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FA Cup Tips: 4th & 5th January 2020

FA Cup Final TipsWe landed just the one winner in the last set of tips, though we missed out on a couple more by just one goal here or there. That is a bit disappointing as it means that I start 2020 with a loss to the bookmakers.

So, my aim here is to make back that loss and head straight back into profit at the earliest available opportunity and I think this selection of tips for the FA Cup Third Round ties being played this weekend across the country offers me a decent chance to do that.

That said, we need to be a little cute here too. Many managers will play much weakened teams in this competition and that does mean that you are more likely to get a few surprise results, if not outright giant killings. This is especially the case when you have two Premier League or a Premier League or Championship team clashing and you feel one team is more likely to be close or near full strength compared to the other.

It’s always a great weekend to kick off the year though, so here are my tips for four games taking place across Saturday and Sunday in the FA Cup this weekend, including of course Sunday’s huge Merseyside derby at Anfield.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 4th January

January 4, 2020
Brighton
VS
Sheffield Wednesday
Amex Stadium
3:00 pm
Brighton Logo
Brighton
VS
Sheffield Wednesday Logo
Sheffield Wednesday
January 4, 2020
Amex Stadium
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Brighton are 14th in the EPL, with 24 points from 21 games.
  • Sheff Wed lie 7th in the Championship, with 39 points from 26 games.
  • 60% of Wednesday’s games in the Championship have seen both teams score.
  • 19 of Brighton’s first 21 games in the EPL have seen 2 or more goals scored.
Analysis:

This is going to be an interesting game between two sides who look well-matched on paper. Sheffield Wednesday have enjoyed a decent season in the Championship to lie in 7th place in the table but they have lost all their last three. Brighton have picked up four points from their last two EPL games but I do feel Graham Potter may well elect to rest a couple of key men for this one after the busy festive period.

As such, I feel this gives a Wednesday team, who do tend to score goals a bit of a fighting chance here. The Owls have produced some decent FA Cup performances in recent times and if Brighton are below strength, they will certainly fancy their chances of an upset on the south coast.

However, I feel that Brighton will still pick a relatively strong side, with just a few key players rested, rather than wholesale changes being made. If they do that, then I feel they have enough quality to get the win here, especially after their battling draw at home with Chelsea on New Year’s Day.

I do fancy the Owls to score, but I think Brighton will progress into the next round most likely by a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline.

Brighton to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £35.00
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January 4, 2020
Fulham
VS
Aston Villa
Craven Cottage
3:00 pm
Fulham Logo
Fulham
VS
Aston Villa Logo
Aston Villa
January 4, 2020
Craven Cottage
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Villa have won two of their last three to move to 17th in the EPL table.
  • Fulham lie 5th in the Championship with 42 points from 26 games.
  • Fulham have picked up the second highest number of points at home in the Championship.
  • Aston Villa have picked up just 7 points on the road in the EPL this season.
Analysis:

This is another tricky game to predict between two teams that may be in different divisions but who otherwise look well matched. Villa will have picked up some confidence from that fine win at Burnley on New Year’s Day, but in the past they have failed to follow wins up with other wins and a trip to London to face Fulham is a tough ask.

Fulham have the second-best record in the Championship in terms of their home form and while they do concede a fair few goals, they also score them, especially at home. This is a game where I can see both teams scoring but where a late goal or the strength of the teams selected may well have a big impact.

I can see both teams perhaps resting one or two players, with Villa likely to rest perhaps a couple more for this game and with so few of Villa’s players getting amongst the goals, and a couple of key injuries, I think Fulham could spring something of a surprise here.

This will be close and it may take a late goal to win it, but I am backing Fulham to come away with the win but also for both teams to score.

Fulham to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £37.50
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January 4, 2020
Wolverhampton Wanderers
VS
Man Utd
Molineux
5:30 pm
Wolverhampton Wanderers Logo
Wolverhampton Wanderers
VS
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
January 4, 2020
Molineux
5:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Wolves lie 7th in the Premier League. They reached the FA Cup Semi Finals last season.
  • United are 5th in the EPL table. Wolves knocked them out of the FA Cup last season.
  • United have not beaten Wolves since March 2012 (four games, 2 draws, 2 defeats).
  • Prior to Wolves win last season, United had won every other FA Cup tie between the two.
Analysis:

Wolves knocked Manchester United out of the FA Cup in the fifth round last season recording a 2-0 win over the Red Devil’s at Molineux. The midland side would go on to reach th semifinals where they lost a dramatic game in extra time to Watford to miss out on the chance of playing in the Wembley final.

For Manchester United, with the league out of reach, the FA Cup is the most prestigious domestic trophy that they can win this season. Manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has already made it clear his team is chasing silverware as well as Champions League qualification this season so I am expecting the United manager to name a relatively strong team here.

Similarly, Wolves boss Nuno Santos is not one to play very weakened sides in the FA Cup as he proved last season on Wolves strong run. The teams drew 1-1 in the EPL earlier in the season at Molineux and I predict another close encounter again. The key factor for me here is United’s away form, which has been poor this season. Wolves have hit a sticky patch but even so, I still feel they will do enough to claim the win.

Wolves to win - £10 returns £26.50
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Football Predictions: Sunday 5th January

January 5, 2020
Liverpool
VS
Everton
Anfield
4:00 pm
Liverpool Logo
Liverpool
VS
Everton Logo
Everton
January 5, 2020
Anfield
4:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Liverpool remain well clear at the top of the EPL and that is their main focus.
  • Everton’s better form of late has seen them move up to 11th place in the EPL table.
  • Jurgen Klopp will likely rest a number of stars as he tends to do in the FA Cup each season.
  • Liverpool have won the last two FA Cup encounters by a 2-1 scoreline each time.
Analysis:

When these teams last met in the EPL, Liverpool scored an impressive 5-2 victory over an Everton side that looked lost under Marco Silva. Since then, the. Toffees have sacked their manager and replaced him with Carlo Ancelotti, the only manager to have recorded a win over a full-strength Liverpool team this season (with Napoli in the Champions League).

Everton;s improvement in form of late came to a halt at Manchester City on New Year’s Day, but their performance wasn’t too bad and I think that they will come to Anfield in good spirits and confident of causing an upset, most likely as they know the Liverpool team they will face will not be the strongest.

Jurgen Klopp has not been shy to rotate many first teamers out of his team in the FA Cup and if he does that here, he could be in trouble. However, with this game being against local rivals, I can see Klopp picking a stronger than usual team and resting just a few players as he did in the league game.

If he does that and Liverpool are missing just a couple of stars, then I think the Reds will secure a narrow win. Both teams should find the net, especially if Liverpool rest van Dijk or Gomes (or both) but I just fancy the home side to sneak a win and a place in the fourth round, probably by the odd goal in three.

Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £28.00
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Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter