Football Betting Tips: September 30th & October 1st

Football Tips & PredictionsA European week preceding this weekend’s games means that there’s seven matches on Saturday and three on Sunday this week, which is a nice balance, especially with the quality of games taking place on the second day of the weekend.

Last week, we backed Manchester United to beat Southampton to nil and Spurs to beat West Ham with both teams scoring successfully which prompted yet another profitable weekend of football tips.

Lets hope we can keep the ball rolling and my football betting tips for September 30th and October 1st do as well as last weekend.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 30th September

September 30, 2017
Huddersfield Town
VS
Tottenham
John Smith’s Stadium
12:30 pm
Huddersfield Town Logo
Huddersfield Town
VS
Tottenham Logo
Tottenham
September 30, 2017
John Smith’s Stadium
12:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Spurs are 4th in the Premier League with 11 points from six games, Huddersfield lie in 8th position with 9 points from their half dozen matches.
  • Tottenham should welcome back Dele Alli, Jan Vertonghen and Christian Erikssen who all missed their midweek Champions League win over APOEL Nicosia.
  • Huddersfield striker Steve Mounie could be fit to play if he recovers in time from a heel injury. Quaner, Williams and Palmer however will all miss out.
  • The teams have met 40 times in total, Huddersfield winning 16, Spurs 11 with 13. Draws. However their last league game came back in March 1972 (a 1-1 draw).
Analysis:

Huddersfield Town’s start to the season will have been a pleasant surprise for manager David Wagner and the Terriers fans, only one defeat in six games has them comfortably in the top half, although they are now without a win in their last five games in all competitions.

In contrast Spurs come into this game with five wins and one draw in their last six and they have recovered well following that early season home defeat by Chelsea. A superb 3-0 win in Cyprus in midweek in the Champions League, thanks to a Harry Kane hat-trick, sets them up nicely for this game.

I’d love to see Huddersfield get something here, but with key players returning for Spurs, I just don’t see how Town can find a way past what is a very talented and tight Spurs back line. It won’t be a rout I don’t think but I do think Spurs will get the job done here without conceding a goal.

Tottenham To Win To Nil - £10 returns £22.50
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September 30, 2017
West Brom
VS
Watford
Hawthorns
3:00 pm
West Brom Logo
West Brom
VS
Watford Logo
Watford
September 30, 2017
Hawthorns
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • West Brom lie 12th in the table with 8 points from six games, while Watford are sixth in the table having taken 11 points from their six games.
  • All Watford’s wins in the Premier League this season have come away from home. They are yet to win a game at home this season.
  • West Brom have won one and drawn two of their home games this season. They have managed more than one goal just once all season long (away to Accrington Stanley).
  • The Baggies have won just one of the last five against Watford, suffering two defeats in that time, including a 1-0 home defeat in April 2016.
Analysis:

This isn’t as obvious a call as it would seem. To many, this is a nailed on home win, but West Brom have now not won in five games, losing three of their last four, while Watford have won all three of their away games in the Premier League at Bournemouth, Southampton and Swansea, conceding just one goal in the process.

Marco Silva has shown with Hull last season that he knows how to set his team up to pick up results on the road and but for some very shaky home form, Watford could even be higher in the table than their current 6th place position.

I’ve been very disappointed with West Brom this season and I think this is a team that has lost its way a little. Saido Berahino hasn’t been replaced adequately and while Grzegorz Krychowiak looks an inspired signing, he isn’t a goalscorer and that is what the Baggies sorely lack.

I’m going for Watford to pinch this one by a single goal in a game I don’t think will see many goals.

Watford to win - £10 returns £37.50
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September 30, 2017
Chelsea
VS
Man City
Stamford Bridge
5:30 pm
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
VS
Man City Logo
Man City
September 30, 2017
Stamford Bridge
5:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Manchester City are top of the Premier League with 16 points from 6 games, City have scored 21 goals and conceded just two in the League this season.
  • Chelsea lie third in the table with 13 points scoring 12 goals and conceding five. However they are unbeaten in five league games following their opening day loss to Burnley.
  • The teams have met 157 in total, Chelsea winning 66, Man City winning 52 and there have been 39 draws. Chelsea won both matches between the teams last season.
  • David Luiz is back from suspension for Chelsea, but new signing Danny Drinkwater is an absentee with a calf strain.
Analysis:

There is no denying that this could well be one of the games that has the biggest influence on the destiny of the league title. That may be a bold prediction just seven games in but given the dominance shown by the two Manchester clubs, many Premier League sides will be hoping for a Chelsea win here.

City though look imperious. Their defence seems to be much tighter this season while they still carry a real goal threat. They defeated Shakhtar at home in the Champions League in the week and have had an extra day to prepare for this crucial game.

Chelsea though have home advantage and apart from their opening day aberration against Burnley, they have looked back to their best this season. That said, they will know that losing to City here could be a huge blow for them in the title race.

I don’t think they will lose however, but neither do I think they will win. This to me looks a nailed on 1-1 or 2-2 draw.

Draw & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £45.00
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Football Predictions: Sunday 1st October

October 1, 2017
Newcastle United
VS
Liverpool
St James' Park
4:30 pm
Newcastle United Logo
Newcastle United
VS
Liverpool Logo
Liverpool
October 1, 2017
St James' Park
4:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Liverpool lie fifth in the Premier League with 11 points, while Newcastle are 10th in the table having taken nine points.
  • Liverpool are on a run of just one win in six games, that at Leicester last week, while Newcastle have won three of their last four.
  • The teams have played 173 times in their history, Liverpool winning 82, Newcastle 50 and there have been 41 draws between the teams.
  • Liverpool’s last win at St James’ Park came back in April 2013, when they cruised to a 6-0 win. They have drawn once and lost twice in matches there since.
Analysis:

Rafa Benitez will be back to lead his Newcastle side against his former employers at St James’ Park and the good news for the Spaniard is that Newcastle have a relatively strong record over Liverpool at home, winning four of the last six games between the teams at St James’ Park since 2010.

Jurgen Klopp will be puzzling how to get his team to convert their possession and chances into goals after a number of draws against teams that the Reds have dominated, but failed to score enough goals against to convert into a win.

The visitors have real defensive issues and they surfaced last week against Leicester and Newcastle will likely want to put the Liverpool defence under as much pressure as possible. I think they will take full advantage here but perhaps only to secure a point in what will likely be a score draw.

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the Cheeky Punter

the Cheeky Punter

The Cheeky Punter is an professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.

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