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Football Betting Tips: 2nd & 3rd March 2019
by David Lenton
I managed to post a small profit in the week thanks to Leicester beating Crystal Palace and both teams scoring.
Obviously I’m hoping to build on that with my football betting tips for this weekend.
The weekend inclues two massive derby matches, the North London derby on Saturday lunchtime between Tottenham and Arsenal at Wembley and then on the following day, the Merseyside derby at Goodison Park where Everton will be hoping to put a dent in Liverpool’s title hopes.
It’s going to be a cracker. Lets get stuck in.
Premier League Tips: Saturday 2nd March
March 23, 2019
March 23, 2019
Tottenham’s title hopes took a nosedive when they lost 2-0 to Chelsea in midweek, making this game against Arsenal, now just five points behind them, a must win. Game.
Arsenal thumped Bournemouth 5-1 at home in midweek setting themselves up nicely for this North London derby. A win for the Gunners would move them 2 points behind Spurs.
Arsenal produced one of their best performances of the season to beat Spurs 4-2 in the reverse fixture in December. Aubameyang (2), Lacazette and Torreira scoring the goals.
Spurs have not lost at home to Arsenal in the Premier league since March 2014, drawing one and winning two of the games played since then.
There haven’t been too many North London derbies with so much riding on it as this one with Tottenham desperate to keep pace with Liverpool and Manchester City, while Arsenal are in a battle with Chelsea and Manchester United for that crucial fourth spot in the Premier League and a return to the Champions League.
The teams have met already this season twice. Arsenal winning the return league encounter with a scintillating display in a 4-2 victory at the Emirates, but a few weeks later Spurs returned to Arsenal’s home in the Carabao Cup and came away with a creditable 2-0 win to knock the Gunners out of that competition.
There’s no doubt that Harry Kane’s return to fitness ahead of schedule has provided a timely boost for Mauricio Pochettino’s men and Kane has been Arsenal’s nemesis several times in the past and he could well be the key man for the home side here.
I do see both teams finding the net in this game but I feel that Spurs, with Kane back in the fold, will just have too much going forward for Arsenal and as such I am backing them to win this one, perhaps by the odd goal in three.
Tottenham to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £34.00
Burnley’s run of eight games unbeaten came to an end in midweek when they were beaten 2-0 at Newcastle in what by their standards turned out to be a very poor display.
Crystal Palace were well beaten by a patched up Manchester United in midweek, losing 3-1, a result which is symptomatic of their inconsistency over the course of the season.
Palace emerged victorious in the return fixture in December, the Eagles earning a 2-0 victory at Selhurst Park thanks to goals from James McArthur and Andros Townsend.
The teams have a very even record, winning three and losing three of the last six games, each team scoring eight goals in those games and conceding eight too.
Sean Dyche won’t be too pleased with how his Burnley side performed in midweek away to Newcastle United, but he will know that one defeat won’t ruin their resurrection in performance if they can put that right against a strong Crystal Palace side at Turf Moor on Saturday.
The problem they face is that Palace are also in a decent run of form, that midweek Manchester United result apart, and who have been racking up solid wins and performances against teams in midtable and at the bottom of the table in recent weeks. A fact which will not be lost on Dyche.
A win here for either side would be a massive boost and see them move ahead of their opponents in the Premier League table, but I think with Palace being in generally strong form and both sides more focused on not losing, that this game has all the hallmarks of being a feisty encounter, but one that is most likely to end in a draw.
West Ham defended stoutly in their 1-0 loss to Manchester City in midweek, only losing to a Sergio Aguero penalty.
Newcastle’s 2-0 win over Burnley moved them above Burnley in the table away from the drop zone on 31 points total.
West Ham came out on top when the teams met at St James’ Park in December, a double strike from Javier Hernandez and Felipe Anderson scoring late giving them a 3-0 win.
The last drawn match between these teams came in August 2013, since then Newcastle have won five and West Ham three of the eight matches played since.
West Ham won the game between these two teams at St James’ Park earlier this season very comfortably indeed but while I think West Ham’s form has remained pretty constant in terms of performance since then, I do feel that Newcastle have upped their game considerably over the last few weeks.
As such, I cannot see this being quite such an easy game for West Ham, especially against a Newcastle side that has shown itself more than capable of stopping the top teams playing on the road. Indeed, with their new signing Almiron pulling the strings in midfield, Newcastle also have a new attacking dimension to their game that they have sorely lacked this season.
West Ham though should not be written off, Michail Antonio is always a threat and Felipe Anderson is starting to justify the hefty price tag he came with when he signed from Lazio. As such, I am expecting the Hammers to be equally obdurate opponents for the visitors.
I think this has the potential to be a good game and I can see both sides finding the net, however I struggle to see either scoring any more beyond that and as such, I think a draw is the most likely outcome here.
Everton’s 3-0 win at Cardiff in midweek saw them move up the table. They have not won at Goodison Park since beating Bournemouth 2-0 on the 13th January.
Liverpool got back to winning ways in style in midweek, thrashing Watford 5-0 at Anfield to set them up nicely for the tricky trip across town to face their local rivals.
The game at Anfield was settled by an extraordinary Divock Origi goal in injury time, when Jordan Pickford fumbled the ball against the bar to allow Origi to head home the winner.
Everton have won just one of the last 21 games with Liverpool a 2-0 win at Goodison Park back in October 2010.
The last game between these teams at Anfield was bossed by Everton but in the last minute, a crazy goal handed Liverpool the win in what was a bitter punch to the gut for Evertonians. They will be desperate for revenge on home soil against a team that they have struggled to get the better of in recent years.
Liverpool have plenty to play for themselves in going for the Premier League title and that brings with it its own pressures on top of those you get in a normal Merseyside derby. The Reds were very poor at Anfield when these teams last met and Jurgen Klopp will know his team cannot play that badly again this time around.
These games are always so difficult to predict, and they are often played at 90 miles an hour, but I think the fact Liverpool have Van Dijk and Alisson at the back, is a big positive for the Reds and I think they can quieten the Everton attack and allow Liverpool to hit the Blues on the counter.
I don’t envisage there being a lot of goals in this game and it may be that just one will win it again and if that is the case, I am backing the visitors and title chasers Liverpool to emerge with the win.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter