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Football Betting Tips: 1st & 2nd September
by the Cheeky Punter
A Chelsea win vs Newcastle last Sunday, and both teams to score, ensured we only had a small loss on last weekends football tips. £10 stakes would have lost just £3.50.
No damage done and we go again this weekend in search of more value!
We’ve got a trio of games on Saturday, two of which feature Liverpool and Manchester City, while on Sunday Arsenal face an intriguing trip to Cardiff in a game that I feel offers the best value bet on the day.
Let’s hope that we can now start to turn more of these predictions into winners as we did the weekend before last when 75% of the selections landed to record a healthy profit.
Football Betting Tips: Saturday 1st September
September 1, 2018
King Power Stadium
September 1, 2018
King Power Stadium
After an unlucky opening day defeat to Manchester United, Leicester have bounced back with wins over Wolves and Southampton in their next two games.
Liverpool have a 100% record heading into this game, winning all of their games without conceding a goal beating West Ham, Crystal Palace and Brighton.
Leicester have won three and drawn two of the last six games played at the King Power Stadium against Liverpool, with the Red’s achieving just one win in that time – last season.
The Foxes have a decent historic record against Liverpool winning 39 games to Liverpool’s 47 with 24 draws in the 110 games between the teams.
Last season’s corresponding fixture between the teams finished in a 3-2 win for Liverpool and in truth, this is a game that I think could well have a similar scoreline and outcome.
I’ve been really impressed with Leicester City this season, not just in the two games they won but also how they played when losing at Old Trafford to Manchester United. They look a very solid team and I think they will definitely give Liverpool by far their sternest test of the season so far.
The Reds have won all three games and are yet to concede a goal, but I do think Leicester will breach their defence at the weekend. That said, I think Liverpool’s attacking trio of Mane, Salah and Firmino are just starting to show signs of getting back to the form that made them so electric at the end of last season and that will be a real worry for Leicester fans.
I do think there will be goals at both ends in this game but I think Liverpool’s greater attacking threat will just about see them through, although I am expecting a close one and either a 2-1 win or a 3-2 win for the visitors.
Liverpool To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £31.50
Palace started the season brightly with a 2-0 win over Fulham but have since lost 2-0 at home to Liverpool and then 2-1 on the road to Watford last weekend.
Southampton have picked up one point so far this season, from a 0-0 draw with Burnley losing their next two games to Everton and Leicester City.
There has been a total of just two draws between the teams in the last 23 games stretching back to January 2006.
The teams have met 106 times in total, Southampton have 45 wins, Crystal Palace have 39 and there have been a total of 22 draws between them.
For me, I think Crystal Palace are the team to back here. The Eagles may have lost their last two games, but the teams that beat them, Liverpool and Watford, both have 100% records this season and in both games, Palace have a really good account of themselves.
I think they’ll have things a bit easier against a Southampton side which hasn’t improved a great deal on last season and who under Mark Hughes, I feel are going to struggle to climb the table this season having picked up just one point from their opening two games so far. For me, I think they are one of the weaker teams in this division this season.
In comparison, I think Palace are a side that are on the up under Roy Hodgson and I view them more as a safe mid-table side rather than a team that will be battling relegation. The key to achieving that is picking up wins against teams below them and that is precisely what I can see happening here.
My gut reaction here is that Palace win this game to nil given Southampton’s rather limited attacking resources, but I think I’d rather take the slightly better than even money option on just a Palace win to have a bit more flexibility in the bet.
Man City won their opening two games against Arsenal and Huddersfield before dropping two points in a 1-1 draw with Wolverhampton Wanderers last weekend.
Newcastle have picked up just one point from a 0-0 draw away at Cardiff, losing their other two games at home to Tottenham and last weekend to Chelsea.
City have netted a Premier League high nine goals from their three games, conceding two. Newcastle are yet to score a goal on the road in the Premier League this season.
The teams have met 177 times. City winning 67, Newcastle 71 and 39 matches have been drawn. City have won 19 of the last 21 games between the teams however.
It’s fair to say Manchester City were a little unlucky against Wolves last weekend with Willy Boly’s goal for the home side going into the net off his arm and City hitting the woodwork on several occasions as they laid siege to the Wolves goal.
However, the home side also caused City a fair few problems themselves and they have at least shown teams in the division that teams can take points off City if they are willing to back themselves and their talent, and of course, have a bit of luck at times.
City will want to bounce back quickly and I can see them doing so here against a Newcastle side that has lost both its home games this season (admittedly to Spurs and Chelsea) and who only managed a 0-0 draw at Cardiff the last time they played on the road.
The Etihad with City needing a win on Saturday evening is not an easy job for Rafa Benitez’ men and in truth I can see City winning this one by a few goals, though I am backing Newcastle to at least fine the net once.
Man City To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £28.80
Football Betting Predictions: Sunday 2nd September
September 2, 2018
Cardiff City Stadium
September 2, 2018
Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City come into this game having drawn both of their last two games 0-0, following an opening day 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth.
Cardiff are yet to score this season. However two of their opponents have been reduced to 10 men (vs Newcastle and Huddersfield)
Arsenal bounced back to winning ways at the weekend with a 3-1 win over West Ham following two defeats to Manchester City and Chelsea.
Cardiff have not beaten Arsenal since 1961. The Gunners have won 20 of the 44 games between the teams, Cardiff with 10 wins and there’s been 14 draws.
It’s fair to say that Arsenal and Cardiff City don’t cross paths too often, but when they have in the recent past, it is the Gunners that have enjoyed by far the most success. Cardiff’s last win over Arsenal in any competition was back in 1961 and the Gunners have won almost all of the games contested between the teams in any competition since.
The fact that Neil Warnock’s men are finding goals so difficult to come by is a real worry for me regarding their future in the Premier League. 0-0 draws are acceptable occasionally but they cannot be your sole source of points and I think Arsenal will be a big step up in class for Cardiff compared to Huddersfield and Newcastle United.
After a somewhat edgy 3-1 win over West Ham that was more difficult than the result suggests, Unai Emery will be hoping his team can build some confidence and momentum here with a second win in a row and given the quality Arsenal possess, especially going forward, it is hard to make a case for anything other than an Arsenal win here.
Furthermore, with Cardiff’s well-documented woes in front of goal, I cannot see the Gunners letting in a goal, hence I think the Arsenal to win to nil bet is the best option here.
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.