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Football Tips: 15th, 16th & 17th February

Premier League TipsWith the Manchester City against West Ham game called off due to the effects of Storm Ciara last weekend, that meant that our correct tip for predicting a goalscoring draw between Watford and Brighton saw us make a rather nice profit of £17.50 for the weekend (from £10 stakes).

This weekend is the second one of the winter break period which means six games in total, all of them being shown live, but all of them spread out right across the weekend.

I have therefore decided to extend this selection to include Monday night’s big game at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Manchester United, rather than include the Norwich v Liverpool game on Sunday which has somewhat poor odds on most bets.

I don’t really like to do that given I like to have my bets completed by the time Monday rolls around, but based on the fixture list, I think that is the prudent action to take if I want to record a better chance of a bigger profit this weekend too.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 15th February

February 15, 2020
Southampton
VS
Burnley
St Mary's
12:30 pm
Southampton Logo
Southampton
VS
Burnley Logo
Burnley
February 15, 2020
St Mary's
12:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Both Southampton and Burnley have 31 points from 25 games.
  • Southampton have won just two of the last nine between the teams.
  • Burnley have won three of the last six, the other three ending in draws.
  • Southampton have netted just two goals in their last 6 games against Burnley.
Analysis:

A quick glance at the form for these two teams reveals that both have had pretty similar form coming into this game, but I feel the context of that form should be taken into account. Burnley have had a real mixed bag of results of late, including losing to Norwich, but have also beaten Man Utd at Old Trafford.

Southampton lost to Spurs and Liverpool of late but in general have been in good form over recent games and have certainly upped their performance levels a great deal. I also feel that of the two teams, they are the ones being the most consistent.

However, the Saints record against Burnley of late isn’t particularly good and the Saints last win in this fixture came back in 2016. Burnley therefore hold the upper hand in recent times as a 3-0 win on the opening day of the season at Turf Moor tends to show.

That said, I still feel Southampton are the form side of the two and with Danny Ings I feel their goal threat is just that bit more. Add into that home advantage and while I can see Burnley netting a goal, I think the Saints run out 2-1 winners.

Southampton to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £38.00
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February 16, 2020
Aston Villa
VS
Tottenham
Villa Park
2:00 pm
Aston Villa Logo
Aston Villa
VS
Tottenham Logo
Tottenham
February 16, 2020
Villa Park
2:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Villa have 25 points to lie 17th compared to Spurs 37 points and 6th place.
  • Villa have won just one of the last 17 games between the teams.
  • Tottenham have won 12 of the last 14 games between the two.
  • Spurs beat Villa 3-1 on the opening day of the season in London.
Analysis:

Villa have Spurs a few worries on the opening day of the season before a late Tottenham rally saw them emerge as 3-1 winners. Harry Kane is still nowhere near returning to fitness for Spurs and with Christian Eriksen now at Inter Milan, the creativity in the team has been stifled a little by the loss of these two players.

Aston Villa’s own creative influence Jack Grealish is constantly being linked with a move away from Villa Park and that can’t help the Midland-based side. Grealish has the talent to cause Spurs problems but I don’t see the support cast around him to make that a telling contribution.

In contrast, although Spurs are missing some key men, I feel they have enough strength in depth in the squad with the likes of Lamela, Ndombele, Moura and Son likely to pose a real attacking threat under an improved Dele Alli of late.

I can see Villa netting against a Spurs defence which has not been the most secure of late, but even so I think Spurs run out comfortable winners in this one.

Tottenham to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £34.50
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Football Predictions: Sunday 16th February

February 16, 2020
Arsenal
VS
Newcastle United
Emirates
4:30 pm
Arsenal Logo
Arsenal
VS
Newcastle United Logo
Newcastle United
February 16, 2020
Emirates
4:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Both teams have 31 points from 25 games (Arsenal have a 10 better goal difference).
  • Only Liverpool (0) have lost fewer games than Arsenal so far this season (6).
  • No team has drawn more games in the EPL than Arsenal this season (13).
  • Arsenal won 1-0 at St James Park back in August. Aubameyang scoring.
Analysis:

Arsenal won one of just six wins this season on the opening day at Newcastle but I think since then the fortunes of both these teams has flickered and wavered a great deal and it is strange to think that both of them now have the same number of points (although the Gunners have a markedly better goal difference).

Neither team is particularly easy to beat and it is worth noting that Newcastle have produced some of their best displays of the season on the road this year, notably that win at Tottenham. In contrast, Arsenal have struggled to put teams away in recent times, drawing four of their last five games.

Similarly, while not as dangerous in attack as Arsenal, Newcastle have drawn three of their last five and won the other two, which shows that they have proven to be stubborn performers who are seldom out of a game late on.

I can see this being how this game goes with Arsenal taking a lead but Newcastle stunning the crowd to grab a late equaliser and as such, I am backing the Tynesiders to make the long journey home with a point secured from this trip.

Draw - £10 returns £48.00
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Football Tips: Monday 17th February

February 17, 2020
Chelsea
VS
Man Utd
Stamford Bridge
8:00 pm
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
VS
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
February 17, 2020
Stamford Bridge
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Chelsea are 4th in the Premier League table on 41 pts, United lie 8th with 35 pts total.
  • Chelsea have conceded 5 more goals than United but scored 7 more than the Red Devils
  • The teams met on the opening day of the season at Old Trafford, United winning 4-0.
  • United have won four of the last 7 between the two teams with just one loss in that time.
Analysis:

When Manchester United beat Chelsea 4-0 on the opening day of the season, you would have been forgiven for thinking that United would be in for a great season, while Chelsea under a new and inexperienced manager at Premier League level, could struggle. However, it hasn’t turned out that way at all.

Of the two, United have struggled more often, despite some better results in recent weeks. However, Solskjaer’s team have had a number of false dawns this season and there’s no real evidence that this latest run of results is the start of a better sustained period of form which will push them up the table.

Chelsea’s form of late has been a little flaky too and it is fair to say that they have struggled at home against teams that are able to soak up pressure and hit them on the counter and that is precisely what this United team is primed to do.

As such, while the table suggests that Chelsea should land a win here, history suggests United have a good chance and given Chelsea’s home form and United’s record at Stamford Bridge of late, I am going for United to claim a 2-1 victory.

Man United to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £75.00
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Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter