FA Cup 5th Round Tips: 9th–11th February
If there was a game that summed up my football tips this year, it was the Man Utd v Everton game at the weekend.
I backed United to win and both teams to score. United were 3-2 up in the fifth minute of injury time and then conceded a ridiculously sloppy goal. £21 profit on that bet down the pan!
Thankfully Man City managed to beat Liverpool to give us a winner but we were still down £19 over the weekend from £10 stakes.
Honestly, I have lost track of the number of times that this has happened this season, when a goal in the last minute has screwed things up. You then compound that with Arsenal throwing a goal in for Aston Villa after 2 minutes and then being unable to score an equaliser in the remaining 88 plus injury time, when I was sat on the draw!
This week we have eight FA Cup Fifth Round ties to look at which sees a number of all-Premier League games including a couple of crackers involving top eight teams. In addition, we also have some tricky looking Championship v Premier League clashes too, with the potential for an upset or two.
Here’s my tips for the FA Cup 5th Round games this week.
Football Predictions: Tuesday 9th Feb
Sean Dyche won’t have been too displeased with his FA Cup Fifth Round draw at home to Bournemouth given the excellent record his side has against the Cherries. They have not only won all the last four, but five of the last six and 9 of the last 13. Bournemouth have just 2 wins in those 13 games which stretch back to September 1999.
With no news on who the new Bournemouth boss will be just yet, they come into the game with a caretaker boss in charge but also on the back of a home win which ended a run of four consecutive defeats which cost Jason Tindall the manager’s job. With promotion their main aim, this is a chance for the Cherries to potentially cause a mini cup upset.
However, their situation, the fact that they will prioritise promotion and the fact their record against Burnley is so poor, does make this seem unlikely. For whatever reason, Burnley seem to have Bournemouth’s number and I think that with some decent form behind them now, the home side will be confident here.
This will be close and it may only be one goal in it, but I do feel that Burnley are the team to back here.
This is a very interesting game and I think the result in this match is not as easy to predict as many people would expect, hence I have gone for a a somewhat unusual market for me for this fixture (and oddly enough, I’ve also gone with a similar market in another fixture this week too).
The problem is this. I just don’t trust Manchester United at home. How do you go from beating Liverpool 3-2, to losing to Sheff Utd 2-1, to beating Southampton 9-0 and then drawing 3-3 against Everton in your last four home games? Throwing away a 2-0 lead in the latter. It just doesn’t make sense.
And the problem for Manchester United is that this West Ham team is in pretty good shape. However, I think that if The Hammers are to win, it is vital that Pavel Soucek’s ridiculous red card given against Fulham is rescinded so that he can play for them here. His absence would be a huge blow if he is suspended.
In truth, I can’t make a convincing case for either side to win it, or even the draw, so I looked elsewhere and with both defences usually solid and both teams likely to play slightly weaker than usual sides, I think goals may be harder to come by so I have gone for the Under 2.5 goals market here for maximum flexibility.
FA Cup Fifth Round Tips: Wednesday 10th February
No matter how you look at this, Everton’s chances don’t look great when you check the history of the two teams. They haven’t beaten Spurs at home for over nine years, their only win in the last 16 games came in London back in September (a 1-0 win) and they have won just 3 times out 20 matches against Jose Mourinho teams.
So a Spurs win then? Well, no not really. Ahead of their game with West Brom on Sunday, Spurs have lost all their last three with Harry Kane’s absence with injury keenly felt in all those games. It also doesn’t look a particularly happy squad at Spurs with Dele Alli wanting out, Gareth Bale seemingly annoying Mourinho and Son looking a little bereft without the England Captain lining up alongside him in attack.
Spurs have also been shipping goals at a worrying rate too in recent games and regardless of how they do against a very poor West Brom side, I think this is a huge ask to go to Goodison to pick up a result, especially with Everton coming into this game on the back of a great 3-3 draw at Man Utd.
I do think Spurs will score here as I can see Mourinho giving fringe players a game and oddly, I think that may well make them more effective, but I can see Everton going well in the FA Cup this season and I’m backing them to snatch a 2-1 win.
FA Cup Tips: Thursday 11th Feb
These two teams are not regular opponents, in fact they have played just 34 games in their history and unsurprisingly, Chelsea have won the majority of these including the last encounter in the League Cup back in September when the London side were big 6-0 winners over the Tykes.
Barnsley are not a bad side though, but when they have played Chelsea in most recent times, they have conceded goals. In four of the last six, we have seen at least four goals scored in those games, mostly for Chelsea.
Admittedly, Chelsea are on the road, but the gulf in quality between these two teams, even if Thomas Tuchel were to rest a number of first choice stars, is so great that even so, Chelsea should come away with a very comfortable win.
Of course, backing a Chelsea win was a non-starter here, so I have looked at the fixture and decided the Over 3.5 goals is a better option market which means a 3-1 win for Chelsea or better, would result in a profitable payout.
*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.