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Football Betting Tips: 14th & 15th April
by the Cheeky Punter
Well if you predicted Liverpool, Roma, Juventus wins and a Bayern Munich draw with Sevilla in the Champions League this week, I hope you are enjoying your new life as a multi-millionaire.
I’ve never known a Champions League week like it but thankfully we managed a bit of a recovery in the Europa League on Thursday night and I’m keen to continue that into the weekend.
There’s a massive clash to look forward to on Saturday night between Tottenham and Manchester City which will have the other top four teams looking on, plus Chelsea in fifth. There’s also lots of matches involving teams at the foot of the table looking to pick up vital points in their quest to stay in the Premier League. Plus Newcastle v Arsenal on Sunday is always a cracking game to look forward to.
Here are my tips for a busty weekend of Premier League action.
Premier League Tips: Saturday 14th April
April 14, 2018
April 14, 2018
Southampton lie in 18th place, albeit with a game in hand on C.Palace but 3 points adrift of their nearest rivals at the foot of the table.
Chelsea are fifth, ten points behind Tottenham in fourth as they chase a Champions League place next season - it’s an uphill battle.
The teams have met exactly 100 times in their history, Southampton winning 30 times, Chelsea 42 and there have been 28 draws between the teams.
Southampton have won just two of the last 18 games between the teams in all competitions, Chelsea winning 11 of those games in contrast.
Quite simply, this is a game that both teams must win if their ambitions this season are to be realised. For Chelsea that means top four at the very least, for Southampton it is avoiding the dreaded drop into the Championship. Both teams are at the stage where a point will not help them a great deal in their aims.
Chelsea’s form in recent times has been very erratic and I do feel that the manager has lost the team a little and perhaps has also lost support at the board level. Conte does seem to be on limited time and in truth, the team are playing like that. That said, if they play well, Chelsea can beat anybody on their day and Southampton will be well aware of that.
The Saints are now at the point of needing wins against any opponent and that isn’t great for Mark Hughes’ team. However at home, the Saints are a match for anybody and I think they have a decent chance of getting something here. They battled well at Arsenal last week and I think they’ll do the same here but perhaps will take home a point against a struggling Chelsea team.
Burnley are arguably the form team in the Premier League at the moment having won all of their last four games and they are unbeaten in five.
The teams have met 109 times in their history, Burnley winning 44 of those games, Leicester City winning 35 and there have been 30 draws.
Leicester’s recent form is somewhat more erratic with two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last six games. They have won nine of the last 12 games against Burnley.
This is a crucial battle as if Southampton fail to win the FA Cup, then the 7th place team in the Premier League will receive a Europa League spot next season.
Burnley’s season has been a massive success for Sean Dyche and his team. They are pushing hard for a top seven finish which may, if Southampton fail to win the FA Cup, be enough to qualify for the Europa League this season, a remarkable achievement for a team with one of the lowest budgets in the Premier League.
Burnley’s strength is defensive and they will need to be at their best against the twin strike force of Vardy and Mahrez. Leicester’s duo haven’t hit the heights of their remarkable Premier League winning season but they are showing glimpses of that form and Burnley will need to be very wary of the threat they pose.
Even so, I think Burnley’s back line is so strong they should be able to hold Leicester and I fancy the home side to get one of their now customary 1-0 wins at home which would give them a real chance of landing that 7th spot in the table.
Manchester City come into this game on their worst run of the season with three defeats in their last three games and four defeats in their last six.
Fernandinho is suspended for Man City, while John Stones is a doubt with a thigh injury. Bernard Mendy is still out with a long-term knee problem.
Tottenham are yet to be beaten in the Premier League in 2018 and their last defeat came against City in a 4-1 loss at the Etihad on December 16th 2017.
The teams have met 154 times in their history with Spurs having 60 wins, Manchester City 59 and there have been 35 draws between the teams.
Manchester City come into this huge clash in the unusual position of having experienced three defeats in a row and four in their last six games. FC Basel, Manchester United and Liverpool (twice) have inflicted those defeats on a City team that will win the league, but do seem to be struggling with a lack of confidence when a team scores a goal or two against them.
Tottenham will be looking to do precisely that. Mauricio Pochettino’s team will be looking for revenge following a 4-1 thumping at the Etihad back in December and since that day, Spurs have been unbeaten in the Premier League, their only losses coming in the Champions League game with Juventus.
This should be a cracking, attacking game and while you can make a case for either side winning, I think it is more important for both teams not to lose the game for a variety of reasons and for that reason, I am backing this one to end up in a competitive draw.
This game is just 60 hours after Arsenal’s game in Moscow on Thursday meaning it is a very quick turnaround for the Gunners.
Newcastle have not beaten Arsenal at home in the Premier League since 2005, thanks to a single Nolberto Solano strike.
Newcastle come into this game in great form having picked up wins in each of their last three home games and winning all of their last three, easing their relegation worries.
Arsenal now sit just three points behind Chelsea in fifth but Arsene Wenger played an under-strength side last weekend against Southampton and may do so again here.
It’s staggering to think that it is 13 years since Newcastle last experienced a win over Arsenal on their home ground, but Rafa Benitez men may have a great chance to do precisely that against a Gunners side that have been ill at ease away from home on many occasions this season.
Newcastle also come into this game on the back of a fine run of form which has seen them win all of their last three games and all of their last three home games, which has moved them up the table away from the threat of relegation and into relative safety in mid-table. That is a fine job from Benitez and his team given the lack of investment he has had for players.
Arsenal though are in better form themselves but one concern for me here is that with their game in Moscow just a few days before this, I can see Wenger rotating several players for this game and Arsenal may well play a weaker side. For that reason alone, I can’t see Arsenal winning this one but I fancy that Newcastle won’t get that elusive win either as I am backing a draw here.
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.