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FA Cup 4th Round Tips: 26th & 27th January
by David Lenton
I’ve backed just the two winners over the last couple of weekends but I am still in profit which is great but I’d like to improve on that further this weekend as we take in a number of games taking place across Saturday and Sunday in the FA Cup.
It looks to me like there’s plenty of value on offer!
Here are tips for this coming weekend’s games and remember to check back on Monday next week to get my tips for the Premier League games taking place on Tuesday and Wednesday evening.
Football Tips: Saturday 26th January
January 26, 2019
January 26, 2019
Brighton lie in 13th in the Premier League table in relative mid table safety. They beat Bournemouth 3-1 on the road to reach the 4th round.
West Brom are 3rd in the Championship behind Leeds and Norwich City. They beat Wigan 1-0 at home to reach the fourth round of the FA Cup.
The teams have only met 22 times in total, West Brom winning 10, Brighton 5 and seven matches have ended in draws.
This will be the first ever meeting between the two teams in the FA Cup.
Of all the Fourth Round games in the FA Cup on Saturday and Sunday, I think this one is one of the more intriguing. West Brom are flying high in the Championship and they will face a Brighton side who have performed above expectation in the Premier League this season.
The Seagulls have an excellent record at home and that will be something that West Brom will be very wary of. However, I feel this West Brom side is a better one than the team that were relegated last season from the Premier League and they have the players who can cause Brighton some real problems.
I am also not convinced Brighton will play their absolute full-strength team for this game and as such, I feel that may tip the balance slightly in West Brom’s favour, although to be fair, I can’t quite see the Baggies coming away with an upset win.
As such, I think this will be a competitive and entertaining game and a draw looks the likely result to me.
A 3-0 win over Cardiff last weekend moved Newcastle up to 17th in the league. They beat Blackburn 4-2 in a replay to reach the 4th Round.
Watford are on an unbeaten run of five games since losing 2-1 at home to Chelsea & included in that run is a 1-1 draw with Newcastle.
When the teams met at St James’ Park in the Premier League, Newcastle emerged with a 1-0 win in November thanks to Ayoze Perez’s 65th minute strike.
Historically the teams are evenly matched. In the 44 games played, Newcastle have 16 wins to Watford’s 14 with 14 games drawn. Watford have won the last 2 FA Cup meetings.
This is a trickier game than usual to call as I feel that both sides may elect to rest a few key players for each team for this game and as such, I think that makes this a much more difficult game to predict the outcome of.
I have to be honest and say that Newcastle’s win over Cardiff last weekend was a shock as was their strong win over Blackburn in the 3rd round replay, a game which I felt Rovers had the better chance of winning against what was a second-string Newcastle side.
Watford defeated Woking to reach this stage of the competition and while I feel they are the better side, I am not sure Javier Gracia will want to risk some key players and I can see a number of key Watford players sitting on the bench at the start of this game.
Even so, I am still backing Watford, who are the form side, to come through and snatch a win as I believe they have better strength in depth and better current form than the home side.
West Ham’s inconsistent season continued with a 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth last weekend. They are 10th in the league. They beat Birmingham 2-0 in the 3rd Round.
AFC Wimbledon are rock bottom of League One after a 4-1 home defeat by Barnsley. They beat Fleetwood in the 3rd Round to reach this stage of the competition.
The teams met earlier this season in the Carabao Cup in August and West Ham emerged as the 3-1 winners from that game. Manuel Pellegrini’s first as West Ham manager.
The match in August was the only time the two teams have met previously, though West Ham have played former club Wimbledon several times in the past.
AFC Wimbledon’s season in League One hasn’t gone to plan with the relatively new club struggling in their first season at this level. They did give West Ham a shock in the Carabao Cup earlier in the season but since then the fortunes of the two teams have been somewhat different.
Despite being dogged by inconsistency, West Ham have generally performed better after a slow start to the season and while they can still throw in a poor display, as they did at Bournemouth last weekend, they should be good enough here to get the result they need.
With Marko Arnautovic’s move to China now seemingly at an end, the Hammers may elect to give the Austrian striker a chance to play in this game as he has been out of the squad since rumours of the move were first mooted.
Even so, I still think the Hammers will take the win but I am backing the home side to grab a goal against this leaky Hammers defence, although I don’t expect it to be enough.
West Ham To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £33.00
Crystal Palace lost narrowly 4-3 to Liverpool last time out. They lie 14th in the league on 22 points. They beat Grimsby 1-0 to reach the 4th Round.
Tottenham beat Tranmere 7-0 in the last round and a 2-1 win over Fulham ensured they remain in third position in the Premier League last weekend.
Spurs are likely to be without Son Hyeong-Min, Harry Kane and Dele Alli for this game, while other key players could be rested for the trip to Selhurst Park.
The teams met at Selhurst Park in the Premier League back in November when a single goal from Juan Foyth gave Tottenham a narrow 1-0 victory.
Tottenham boss Mauricio Pochettino faces some tough decisions ahead of this game. Not only is Son away on international duty but with Harry Kane and Dele Alli likely missing through injury, as well as his players in need of a break, Pochettino could well elect to play a weaker side as he did against Tranmere in the last round.
However, Crystal Palace are a much stronger side than the Birkenhead outfit and after coming away from Anfield without a point following a 4-3 game, Palace will be confident of turning in another good performance against one of the Premier League’s top six teams again here.
Roy Hodgson knows that Premier League survival is his main goal but a good FA Cup run would certainly lift Palace’s fans hopes and I feel as they are likely to be playing a Spurs side without three of its key weapons, they have a real chance here.
Palace pushed Liverpool hard, beat Manchester City and pushed Spurs hard in the league game between the teams and as such, I fancy them to take on a weakened Spurs side and grab the win here on Sunday.
Crystal Palace to win - £10 returns £32.00
*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter