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Europa League Tips: Thursday 28th November
by David Lenton
If there is one part of my tips that I think I could do a little better with, it is with the midweek European games. I have posted good picks over the season, but not as much or as consistently as I have in the Premier League.
The nature of games in Europe is such that you do get a few more of the unexpected results. Even so, I would like to ensure that we get a solid profit in the Europa League this week.
Once again, we have five teams in action, Man Utd face a trip to Kazakhstan to take on FC Astana, Wolves face Braga in Portugal while Arsenal take on Eintracht Frankfurt in London. The big Scottish duo Rangers and Celtic also have games with the Gers away to Feyenoord and Celtic at home to Rennes.
Note: a number of games (three in total) kick off at 3.50pm UK time on Thursday, including Manchester United’s trip to FC Astana, so you may need to get your bets on early if you want to have a bet on that game.
Europa League Betting Tips: Thursday 7th November
November 28, 2019
November 28, 2019
Astana have scored just once in the group, conceding 14 and have no points.
Utd are qualified for the knockout phase with 10 points from 12 after four games.
The game at Old Trafford in the group finished in a 1-0 win for United.
United have not conceded a goal in the competition all season, scoring 5.
Manchester United face a very long trip to Kazakhstan to face an Astana side that have shipped 11 goals in their last two games in this competition, against AZ67 Alkmaar, without reply. That poor form means Astana are rock bottom of the group and without a single point in the tournament thus far.
United’s form in Europe has been good, albeit they have struggled for goals, netting just six in four games so far. However, they are yet to concede and have already qualified for the next phase of the competition, which makes me believe that Ole Gunnar Solskjaer may decide to rest one or two for this game, perhaps even saving them the lengthy 4,800km trip to Kazakhstan this week.
If United, as I suspect, do play a team filled with more fringe players, then this may not be the easy win that many are expecting and while I do think United will still win, and likely not concede, it could be a closer and edgier game than many are expecting. I think United will win this game by a 1-0 or perhaps 2-0 scoreline if they play their youngsters.
Manchester United to win to nil - £10 returns £26.00
Braga will win the group with a win here; a draw will also take them through.
Wolves will also qualify from the group with a win or a draw in this fixture.
Braga won the first game between the teams 1-0 at Molyneux on Matchday 1.
Braga have beaten Arsenal, Liverpool, Swansea, Portsmouth and Birmingham at home.
There’s no doubt that Braga gave Wolves a very uncomfortable evening at Molineux in the first game in this group. The Portuguese side deserved their victory that night but since then Wolves have recorded wins in Besiktas and Bratislava, as well as beating Slovan at home.
As such, I think this Wolves team, who have also seen their league form improve markedly since the teams first met, will be a different animal to the side that Braga faced back in September. However, the spectacular Municipal Stadium in Braga, complete with it’s mountainous end behind one goal, is a rarified atmosphere for teams.
That said, there is enough quality and European experience, not to mention Portuguese understanding, of what it takes to get a result in Braga and with both teams only needing a draw to ensure that they both progress from the group, I feel that this is probably the most likely outcome as neither side is going to be too concerned about things if they don’t pick up the win.
The teams met on Matchday One with Rangers recording a 1-0 win at Ibrox.
The teams have met three times previously, one win apiece plus one draw.
A win for Rangers would qualify them for the next stage of the tournament.
Feyenoord’s new manager Dick Advocaat was formerly the boss at Rangers.
I have been hugely impressed with how Steven Gerrard’s Rangers have performed in what is a very tough group. Losing just the one game, to an injury time goal in Switzerland, is a very good performance and in this, their third away game in the group, a win would ensure that they progress.
However, Feyenoord are never an easy team to beat at home and Rangers were a little lucky when beating the Dutch side 1-0 on the opening round of games. However, they have produced some plucky performances on the road this season in Europe and it does look like to me that Rangers (and Celtic) are starting to find their feet in Europe after a tricky few years. Wins for Porto and Feyenoord tonight though could see all four teams in this group going into their final games, on seven points apiece.
That said, I can’t see Gerrard’s team having quite enough quality to earn the win they need to confirm their place in the next round here. Dick Advocaat knows his team needs to win, but I am backing Rangers to put on a solid display and come away with a very valuable point, which could be the difference in the final reckoning in this very tight group.
A win or draw for Arsenal will be enough for them to qualify for the next stage.
Frankfurt lie third in the group on the same points (6) as Standard Liege.
Arsenal won the first match between the teams 3-0 in Frankfurt.
The Gunners have won all their last seven Europa League home games.
I was hugely surprised at the ease with which Arsenal won the opening round fixture between these two teams in Germany, but it is worth noting that this Frankfurt team has seen a lot of key departures from the team that reached the semifinals last season.
That said, Frankfurt have beaten Bayern Munich 5-1 at home in recent weeks, albeit with Bayern down to 10 men for the vast majority of that game. However, despite that, Frankfurt’s recent record isn’t great with just two wins in their last five. If they are to pip Standard Liege to qualification, then they need to pick up something here ideally.
The Gunners know that avoiding defeat will ensure that they progress, but I don’t think Unai Emery’s team can play for a draw. Their form at the moment is very poor and defensively they look weak and Arsenal’s best chance of getting the result they need, will be to approach this game like they need to win it. If they do that, then I feel with their Europa League record at home, they should secure a win, but I do feel they may need a couple of goals to ensure the three points.
Arsenal to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £33.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter