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Football Betting Tips: 1st January 2020

Premier League TipsWell a last minute turnaround in the Arsenal v Chelsea game pretty much broke us even on my boxing day tips (-£3 overall to be precise).

This set of games for New Year’s Day takes in four of the nine matches in the EPL that day, with Liverpool facing Sheffield United 24-hours later on the 2nd January. There’s some cracking games to look forward too as well, including the big game of the day at 8pm when Arsenal and their new boss Mikel Arteta welcome Manchester United to the Emirates.

Looking back on 2019, it has been a great year for us tips wise, we have had some fantastic weeks where we have landed £100+ profit on our tips and many more where we have landed at least some profit.

Lets hope we can keep it up.

All that remains is for me to wish you a Happy New Year and I hope this quartet of game tips puts some cash in your pocket for the start of January.

Football Betting Tips: Wednesday 1st January

January 1, 2020
Burnley
VS
Aston Villa
Turf Moor
12:30 pm
Burnley Logo
Burnley
VS
Aston Villa Logo
Aston Villa
January 1, 2020
Turf Moor
12:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Burnley have 24 points from 20 games to lie 13th in the table.
  • Villa are 18th, with just 18 points from 20 games so far.
  • The teams drew 2-2 when they met back in September 2019 at Villa Park.
  • These two teams have met just 8 times since 2004. Villa have 3 wins, Burnley 2, 3 draws.
Analysis:

Both these teams have had somewhat up and down seasons, with Burnley fltiting between the top half and bottom half of the table, while Villa’s decline has seen them drop precariously into the relegation zone in recent times.

Of the two teams, I feel Burnley have the better set up in terms of being able to get the results they need in these crucial games. Villa rely too much on one player, Jack Grealish in the main, especially now that McGinn is out injured in midfield and while they have a decent defence, their goal threat at the other end is almost non-existent.

For me, Villa are in serious trouble. I don’t see them scoring enough goals to get themselves to safety easily and with the likes of Watford starting to find form, they could well be in a scrap for their Premier League lives for the remainder of the season. I can’t see there being too many goals in this one and a single strike may well be enough for Burnley to claim the win, hence my tip below.

Burnley to win to nil - £10 returns £32.00
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January 1, 2020
Watford
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Vicarage Road
3:00 pm
Watford Logo
Watford
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers Logo
Wolverhampton Wanderers
January 1, 2020
Vicarage Road
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Watford moved up to 19th at the weekend on 16 points from 20 games.
  • Wolves lie 7th at the time of writing ahead of their game on Sunday with Liverpool.
  • Wolves won the game between the two in September 2-0 at Molineux.
  • Wolves have won five of the last 10 between the two, Watford three, plus 2 draws.
Analysis:

Nigel Pearson’s team have picked up seven points out of the last nine available to move off the bottom of the Premier League and give themselves a chance of moving out of the relegation zone. Wolves though recently completed a rare double over Manchester City in the Premier League and though they face Liverpool at Anfield ahead of this game, they should be confident of getting something here.

However, I really like how Pearson has turned things around at Watford. The ex-Leicester boss saved the Foxes from the drop a few years ago and he could do likewise for the Hornets. Wolves are a tough test for any team though and I do feel it is a bit of a stretch to think that the home side will snatch the win here.

The question is will Wolves win this one too? Personally, I am not so sure. They are a very talented side but they have drawn a lot of games this season (nine in the EPL so far) and with Watford in good form and looking for that to continue, I do feel that this is a game that is most likely to see both teams find the net but that the points will ultimately be shared between them.

Draw & Both Teams to Score - £10 returns £46.00
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January 1, 2020
Man City
VS
Everton
Etihad
5:30 pm
Man City Logo
Man City
VS
Everton Logo
Everton
January 1, 2020
Etihad
5:30 pm
Key Stats
  • City lie third in the table but have lost five times in 19 games this season.
  • Everton are unbeaten in five and have moved up the table into 10th.
  • City have won all of the last four against Everton, scoring 11 conceding just 3.
  • Everton have won just two of the last 14 against City in all competitions.
Analysis:

Manchester City have won three of the last four matches between these teams by a 3-1 scoreline, as well as one 2-0 victory at Goodison in February last year and recent history suggests that City should be confident of picking up three points here.

However, Everton come into this game having put together a run of five games without defeat, started under Duncan Ferguson and carried on by new manager Carlo Ancelotti. It is going to be hugely interesting therefore to see how Everton approach this game, with the Italian being generally recognised as one of the best tacticians in modern football.

It is hard to see Everton having enough of a goal threat to score too often against City, but that City back line is susceptible at set pieces and on counter attacks and as a result, I can see Everton grabbing a goal here and making this a very tight game.

However, I still feel City have more than enough quality in their squad to ensure that they pick up a win here and I think that it will be by a 2-1 scoreline.

Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £24.00
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January 1, 2020
Arsenal
VS
Man Utd
Emirates
8:00 pm
Arsenal Logo
Arsenal
VS
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
January 1, 2020
Emirates
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Ahead of their game with Chelsea, Arsenal lie 12th in the EPL table with 24 points.
  • United’s win at Burnley moved them up to 5th in the Premier League on 31 points.
  • The teams drew 1-1 when they met at Old Trafford back in September.
  • Arsenal have won just two of the last nine fixtures between the teams since Feb 2016.
Analysis:

We are writing this before Arsenal take on Chelsea on Sunday in the Premier League on Sunday but since Mikel Arteta has come in, Arsenal have managed just an uninspiring draw away to an out of form Bournemouth side and in truth, I am not sure Arteta has the experience, or the squad, to make a significant difference to Arsenal’s fortunes this season.

In contrast, United have picked up some good wins over the Christmas period with the last six point haul taking them into fifth place in the table. However, we have had a number of false-dawns in the Solskjaer era with United and the worry is this could be another.

Arsenal do not have the best recent record against Manchester United though and their current form is such that I am not confident that they are going to add to their victory haul here either. That said, United’s away form is such that I don’t feel they are well placed to get a win here either, so I am backing this one to be a score draw.

Draw & both teams to score - £10 returns £44.00
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Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter