Our weekend football tips didn’t do great last time out, with only one winner, but I am hoping to improve and get back on track after a good run in the FA Cup this weekend. I’ve got a selection of games from the Fourth Round of the competition which look promising.
In the last round of the FA Cup, there were several big upsets with Arsenal, Bournemouth and Stoke City all being dumped out of the competition by lower league opponents, while Chelsea only just scraped through on penalties against a spirited Norwich City side.
There’s a real mix of games across the weekend but I’m not interested in the games on Friday night as neither of them had any great value betting on them in my view, hence I’ve focused my attentions on the games on Saturday 27th, with one Sunday game also in the selection.
Football Tips: Saturday 27th January
January 27, 2018
January 27, 2018
Peterborough have lost just once in their last six games, but have drawn three of those matches.
The Posh lie 8th in League One & beat Villa 3-1 away from home in the Third Round to reach this stage.
Leicester have also lost just one game in their last six and they currently lie in 7th place in the Premier League table ahead of Burnley on goal difference.
Leicester defeated Fleetwood Town in the Third Round 2-0 in a replay, after they drew the first game 0-0 at Fleetwood's Highbury Ground.
Claude Puel has already shown that he isn't taking the FA Cup too seriously having rested some key players for their two games with Fleetwood Town in the Third Round and they face a Peterborough United side who are in decent form themselves with just one defeat in their last six.
The Posh played superbly to down Aston Villa away from home in the last round and they face more Midlands opponents here, but in Leicester, this is a team that is far more robust than Villa and who also have considerably better players.
Peterborough are a team that also blow hot and cold and they are just as capable of a poor performance as they are a good one. Leicester on the other hand are far more consistent and I think in the end, that will be the difference between the teams.
I can't really see this one being decided in the 90 minutes allowed here, so I am backing the draw but I do feel Leicester will eventually do enough to get through.
Wigan are currently top of the League One table and look in a very strong position to achieve promotion back to the Championship this season.
The Latics defeated Bournemouth 3-0 in a replay at the DW Stadium in the last round after drawing 2-2 in the first game between the teams.
David Moyes has turned around West Ham's season and the Hammers now lie in 11th place in the league table, four points clear of the relegation places.
They needed an injury time goal to defeat Shrewsbury Town in a replay at the London Stadium after the two teams drew 0-0 in the first match between the teams.
Wigan Athletic are looking very likely to jump back into the Championship this season as they sit clear at the top of League One and having thumped Bournemouth 3-0 in their replay (and having held a 2-0 lead in the first game before two late goals levelled matters) this looks like being a very tough match for David Moyes' West Ham side.
The Hammers only scraped through against another League One promotion chasing side Shrewsbury in the last round. An extra time goal enough to eliminate the Shrews in the replay after the first game finished 0-0. However, that does show the Hammers are now much more resilient under David Moyes.
This is a tough game for West Ham and while I don't think Moyes will play a full-strength side, I think he'll know he needs a strong team to stand any chance here. If he picks it then I feel that the Hammers are good enough to get something. Anything less and Wigan could knock out another Premier League opponent.
I am backing West Ham to pick a stronger than usual side for this one and to earn the right to a replay in London.
Liverpool remain fourth in the Premier League despite their shock 1-0 loss to Swansea City on Monday night.
The Reds defeated Everton 2-1 thanks to a late header from debutant Virgil Van Dijk in the Third Round at Anfield.
West Brom are 19th in the Premier League table with just 3 wins in 24 games, but they did earn a 0-0 draw at Anfield just a few weeks back.
The Baggies earned a place in the Fourth Round with a solid 2-0 win at Exeter City. Salomon Rondon and Jay Rodriguez scoring the goals.
West Brom haven't beaten Liverpool I a competitive game since February 2013, but in the nine games since then, the Baggies have emerged with a draw on five occasions, including the last time the two teams met back in December. (a 0-0 draw at Anfield).
Indeed, all the games between the teams since that result in Feb 2013 have been close run affairs bar one match, which Liverpool won 4-1 in October 2013. Alan Pardew of course has FA Cup history against Liverpool, scoring the goal for Crystal Palace that won their semi-final 4-3 many years ago.
Liverpool also come into this game on the back of a rare defeat, a 1-0 loss at Swansea which saw Liverpool put in a sub-standard performance which left boss Jurgen Klopp very disappointed at the final whistle. Another below par performance here could see them facing a replay, or worse.
I don't foresee too many goals here but I do feel that the Reds owe their fans a win and I am backing them to get it, but I don't think it'll be a game crammed with goals, more likely a 1-0 or 2-0 win for the home side.
Chelsea are currently third in the table, 3 points ahead of Liverpool in fourth and three behind Manchester United in second.
The Blues are in a poor run of form having won just one of their last six games (a 4-0 win away to Brighton last weekend).
Newcastle United lie in 15th place in the Premier League table with 23 points from 24 games, just one point above the relegation places.
Newcastle reached the Fourth Round thanks to a 3-1 win over Luton. Chelsea scraped through on penalties after a replay against Norwich City.
Chelsea have a solid record against Newcastle of late, losing just one of the last six games between the team (a 2-1 loss in December 2014) and earlier this season they defeated Newcastle 3-1 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League.
It's hard to imagine Rafa Benitez going too expansive here even with Chelsea not being in great form. The Spaniard tends to play a very defensive team away from home against the big boys and in truth, I think the FA Cup is a distraction to him as he attempts to keep Newcastle in the Premier League.
I don't expect either team to be at massively full-strength here, but I do feel that both will pick relatively strong teams, it's just that I think Chelsea's squad is so much stronger in quality and depth than Newcastle that this means it should be a comfortable win for the home team here.
Chelsea were poor against Norwich in both games but showed their quality against Brighton before another loss to Arsenal in midweek, but I'm expecting them to put that right on Sunday and get a comfortable win here.
The Cheeky Punter is an professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.