FA Cup 3rd Round Tips – 8th & 9th January
Well, we landed one win for £28 last weekend with Manchester City beating Arsenal, which means that we were £12.00 down on our tips overall, so not great but not a disaster either, but seeing as I am keeping tabs of my bets each week, I want to turn that figure black from red as soon as possible!
Doing that this week though could well be somewhat tricky. That’s because it is the FA Cup Third Round taking place over the course of four days from Friday night, through to Monday.
As usual, I am not including the Friday or Monday games in my tips for the week, which is a pity as I reckoned I had a great bet for the Man Utd v Aston Villa clash on Monday, and instead I am focusing on the games taking place over the weekend.
There are a number of intriguing games including an all-Premier League clash between Leicester City and Watford on Saturday and then we have another on Sunday between West Ham and Leeds United.
In terms of Championship teams v Premier League sides, Swansea v Southampton, West Brom v Brighton, Wolves v Sheffield United and Nottingham Forest v Arsenal all look intriguing.
There are also some opportunities for real giant killings with Liverpool facing Shrewsbury Town at Anfield, Chelsea at home to Chesterfield, Newcastle United facing Cambridge and Manchester City taking on Swindon in the Friday night game.
With Premier League teams likely to rest key men for this game, and a number without key players due to the African Cup of Nations, this could well be a tricky set of tips to get right, so I may play my cards a little more closely to my chest this week… or I could just risk it all for a biscuit and try to land one big win from the selections to ensure a good profit.
What I pick, will be decided, as always, by the data!
Football Betting Tips: Saturday 8th January
Brighton have been playing some great football of late and I really fancy them to get the job done here against a West Brom side who are doing well in the Championship but who I think are probably not as strong a side as other Baggies teams over the years.
In contrast, I think this Brighton team under Graham Potter is one of the best the club has ever seen and they are certainly playing some fantastic football, however if they have an achilles heel it is that they don’t score enough goals compared to the chances that they make in games.
That said, they did bag three away at Everton last weekend and I think that will set them up well for a similar performance here. West Brom are a decent team and they may score a goal, but I think Brighton will do more than enough to secure the win.
It is fair to say that since Swansea lost Steve Cooper as manager, they have not looked as dangerous a team as they did when he was at the helm. Russell Martin has done a decent job since coming in as manager but they are struggling at the wrong end of the Championship table.
Southampton are in a similar position in the Premier League but their recent form under Ralf Hassenhutl is not too bad at all and even if they were to rest some key players for this game, I would feel that they have a chance of landing the win inside 90 minutes.
I like the way that Southampton play at times and while they are susceptible defensively, especially against the better teams, they should not be too daunted taking on a Swansea team that has not been in good form recently.
I think the home team will score a goal, but I am backing the visitors to come away with a win here to move themselves into the fourth round of the tournament without too many problems.
Football Betting Tips: Sunday 9th January
It is hard to see Leeds United having the better of this game, unless West Ham decide to rest so many first teamers that it is essentially their reserve team playing this game. The only time David Moyes has done that was when the Hammers had qualified from their Europa League group and played their final game.
In the Carabao Cup, he played strong teams as evidenced by wins over Man City and Man Utd in that competition and I think he will likely go with another strong team here against a Leeds side that at least landed a much needed win last weekend over Burnley.
The Yorkshire side are starting to get some of their players back from injury now which will help Marcelo Bielsa’s team in the Premier League, but I am not sure with a survival battle on their hands, that the FA Cup will be too high up their list of priorities at the moment.
As such, I feel West Ham will take full advantage here and after having netted seven goals in their last two away games, I think they will bag a few more here in a 3-1 victory.
Looking at the lie of the land between these two teams, I think even if Arsenal decide to rest some key men for this game, which I think they will, they should still have enough to beat Forest, even with four stars away on African Cup of Nations duty.
Forest have had a bit of a blip in form of late, losing their last two which has seen them drop off the pace a little at the top of the Championship. They are not out of things yet but they do need to get back to the form that saw them charge up the table a few months back.
Arsenal’s good run of form means that I can’t really back against them here, even if Mikel Arteta does play a weakened team. For me Eddie Nketiah is the man to watch here, he is likely to start as he has been in superb goalscoring form in the Carabao Cup and with Pepe and Aubameyang absent, I think he will be Arsenal’s main attacking threat.
And given the goals that the Gunners have scored in recent games, in particular in the Carabao Cup, and with a week of rest behind them too after their game with Liverpool was cancelled, I fancy. The Gunners to score a fair few here and Nketiah to grab at least a brace.
*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.