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FA Cup Tips & Predictions: Sat 6th & Sun 7th Jan
by the Cheeky Punter
It’s safe to say I have started 2018 with a bang, landing three tips for some big money wins.
Boom! – Liverpool to beat Burnley with both teams to score
Boom! – Man Utd to beat Everton to nil
Boom! – Chelsea and Arsenal to draw
If you’d bet £10 on all tips in my first post of the year you’d be up £87.50… ship it!
I’d also like to thank everyone who left comments on my previous football betting tips post, I love to get them and would really like to get more discussion going this year in the comments section.
Let me know which of these FA Cup tips betting tips you like and dislike plus what you’re backing in the comments below.
FA Cup Football Tips: Saturday 6th January
January 6, 2018
January 6, 2018
Blackburn currently sit 3rd in the League One table on 49 points from 25 games only losing four matches in the league all season.
Hull City currently lie in 21st place in the Championship league table on goal difference ahead of Burton Albion in the final relegation spot.
Hull have won two of the last three games between the teams with the other being a draw. Over history though, Blackburn have 29 wins to Hull’s 14 (17 draws).
The teams last met in the FA Cup in the 4th Round 1954 where Hull City won 2-1 in a replay after the teams drew 2-2 in the first game.
The teams last met back in the Championship back in February 2016 with Hull earning a 2-0 victory at Ewood Park on their way to promotion. However, since then the Tykes were relegated from the Premier League and Blackburn’s fortunes, after relegation to League One, have improved a little.
In short there are now just five places between the teams in the League pyramid and as such, I think the advantage of being at home for Blackburn is key here. Especially given Rovers relatively strong performances at home in the League this year.
Hull’s form this year has fluctuated and they do seem to be losing too many games by the odd goal. However, when they get things right, they can win with relative comfort but that doesn’t seem to be happening too often for the Tigers at the moment.
I think this will be a closely fought game and while I can’t see Hull winning, I can make a case for a draw or a Blackburn win. The one thing that decides this for me is home advantage and I can see Rovers just sneaking a late goal here to earn that fourth-round spot.
Coventry lie third in the League Two table with 44 points from 26 games. They are on a fine run with four wins in their last five games.
Stoke City are struggling for form with four defeats in their last six games and they have now dropped to 18th place in the League table.
Stoke have conceded a divisional high 47 goals in their 22 games this season, seven more than the next worst defence in the Premier League (Watford).
Coventry have shipped a divisional low 18 goals in their games this season, but have scored just 28 goals themselves (34 less than leaders Luton who have 62 goals).
I bet I am not the only punter to look at this fixture, look at the recent form of both the teams, the fact that it is a relatively close Midlands derby match and that the underdogs have been drawn at home and felt that this has the potential for a giant killing.
Stoke City’s recent form under Mark Hughes is poor and the managers future has been openly discussed at boardroom level over the past week. Is Hughes on borrowed time? A defeat here may well hasten his departure and that pressure may make Hughes select a stronger team than he would like to for this game, especially after such a busy run of fixtures over Xmas and New Year.
However, Coventry are rock solid defensively and with Stoke’s attack hardly firing on all cylinders, even at full strength, and even some disquiet by fans at the perceived lack of effort from some players, this is not an easy game to win for the Premier League side.
While I can’t quite see Coventry pulling off an upset here, I do think they will do enough to earn a replay at the bet365 Stadium and so I am banking on this one finishing as a low-scoring draw after 90 minutes.
Fulham have endured a bit of an inconsistent season but lie in 10th place in the Championship and on the fringes of the Playoff places.
Southampton are on a poor run of form which has seen them drop down the Premier League table into 17th place, just above the drop zone.
Southampton are without a win in nine games, their last wina 4-1 victory over Everton back in November.
Fulham have won four of their last six games and have lost just once in that period. They are unbeaten in their last four, winning three.
Fulham have a very good home record at Craven Cottage and that will be bad news for a Southampton side that have struggled a great deal in the Premier League of late. Mauricio Pellegrini has been under pressure after his side’s run of nine games without a win and an early FA Cup exit would certainly heap more pressure on him.
Fulham’s main issues this season have been conceding goals mainly away from home. Only Bristol City and Sheffield Wednesday have picked up wins at Craven Cottage and their form over the festive period has been excellent.
I also feel Fulham have a number of top players destined for higher levels such as Ryan Sessegon and I think these talented players now have a great platform to showcase their talents against Premier League opponents.
For me this is the one fixture on Saturday I feel confident will be a giant killing hence I am backing Fulham for the win here.
Shrewsbury lie second in the League One table, two points behind leaders Wigan Athletic with 54 points from 25 games. They have lost just 3 times in the league.
West Ham lie 16th in the Premier League at the time of writing ahead of their clash with Tottenham on Thursday night. A win here could move them as high as 11th.
The teams have met just four times previously, West Ham losing the first two games in 1979 and 1980, before winning the next two in 1980 and 1981.
West Ham manager is a former player for the Shrews and featured for them between 1987 and 1990.
West Ham come into this game having played two games in a 72-hour spell in the week leading up to the match, so it would be a huge surprise if David Moyes asked the players who featured in those games to play once again on Sunday.
As such, I am expecting a below-strength West Ham to be facing one of the form sides in the country in Shrewsbury who have been beaten just three times in the league so far this season and look on course to earn an outright promotion spot into the Championship.
That contrasts sharply with the Hammers inconsistent form and with the visitors also likely to be under strength, I see a real chance of an upset here if Shrewsbury can find their best form. My one caveat here though is that David Moyes is very good at avoiding shock defeats with his teams and as such, I feel the Hammers should just do enough.
I can’t back West Ham to win here, but I do think they’ll do enough to earn a replay and then get the job done back in London. So it is a draw for me.
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.