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Football Betting Tips: 4th & 5th December

Premier League TipsWe had another fantastic performance at the weekend nailing 3 out of 4 predictions for a profit of £124.50 from £10 stakes.

The bookies are taking a hammering from us recently and I’m loving every minute of it.

The first midweek Premier League of the season heralds the start of what is a massively busy period for clubs with Premier League, Carabao Cup and the final round of European Group games all on the horizon over the next few weeks, plus Liverpool travel to compete in the World Club Cup in Dubai.

There are some big games in these tips including Jose Mourinho’s return to Old Trafford to take on his former club with his new charge, Tottenham Hotspur, while Liverpool face Everton at Anfield in the first Merseyside Derby of the season.

Here’s my tips for the games coming up in midweek, all of which are being showed live for the first time via Amazon Prime’s TV service.

Football Tips: Wednesday 4th November

December 4, 2019
Man Utd
VS
Tottenham
Olf Trafford
7:30 pm
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
VS
Tottenham Logo
Tottenham
December 4, 2019
Olf Trafford
7:30 pm
Key Stats
  • United were 11th at the time of writing but this was before their game on Sunday.
  • Tottenham’s 3-2 win over Bournemouth moved them to 5th in the table.
  • The last 8 games between the team have seen 4 wins apiece.
  • Jose Mourinho returns to face the club that sacked him in January 2019.
Analysis:

Jose Mourinho making his return to Old Trafford is the big news in this game and it should be an intriguing matchup between two sides who have found a little form of late, after some miserable performances earlier this season.

Spurs finally broke their away day hoodoo in Jose’s first game in charge at West Ham and while United’s away from home performances have been poor, they have been pretty decent in front of their own fans, especially in recent times.

However, I think Spurs are the better all-rounded side and that win at West Ham will have taken a lot of the pressure off them for this game. I also feel that both sides are lacking a little defensively and they have the attacking players to cause problems and create chances at both ends.

If I was going to back a winner here, I’d probably just favour Spurs, but I feel the most likely outcome is a score draw in what should be a cracking game that I feel will see a few goals scored.

Draw & both teams to score - £10 returns £45.00
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December 4, 2019
Southampton
VS
Norwich City
St Mary's
7:30 pm
Southampton Logo
Southampton
VS
Norwich City Logo
Norwich City
December 4, 2019
St Mary's
7:30 pm
Key Stats
  • The Saints beat Watford 2-1 on Saturday to move up to 18th in the table.
  • Norwich City played Arsenal away on Sunday. They lie 19th in the table.
  • Saints have won three of the last five between the teams, all at home.
  • Norwich’s last victory at St Mary’ was a 1-0 win back in 2008 in the Championship.
Analysis:

Southampton will have taken great heart from their come-from-behind victory over Watford on Saturday night. The Saints, and especially Shane Long, missed a number of gilt-edged chances in that game before Danny Ings and James Ward-Prowse struck late on to hand them a vital three points.

Norwich play on Sunday away to Arsenal and they may feel they can steal some points here against a Gunners side out of sorts. If not, then this trip to the South Coast may offer them a chance of some more rare points earned away from home.

The Saints have picked up four points in their last two games, but in truth it should have been six and against a Norwich back line that is somewhat leaky, despite improvements of late, if the home side can sharpen up in front of goal, I think they should have enough to claim the win here.

My worry is that Norwich will be able to penetrate the Saints back line, which looks as porous as Norwich’s at times so I can see the Canaries inventive attacking players scoring a goal, but even so, I still fancy the home side to claim the win, most likely by another 2-1 scoreline.

Southampton to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £31.50
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December 4, 2019
Liverpool
VS
Everton
Anfield
8:15 pm
Liverpool Logo
Liverpool
VS
Everton Logo
Everton
December 4, 2019
Anfield
8:15 pm
Key Stats
  • The Reds extended their EPL lead to 11 points with a 2-1 win over Brighton on Saturday.
  • Everton play on Sunday away to Leicester. The Toffees lie 17th in the table on 14 points.
  • Liverpool keeper Alisson is suspended while Fabinho is injured until the New Year.
  • Everton have not won at Anfield in the new millennium. Their last win coming in Sep 1999.
Analysis:

Liverpool struggled to a 2-1 win over Brighton at the weekend, ostensibly because Alisson’s deserved red card for handball left the Reds with 10-men for the last 15 minutes, and from that free kick Adrian made another howler to allow Lewis Dunk to score. However, the Reds hung on to record their 13th win in 14 games.

Alisson’s absence will be a blow against an Everton side who he was immense against last season. The Toffee’s this season however have been in poor form heading into this game but Marco Silva will have his team more than fired up for this often tempestuous local derby.

While there have been a fair few draws in recent times in this fixture, Everton have not won at Anfield since 1999 and in truth, given their recent form compared to Liverpool, even though the Reds are not in top gear, it is still difficult to make a case for Everton to get something from this game.

Derby games are always mad-passionate and the form book can go out of the window here but after their draw at Goodison in March saw the Reds drop the two points that eventually cost them the title, I think the home side will be out for revenge here and they should get it, but I do see the visitors grabbing a rare Anfield goal.

Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £29.00
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Premier League Betting Tips: Thursday 5th December

December 5, 2019
Sheffield United
VS
Newcastle United
Bramhall Lane
7:30 pm
Sheffield United Logo
Sheffield United
VS
Newcastle United Logo
Newcastle United
December 5, 2019
Bramhall Lane
7:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Sheff Utd lie 7th but have their game to play on Sunday away to Wolves.
  • Newcastle drew 2-2 with Man City on Saturday. They lie 14th in the table on 16 points.
  • Both are in good form, Newcastle losing just one of their last five, the Blades none.
  • Newcastle have won just one of their last four away from home (at West Ham).
Analysis:

Combine the last 10 games of both these teams and there is just one defeat in that run, which suggests that both teams head into this clash at Bramhall Lane on Thursday in good form. This is before the Blades take on Wolves away from home on Sunday however, a game where I feel Wolves may just get the better of things.
Newcastle earned another great point in a 2-2 home draw with Manchester City at the weekend, while the focus has been on City dropping more points, Newcastle did look dangerous against the Champions and their two well taken goals were probably deserved on balance of play.

However, Newcastle’s away form this season has generally been poor, despite wins at Tottenham and West Ham and Sheffield United’s home form has generally been good, but I think they have played better at home against the bigger sides.

Form suggests a home win here, but I think the confidence Newcastle will have from that City result will mean they could spring a little surprise here and perhaps claim a vital point. I think this one ends 1-1.

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Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter