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Europa League Tips: Thursday 12th December
by David Lenton
If I am being honest with you, I feel that I haven’t quite hit the same heights in Europa League as I have in the Premiership this season, although I have had a fair few profitable selections, I haven’t been as consistent or banked as much profit as I would have liked.
So you can be sure that while there will be some teams perhaps taking it a bit easier in this final set of games in the Europa League on Thursday, I will be very keen to keep the excellent run of profit going by landing a very sizeable win across the four games I have picked from the games taking place on Thursday.
The one pitfall to avoid here is picking the matches where teams are likely to rest key players and that can be tricky, especially when two teams are already qualified, but one could finish in first place with a win. Does top spot matter enough to teams to play stronger teams if they have already qualified. I am not so sure, so I have tried to factor this into my decision making with these selections.
Europa League Betting Tips: Thursday 12th December
December 12, 2019
December 12, 2019
Copenhagen are top of Group B, they progress with a win or draw or if Kiev do not win.
Malmo are 2nd in Group B. A win puts them through to the next round as does Kiev not winning.
The teams drew 1-1 on Matchday 2. Copenhagen scoring with their only shot on target.
Half of the matches played in Group B involving all teams have ended in a draw.
This is an interesting group as there are still lots of possible permutations. Assuming Dinamo Kiev beat Lugano in their final game, that would mean Copenhagen need a win or a draw to progress, while Malmo would need a win to progress in that case. A win for Malmo would ensure they finish top of the group, as would a win for Copenhagen.
However, there is no doubting that the teams in this group have been pretty well-matched over the course of the tournament, with only Lugano not matching the other teams consistently.
Copenhagen are not a spectacular side and they average just one goal per game in the group, however they have conceded just three and I think that defensive solidity will be the key here in this game, as I have the feeling that chances may be few and far between in Denmark on Thursday. As such, I am going for the draw that the home team need to progress, but I am not going for both teams to score as I feel this is as likely to be 0-0 as it is a 1-1 scoreline.
LASK lie two points adrift of Sporting in Group D, but both have qualified.
Sporting Lisbon have won all of their last four Europa League games.
Linz’s only defeat in the group stage was a narrow 2-1 defeat to Sporting on Matchday 2.
Victory for Linz would see them top Group D. Any other result sees Sporting top the group.
Things are already settled in Group D in terms of qualification with both these teams able to relax as they have already qualified ahead of PSV Eindhoven and Rosenborg. That said, with top spot in the group still up for grabs and a potentially easier draw in the next round, there is still plenty to play for in this game.
LASK have been the surprise package of the group, there’s no doubt about that and their 4-1 win over PSV a few weeks back was a real eye-opener. Their only defeat came in Lisbon to Sporting but it was a game they dominated, having 22 shots on goal but only scoring the once.
I think on home soil, some of those missed chances stand a better chance of being converted but I also feel that Sporting are a very good side and they are good enough to go far in this tournament. As such, they won’t want to lose top spot here and as such, I think a scoring draw is by far the most likely outcome in this game.
Arsenal need to pick up a win or a draw to ensure they progress to the next phase.
Liege will progress with a win, if Frankfurt lose their game with Vitoria.
Arsenal were convincing 4-0 winners when the teams met on Matchday 2.
The Gunners have won all 5 matches against Standard. Scoring 19 goals conceding 2.
After three wins in their first three games, qualification looked all so easy for Arsenal but after picking up just one point in their last two, Arsenal are now in need of a positive result here. Defeat for Arsenal and depending on other results, the Gunners could miss out.
However, if they could have hand-picked opponents for this game, Liege may well have been their choice. The Gunners have won all five games played against their Belgian opponents and they have won 7-0 at this stadium before, as well as securing a 3-2 win a few years later.
The problem Arsenal have is that their form is extremely poor at the moment and if they have not appointed a new manager in time for this tie, then the pressure is going to be on the stand in boss Freddie Ljungberg to get the result that Arsenal need to progress.
Against most other opponents, I’d fear for Arsenal here, but I think the Gunners have the hoodoo sign over these opponents and while I can see Liege scoring against that leaky Arsenal back line, I feel the Gunners should grab enough goals the other way to claim a win.
Arsenal to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £35.00
Rangers are top of Group G and will qualify with a win or draw.
Young Boys need to win, or draw (if Porto lose) to qualify.
However if Feyenoord win and Young Boys lose, Feyenoord will qualify behind Rangers.
Rangers suffered a late defeat against Young Boys in Switzerland, losing 2-1 on Matchday 2.
It is fair to say that I have been impressed with Rangers over their past three games in the Europa League in particular. To come into the final game top of a very tough group, with a home game to play, is a fantastic achievement for the Glasgow side and I feel they will do enough to earn a place in the next round.
However, it won’t be easy. Young Boys can follow a list of teams that have ended British teams hope in European competition in the past and they will certainly be up for the task having beaten Rangers thanks to a late injury time winner on Matchday 2.
That said, I feel Rangers have grown as a team in this competition and their performances away to Porto and Feyenoord in particular have been hugely impressive and as such, I think they will have a vociferous home crowd in their corner, cheering them on to success here.
This will be close but I do see Rangers taking the win, but I also can see both teams scoring in what should be a very open game of football.
Rangers to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £37.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter