Euro 2020 Tips (R16) – Saturday 26th June

Author: Published: June 25, 2021

Euro 2020 TipsI managed another £25 profit in the last set of Euro 2020 tips I published and, as you’ll know if you’ve been following, it’s been a decent tournament vs the bookies so far.

Heading into this stage of the tournament, the teams that have impressed me the most so far have been Italy and Belgium quite comfortably. You can’t rule out the Netherlands, France or Germany though but I have been a bit disappointed with how England and Spain have performed.

Scotland once again failed to shine, despite me feeling they couldget to the knockout phase this time, but Wales produced some excellent football to move into the Knockout Phase for the second Euros in succession.

I don’t think they will reach the semi-finals once again this time (though I feel the same with England to be honest).

Anyway, we move into the knockout phase today and for the next four days we have two matches per day until we know the quarter-final line up. Let’s take a look at my tips for the first two games in the Round of 16 this Saturday.

Today’s Games

  • Round of 16 – Wales v Denmark (5pm, Amsterdam)
  • Round of 16 – Italy V Austria (8pm, London)

*Time in GMT

Euro 2020 Round of 16 Tips: Saturday 26th June

Wales VS Denmark
26/06/2021 5:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Wales finished 2nd in Group A with four points, beating Switzerland on goal difference.
Denmark also finished second but in Group B with three points.
Wales’ Ethan Ampadu will be suspended for the clash after a red card against Italy.
The teams have met 10 times, Denmark winning six, Wales four with no drawn games.

Analysis

What a tricky game to call this one is. Heading into the championships, I’d have said the Danes would win, but given everything that has happened to them and the exciting way they qualified by winning their last group game 4-1 against Russia, I wonder if they may be emotionally spent at this point.

Wales in contrast qualified despite losing narrowly to Italy but the loss of Ethan Ampadu through suspension is a blow, even if he was just to be used as a back up substitute. The Welsh will rely on Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey once again, while Daniel James, Kieffer Moore and Danny Ward have all made telling contributions for the team during the championships too.

I think the Danes are just about the better all-round team here, but without Eriksen they do lack that attacking spark. Wales may be slightly inferior in quality but they have the two best players on the pitch in Bale and Ramsey and if they click once again, I think we could be heading into extra time and even penalties to decide the winner.

As such, I am going to go for the draw at 90 minutes here, most likely by a 1-1 scoreline, but I do feel we may need extra time or even penalties to decide the winner.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £32.50
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Italy VS Austria
26/06/2021 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Italy topped Group A with a maximum 9 points, scoring 7 goals conceding 0.
Austria were second in Group C, achieving six points.
Italy have not been beaten for 30 games, and have not conceded a goal in the last 10.
In the last 13 games, Italy have won 10, with three draws between the teams.

Analysis

Of all the teams I’ve seen in this year’s European Championships, only Belgium have impressed me as much as Italy and to be fair, Belgium have only played in fits and starts while Italy have been superbly consistent throughout the tournament so far.

The Italian team’s record at the moment is something special. 30 games without defeat ties a national record and 10 games without conceding a goal is another incredible feat. It was October 2020 when Italy last conceded a goal (in a 1-1 draw against the Netherlands, the last game that they didn’t win).

That doesn’t augur too well for Austria to be honest given that the Austrians are a workmanlike team. Physically strong, with some talented individuals, notably David Alaba, but lacking the quality in depth in those key forward positions and in truth, I can’t see any way they get anything from this game.

I would be hugely surprised if Italy do not win this game very comfortably and move into the quarter-finals without conceding a goal in the tournament so far.

Prediction

Italy to win to nil - £10 returns £23.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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