar to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £55.00
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Real Madrid VS Inter Milan
03/11/2020 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Inter are 3rd in Group B with 2 points from their 2 games.
Real lie 4th in the table with just one point from their opening two matches.
The teams have met 14 times, both have six wins with two matches drawn.
Their most recent match up however came back in 1998. 22 years ago.

Analysis

It is strange to think that two of the most famous sides in European football have not met for 22 years in any competition, but that is the case for Real Madrid and Inter Milan. A quick look at the history of this game reveals that home advantage has very much been the key in deciding who comes out on top.

All six of Real Madrid’s wins in the fixture have come on Spanish soil, while Inter have just one win in Spain, plus five back in Italy, with the other two fixtures in Italy turning out as draws. However, it is difficult to put too much stock in the history between the two teams given how long ago it was created.

Looking at both teams now, I think both know a defeat here could be hugely damaging so I expect a tight game. Inter’s attack looks potent and I can see them scoring against Real Madrid but Madrid have proven to be comeback specialists in this competition so far and I think they will come out on top here.

Expect a tight, tactical battle that is perhaps settled by a couple of moments of individual magic from players for the home team as I think Real Madrid get a much needed win here by a 2-1 scoreline.

Prediction

Real Madrid to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £33.00
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Football Tips: Wednesday 28th October

Istanbul Basaksehir VS Man Utd
04/11/2020 5:55 pm GMT

Key Stats

Istanbul have lost both their games 2-0 so far in this tournament.
United are top of Group H with maximum points and a 7-1 goal difference.
The two teams have never met previously in European competition.
United have won half of their games against Turkish opponents (winning 8, losing 5, 3 draws.

Analysis

After making a superb start to their campaign with a win in Paris against PSG, Manchester United followed that with their best performance in a very long time as they thrashed Red Bull Leipzig 5-0 at Old Trafford last week. At the same time, Istanbul Basaksehir were going down to a second consecutive 2-0 defeat, this time at home to PSG.

The Turkish side have mainly played in the Europa League over the last couple of years and this step up in quality does seem to have caught up with them slightly. However they will take heart from United’s record in Turkey, which is not great with three wins and three defeats plus two draws from eight games contested on Turkish soil.

However, United’s form of late has been much improved since that dreadful loss to Tottenham especially in the Champions League and if they can get a result in Paris against PSG, they should be able to do likewise here.

It may be tight and one goal may be enough to claim the win, but I feel United have the quality to get the job done here without conceding a goal.

Prediction

Man Utd to win to nil - £10 returns £24.50
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RB Leipzig VS PSG
04/11/2020 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Both these teams have 3 points in Group H, with PSG second on goal difference.
They also met in the semifinal of this competition last season. PSG winning 3-0.
Red Bull have lost three of seven games against French opponents, winning just 2.
PSG have won four, lost five and drawn one of 10 games away to German teams.

Analysis

The loss of Neymar through injury is a big blow to Paris St Germain, but they still have enough star quality in their squad to be able to cope with the Brazilian, even in a game such as this. Red Bull were given a bit of a chastening lesson in their game with Manchester United last week and manager Julien Nagelsman will be well aware of what to expect in this game.

That’s because the two teams met in the semifinals of this competition last season in Portugal were PSG ran out comfortable 3-0 winners on the day. Red Bull were well off the pace that day, just as they were against United last week, which was strange given their positive start in the Bundesliga.

For me, PSG are the class act here. I think Red Bull may be fine domestically but against some very big European teams, the sale of some of their key men last summer will prove hard to adjust to in these very difficult games.

The team that does the better out of the two games between these teams will likely qualify from the group and I think PSG will get the better of the home side here, even if they have to score a couple of goals to secure a win.

Prediction

PSG Germain to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £32.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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