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Premiership Football Tips: 10th & 11th February
by the Cheeky Punter
I was one linesman’s decision away from a fantastic profit on Sunday with both games coming in as we entered the last minute of injury time in the Liverpool v Spurs game, but then of course things all sort of went a little crazy and we ended up with a 2-2 draw.
That was annoying as that cost me a nice return on that game at Anfeld, but having landed the Arsenal v Everton result earlier, I still made a nice profit on Sunday which made up for a bit of a washout on the Saturday 24 hours previously.
This week, I’ve gone for three games on the Saturday and just one on Sunday as I think the better value odds are available in the Saturday games.
The teams playing on Sunday are annoyingly inconsistent at times.
Football Tips: Saturday 10th February
February 10, 2018
February 10, 2018
Tottenham lie fifth in the Premier League table, one point behind Chelsea and two behind Liverpool. They are four points clear of Arsenal in sixth.
Arsenal won the first match between these two teams earlier this season with first half striker from Mustafi and Sanchez giving the Gunners a 2-0 win.
Spurs only Premier League home defeat to Arsenal since 2007 came in 2014 when the Gunners won 1-0 at White Hart Lane thanks to an early Tomas Rosicky goal.
The teams have faced each other on 194 occasions in their history, Arsenal winning 81, Tottenham 62 and there have been a total of 51 draws.
The London derby takes on an added importance here for both teams with both chasing a top four place and currently outside of those crucial Champions League qualifying places. A win for Spurs would probably end Arsenal's hopes of a top four spot for the season, while a win for the Gunners could dent Spurs ambitions a great deal while reviving their own.
Arsenal's big problem this season has been their defence away from home and against a Tottenham attack that has been on fire in recent times, that could well be their biggest problem, even with their new £60m striker Aubameyang to call upon.
The Gunners played superbly in the last London derby to win 2-0, but I think this is a big ask against their local rivals who are bang in form and who have the kind of attacking players that will cause this fragile Arsenal defence real problems.
I'm backing Spurs to win this one 2-1 in what promises to be an enthralling encounter.
Tottenham To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £32.50
Swansea have climbed up to 17th on the back of a six-game run without a defeat. They take on Burnley who have are in 7th place in the table.
Two first half goals from Jack Cork and Ashley Barnes gave Burnley a 2-0 win over the Swans when the teams last met back in November.
Only Manchester City and Manchester United have conceded fewer goals than Burnley's 23 this season. Chelsea have also conceded 23 goals in their 26 games.
However only opponents Swansea and Huddersfield Town have scored fewer than Burnley's 21 goals in the Premier League this season.
Quite what miracles Carlos Carvajal has worked at Swansea since he has taken over, the football world needs to know because the transformation in the team from south Wales has been incredible. Wins over Liverpool and Arsenal in a run of six games without a defeat has seen them move from being cut adrift at the bottom of the league into 17th and out of the relegation zone.
Now they face a Burnley side that are without a win in nine games now and who are stll struggling to find goals, although defensively they remain one of the best teams in the Premier League with only the top two having a better defensive record than Sean Dyche's men.
That said, I think Swansea's confidence is sky high, particularly following their 8-goal demolition of Notts County in the FA Cup in midweek and the home side will be full of confidence and optimism ahead of a game against an opponent bang out of form.
I don't expect their to be many goals here given the records of both sides, but I am backing Swansea to come away with another narrow 1-0 win.
Man City have picked up just two points from their last three away games but are still in great form at home, only dropping two points at the Etihad all season long.
The home side remain top of the Premier League by 13 points from Man United, while their rivals Leicester are in 8th place with 35 points from their 26 games.
The teams met back in November at the King Power Stadium with Manchester City winning 2-0 thanks to goals from Gabriel Jesus and Kevin De Bruyne.
The teams have met 104 times in their history, Manchester City winning 56 times, Leicester 29 and there have been 29 draws between the two teams.
There have been the odd sign or two that Manchester City are starting to feel the pace a little of late. Their draw with Burnley last time out was their third away game in a row without a win in the Premier League and they are struggling with several injuries to key players.
However at home, City have remained imperious, dropping just two points all season long and sweeping aside most teams with relative ease. Even a Leicester City team that generally does well against the big boys, may struggle to get something from this one.
That is partly because Riyad Mahrez will likely miss the game against the team he wanted to join back in January and with no sign that the Algerian will make a return to the Leicester City squad, that leaves them a high quality player short against a team that they can ill-afford to be without him for.
I do feel Jamie Vardy will cause City's back line problems and maybe the Foxes will grab a goal, but I think City will win this one comfortably again by a 3-1 scoreline.
Man City To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £25.00
Man Utd lie 2nd in the Premier League table on 56 points, 13 behind Manchester City and five ahead of Liverpool in third. Newcastle are 16th on 25 points.
The teams met at Old Trafford back in November where Manchester United romped to a 4-victory with goals from Martial, Smalling, Pogba and Lukaku.
Newcastle have a torrid record against Manchester United winning just two of the last 30 games played between the teams in all competitions.
The teams have met 164 times in their histories, Man Utd winning 84, Newcastle winning 41 and there have been 39 draws between the teams.
The odds don't look good for Newcastle United to avenge their 4-1 hammering at Old Trafford back in November. Since 2001, the Toon Army have registered just 2 wins against Manchester United in all competitions and they have suffered several heavy defeats to United in that time.
With Rafa Benitez seemingly unable to bring in many of the top players he felt the team needed in January in order for him to progress the team on, he has adopted a defensive attitude against the top teams and in truth, I cannot see that changing here.
The problem is, that I believe falls into United's main strengths which is keeping possession and creating chances for their main striking threats like Lukaku, Martial, Pogba and Rashford and in truth that is exactly how I see this game going.
I'd be surprised if Newcastle really go for this based on their performances against top sides in recent weeks, so I am backing the visiting United to come away with a 1-0 or 2-0 win here.
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.