Euro 2020 Tips – Monday 21st June

Author: Published: June 20, 2021

Euro 2020 TipsWe now have just three days left of the group stage and tonight we see four games that will complete Group C and then Group B.

First up we have a pivotal battle between Ukraine and Austria in Bucharest which will go a long way towards deciding whether one, or both, of these teams qualify from Group C. While in Amsterdam the battling North Macedonians will be hoping they can pull of a surprise upset win over the Netherlands.

These two games are followed at 8pm by the action from Group B with Denmark facing Russia in Copenhagen while in the other game Finland will take on Belgium in what could well be a very dramatic end to the night in Group B.

Let’s take a look at my set of tips for these games.

Today’s Games

  • Group C – Ukraine V Austria (5pm, Bucharest)
  • Group C – North Macedonia V Netherlands (5pm, Amsterdam)
  • Group B – Russia V Denmark (8pm, Copenhagen)
  • Group B – Finland V Belgium (8pm Saint Petersburg)

*Time in GMT

Euro 2020 Tips: Sunday 20th June

Ukraine VS Austria
21/06/2021 5:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Ukraine have 3 points and are 2nd in Group C ahead of Austria on goals scored.
A draw would see both teams with 4 points, but Austria would finish 3rd in the group.
Marko Arnautovic is available for Austria again after serving a one-match ban.
The teams have met twice before and have one win apiece (both scoring four goals).

Analysis

Now, what could happen here? Both teams know a draw would see them finish with four points and the likelihood is that Austria, despite finishing third, would have enough points and a better goal difference in order to ensure themselves one of the four best third place qualification spots.

Of course, the Austrian’s may want to bolster their chances of qualifying by winning the game but I do think the approach of both teams here will be ‘if we get a chance to score, we’ll take it, but the first aim is not to lose the game’.

I am not saying this will be a carbon copy of the infamous game between Austria and West Germany in the 1982 World Cup, which was a disgrace to the game, but I do think caution will be the byword for both teams in this game far more so than attempting to win.

When that happens, you usually find the game will tend towards a draw and I’m not surprised to see the odds on that result shortened a lot by the bookmakers as it is the smart bet for this fixture.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £20.50
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Macedonia VS Netherlands
21/06/2021 5:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

North.Macedonia are bottom of Group C having 0 points from two games.
Netherlands are top with 6 points and have already qualified for the next stage.
If Austria & Russia draw, North Macedonia are eliminated whatever the result.
The teams have met four times, Netherlands winning two with two draws.

Analysis

The Netherlands have already qualified from this group and in truth they have played some of the most entertaining football in the tournament so far. North Macedonia have certainly given things a shot too in their two games so far, but fell short against Austria and Ukraine.

In truth, even if the Dutch do decide to rest key players for this game, I still feel their team will be more than strong enough to get the win here and with North Macedonia having nothing to lose too and having to win, I can see them being more offensively minded in this game as well.

As such, with neither defence looking rock solid, this is a game that I think we will see plenty of chances being created in and I would not be surprised to see a fair few goals go in, and while I think the Dutch will win the game, I am not really sure how and by what margin.

With that being the case, I gave gone for the sensible option here of over 3.5 goals in the game to give myself as much flexibility as possible.

Prediction

Total Goals – Over 3.5 Goals - £10 returns £26.00
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Russia VS Denmark
21/06/2021 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Russia lie 2nd in Group B with 3 points.
Denmark are bottom of Group B with 0 points, but could overtake Russia with a 3-goal win.
A point or better should be enough for Russia to qualify, but it depends on other results.
The teams have met just once before, Russia winning 2-0 in Feb 2012.

Analysis

I think the football world was willing Denmark on to victory against Belgium, but in the end the sheer class of Kevin de Bruyne gave Belgium the victory, and left the Danes on no points from their two games in the group so far.

Russia defeated Finland narrowly to grab their first three points in the competition and that does offer a glimmer of hope for Denmark here. A win for the Danes of 3-0 or more, would be enough to confirm that they do finish above Russia and would have a slim chance of qualifying for the next phase.

The Danes are at home and I think they showed against Belgium plenty of ability to create chances and as such, I am expecting them to fly out of the sticks at Russia as they did Belgium to really go for that result that they need.

The problem is with that is while I think Belgium will win the game, I think Russia may grab at least one goal on the counter attack and whether the Danes can score enough to get ahead of the Russians I am not too sure. However a Denmark win and both teams scoring is a solid pick here.

Prediction

Denmark to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £37.50
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Finland VS Belgium
21/06/2021 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Belgium are comfortably top of Group B with 6 points and have already qualified.
Finland are 3rd in the group with 3 points, behind Russia on head to head record.
A point for Finland could be enough for them to qualify in 2nd or as a 3rd place team.
Finland are unbeaten in their last 7 games against Belgium, drawing 3 of the last 4.

Analysis

The flying Finns looked to have made a great start against Russia but their goal was disallowed by VAR and the Russian’s took advantage to claim the win in what was generally an even contest between the two.

Belgium have already qualified for the next phase and I think Roberto Martinez may want to still give some of his stars returning from injury, Axel Witsel, Kevin de Bruyne and Eden Hazard some game time here to keep them sharp, most likely from the bench.

I can see Martinez resting some players here too, Lukaku for example and perhaps some of the more veteran defenders, but even so, I still expect this Belgium side to have far too much firepower for the Finns.

To me, this game looks like being another 3-1 or even 4-1 victory for Belgium and I think they’ll finish top of this group with a 100% record. However, the over 3.5 goals is the most flexible betting option I feel here.

Prediction

Over 3.5 Goals - £20 returns £34.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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