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Champions League Tips: 5th & 6th November
by David Lenton
We booked a small profit with our last round of Champions League tips and have been on the up and up ever since.
At the weekend we managed to keep our profitable run going. We only have one winner but with a return of £52.50 it meant we were up £12.50 overall from £10 stakes.
Onwards and upwards!
Big games to look out for this week include Chelsea’s return with Ajax at Stamford Bridge, Manchester City’s trip to Italy to take on Atalanta, Atletico Madrid’s visit to the Bay Arena to face Leverkusen on German soil, while Tottenham face a tricky trip to take on a Belgrade side that they thumped 5-0 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium a fortnight back.
Let’s take a closer look at our selection of tips for this week’s Champions League games.
Champions League Tips: Tuesday 5th November
November 5, 2019
November 5, 2019
Two 1-0 wins in succession see Chelsea top Group H, level on points with Ajax
The Dutch team’s defeat to Chelsea was their first in any competition since May.
Chelsea have lost just once in their last 18 matches in UEFA competitions.
Midfielder N’Golo Kante should be fit for Chelsea having missed the first game.
Chelsea produced one of their best performances of the season when they went to Amstedam and defeated Ajax 1-0 a couple of weeks back. In truth, it was a game that should have seen more goals at both ends of the pitch as both sides were, uncharacteristically, a little wasteful in the final third of the field.
Ajax will feel a little hard done to by that result and they probably deserved at least a point on the night. However, I do feel that their team is one that is set up to play on the counter and, as they showed in this competition last season, they can be more dangerous away from home than at home.
As such, I don’t think Chelsea fans can assume that this home leg will be easier than the away. Ajax produced away wins at Tottenham, Juventus and Real Madrid last season so they are more than capable of getting a win here.
However, given how the first game went, I feel Chelsea are good enough to match this Ajax side and I think a point will be one that both teams will do well to earn.
Napoli top Group E with 7 points after a 3-2 win in Salzburg last time out.
Salzburg now lie 3 points behind Liverpool in second with 3 points from 3 games.
Salzburg’s Erling Haaland is second top scorer in the competition with 6 goals.
The teams have met three times previously, Napoli winning two to Salzburg’s one.
The first match between these two teams in the group was a cracking game which saw five goals in what is already a free scoring group. Napoli emerged with a vital win from that game by a 3-2 scoreline, but they were pushed very hard by a talented attacking Salzburg side, even if their defending does leave a lot to be desired.
A win for Napoli here would leave them qualified for the Knockout phase and also mean that Liverpool would also need just four more points from their final three games to qualify also. As such, this is a game that Salzburg will feel that they must get something from.
In Erling Haaland, they have a striker that has really caught the eye in this competition this season and he is already on the shopping list of a number of top European teams. But under Carlo Ancelotti, Napoli are developing into a very fine side and I think that with home advantage, even if Salzburg do find the net, as I believe they will, Napoli will take advantage of the Austrian’s poor defensive record to record another win here.
Napoli to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £27.00
City have won all three games to top Group C with the maximum 9 points.
Atlanta have lost all three games and sit at the bottom of the table.
A win for City would confirm them as qualified from the group.
The game is to be played at the San Siro, rather than Atalanta’s home ground.
Atlanta had the temerity to score a penalty against City to go 1-0 up at the Etihad a couple of weeks back, only for City to roar back through a Raheem Sterling-inspired performance. Guardiola;s team duly equalised shortly after and then took the lead, both goals coming from Sergio Aguero but created by Sterling.
Then the England man netted a hat-trick to hand City another convincing win in the competition and the Italian side another morale-sapping defeat. With this ‘home’ leg for Atalanta played at the San Siro in Milan, even their home advantage has been watered down somewhat.
The only question for me in this game is how many goals will Manchester City get and whether Atalanta have the qualities to score. The Italian team do have some fine attackers, Zapata is a quality player and I can see them scoring, but even so I still think City will run out very convincing winners once again.
Man City to & and both teams to score - £10 returns £22.50
Bayer have lost all three games in the Champions League so far to sit bottom of Group D.
Atletico Madrid are second in the table on goal difference behind Juventus.
Atletico earned a narrow 1-0 win in the first game between the teams in the group.
The teams have met seven times, Atletico winning three, Bayer one, with three draws.
The game between these two teams a couple of weeks ago was something of a damp squib to be honest. Bayer came to try and secure a point from a tough trip to Madrid, and Atletico were struggling going forward with their main attacking threats ineffective against a well-marshalled Bayer defence.
In the end, substitute Alvaro Morata headed the only goal of the game in the second half to hand Atletico the win, and you would think based on that the German side would feel they stand a good chance of picking something up in the home leg.
However, I feel the opposite is true. I think Bayer will struggle against Atletico on the counterattack and I think the Spanish side is much better set up to play a countering style, rather than trying to press the game. I think that extra space afforded to their players, especially in wider areas could well pay dividends in Germany against a side that is badly lacking confidence at the moment.
I’m confident that Atletico will earn the win here and that their solid defence will once again, keep Bayer from troubling the scoresheet.
Atletico Madrid to win to nil - £10 returns £46.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter