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Champions League Tips: 6th & 7th November

Champions League TipsThe fourth round of Champions League Group Stage games takes place this week and it is a pivotal week for some teams in the competition. Some can secure their place in the next round of the tournament with a win in their game on Tuesday or Wednesday night.

Borussia Dortmund, Barcelona and Juventus can be the first teams into the Knockout Stage of the tournament with wins this week.

Teams like Tottenham, Monaco and Valencia have reached the point where only a win is enough to keep them in with a realistic chance of making progress in this competition.

We’ve done well in the Champions League of late and I’ll stick to my strategy of focusing on the English teams where possible again this week.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 3rd November

November 6, 2018
Napoli
VS
PSG
San Paolo
8:00 pm
Napoli Logo
Napoli
VS
PSG Logo
PSG
November 6, 2018
San Paolo
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Napoli are second in Group B with 5 points after two draws and a win from their three games so far. They are one point behind Liverpool and one in front of PSG.
  • PSG lie third in Group B after three games. They drew 2-2 at home with Napoli last time out, somewhat fortuitously and have underperformed in this competition so far.
  • The game in Paris between the teams finished in a 2-2 draw, Angel Di Maria curling home a last minute equaliser for the home side after Napoli twice led the game.
  • Paris St Germain’s sole victory in nine visits to Italy in Europe came in Napoli in 1992. They have won just two games out of 19 against Italian opposition in European competition.
Analysis:

Last time out Napoli took full advantage of some poor PSG defending to twice lead in France, only for PSG to strike back, first from a deflected shot from right back Meunier and then a late Di Maria equaliser in injury time.

That result means that the onus is on PSG to get a result in Napoli, as defeat here could leave them in a precarious position in the group, although the French side would still be able to qualify, even if Liverpool were to win in Belgrade on the same night.

Napoli at home however are a tough prospect as they have shown against Liverpool this season already. PSG lost at Anfield in their first away game, and Napoli will likely be an equally tough test for the French Champions.

It’s in these games where PSG’s lack of opposition of real strength in the French league does tend to hit home and as such, I think Napoli will prove that result in Paris was no fluke. I can see PSG scoring, but I feel Napoli will get one more goal than them to claim what would be a crucial win.

Napoli to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £45.00
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November 6, 2018
Tottenham
VS
PSV
Wembley
8:00 pm
Tottenham Logo
Tottenham
VS
PSV Logo
PSV
November 6, 2018
Wembley
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Spurs are third in Group B with just one point from three games, five behind Inter in second place. They must win this game to have any realistic chance of progressing.
  • Similarly, PSV have just one point and they too need to win the game to stand any chance of progressing in the group. They are bottom of the group on goal difference.
  • The two teams played out an entertaining 2-2 draw last time out where some calamitous defending from Spurs contributed to the Dutch side earning a point.
  • PSV have played European games in England on 16 occasions, losing nine, drawing three and winning just four. Their last away win in the Champions League was back in Nov 2007.
Analysis:

This year’s Champions League campaign has been a real disappointment for PSG and particularly for Spurs fans. Two late goals in Italy handed Inter a win, while Barcelona destroyed them at Wembley before two massive defensive lapses played a huge part in the 2-2 draw between the teams last time out.

It’s a far cry from the Spurs team that topped a group with eventual winners Real Madrid last season and in truth, this is now a must-win game for both teams. A draw will likely not be enough, even if Barcelona claim another win over Inter on the same evening.

With home advantage, I do feel Spurs have the edge here and after a solid win over Wolves at the weekend, they should be confident. Christian Erikssen returned as a substitute at the weekend too and his return is going to be key for the team over the coming weeks.

PSV will make it tough but if Spurs find their best form, then they should win this game relatively comfortably. As such, I am backing them to win the game to nil, even with their defence still leaking some suspect goals at times.

Tottenham to win to nil - £10 returns £27.00
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Football Tips: Sunday 4th November

November 7, 2018
Juventus
VS
Man Utd
Juventus Stadium
8:00 pm
Juventus Logo
Juventus
VS
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
November 7, 2018
Juventus Stadium
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • A victory for Juventus over United will see them qualify as group winners and also make it four wins from four for the team from Turin in this year’s competition.
  • Man Utd lie in second spot, with four points, two ahead of Valencia but five behind Juventus in the table. They could do with some kind of result in this fixture.
  • At Old Trafford, Dybala’s first half goal was the difference between the two sides as Juventus dominated the match for long periods.
  • The teams have met 13 times previously, Juventus winning six, United five and there have been just 2 draws between the teams.
Analysis:

When the teams clashed at Old Trafford a fortnight ago, it was Juventus that came out on top. The 1-0 win doesn’t really do justice to how much the Italian side dominated the game and in truth, they could and should have won by a much bigger margin.

The return leg therefore promises to be a tough evening for Manchester United. Jose Mourinho’s side have been unconvincing despite winning both their last two Premier League games 2-1, and Juventus are a massive step up in quality from the likes of Everton and Bournemouth.

There’s a big argument that says Juventus are the best team in Europe at the present moment and in truth, I think it is hard to argue that fact given their domestic form and performances in Europe. So I am expecting a very tough evening for United.

I would be surprised if Juventus defence, which is one of the best in the world, allow United a goal here and I can see a 2-0 or even 3-0 win for the Italians here, hence I am backing Juventus to win and to do so without United scoring a goal here.

Juventus to win to nil - £10 returns £27.00
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November 7, 2018
Lyon
VS
Hoffenheim
Groupama Stadium
8:00 pm
Lyon Logo
Lyon
VS
Hoffenheim Logo
Hoffenheim
November 7, 2018
Groupama Stadium
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Lyon are second in Group F on 5 points, one behind Manchester City and three ahead of Hoffenheim and Shakhtar who are third and fourth respectively.
  • The teams played out an entertaining 3-3 draw in Hoffenheim a couple of weeks ago. The return fixture also promises goals between two attack minded sides.
  • Lyon have scored two or more goals in each of their last four games in the Champions League.
  • Hoffenheim have played just five away games in European competition in their history, losing three of those games and drawing the other two matches.
Analysis:

This game will have a large bearing on which team will join Manchester City (assuming City do not fall apart in their remaining group games) in the knockout phase. Lyon are unbeaten in the tournament so far and have even beaten Manchester City on their home patch, but two draws against Shakhtar and Hoffenheim mean they are now second in the group behind City.

That has also meant that Hoffenheim, who have also landed two draws so far, are not out of it yet and if the German side can land a win here, then they could throw the group wide open, especially with City likely to win their remaining fixtures.

However, while I do see this game as having plenty of goals, I also feel that home advantage is going to be key. Lyon are a strong side at home usually, although they do concede goals, but their freescoring attack, led by Nabil Fekir, is always likely to get them out of trouble.

I think this could be a cracking game and will see a fair few goals, but I am backing Lyon to just about get the better of things.

Lyon to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £30.50
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

the Cheeky Punter
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.