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Football Tips: 1st, 2nd & 3rd January 2019

Premier League TipsThe final set of games in the Christmas fixture list is also arguably the most dramatic, with Thursday’s game between Manchester City and Liverpool obviously catching the eye.

However, there are a number of other important games this weekend which will affect issues at both ends of the table and of course, I’m bringing you my usual set of footie tips on four of these games.

Due to the Christmas holiday, I’m having to prepare this article a little in advance, but things will be back to normal for the weekend’s FA Cup fixtures, so lets hope we can kick start the year with a positive result from this set of tips.

Footie Tips: Tuesday 1st Jan

December 1, 2019
Everton
VS
Leicester
Goodison Park
12:30 pm
Everton Logo
Everton
VS
Leicester Logo
Leicester
December 1, 2019
Goodison Park
12:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Everton have 27 points from their 20 games in the Premier League and have a +1 goal difference. They lost their last home game 6-2 against Tottenham.
  • Leicester beat both Man City and Chelsea over Christmas but then lost at home to Cardiff. They have 28 points from 20 games and the same +1 goal difference.
  • The teams have met 109 times previously, Leicester winning 35 to Everton’s 42 victories and 32 matches have finished in a draw.
  • Three of the last five results between the teams have seen 2-1 scorelines. Everton have won both the last two games between the teams by this score.
Analysis:

It’s fair to say that both these teams have enjoyed mixed fortunes over the festive period so far. Everton were thumped by Spurs at home but then did some thumping themselves with a 5-1 win at Burnley before they were brought down to size by Brighton, in a 1-0 defeat on the south coast.

Leicester’s festive period could not have started any better with a 1-0 win at Chelsea earning rave reviews followed by a stunning 2-1 victory over Manchester City at the King Power. However, the Foxes were brought down to earth a few days later when Camarasa’s late strike handed Cardiff City a rare away win over Claude Puel’s team.

Inconsistency is something that has dogged both these teams over the course of the season and as such, that makes this a tricky game to predict. You can make a case for any scoreline in truth, but my gut instinct and a little history between the teams, tells me that home advantage could well be crucial in this fixture.

I’m not going to get too cute with this bet, even though my instinct tells me that Everton to win and both teams to score feels about right, mainly because both teams are so erratic in their performances both in attack and defence, hence I am keeping things simple and backing a double-my-money bet on Everton ending up the winner.

Everton to win - £10 returns £20.00
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Football Tips & Predictions: Wednesday 2nd January

December 2, 2019
Wolverhampton Wanderers
VS
Crystal Palace
Molineux
7:45 pm
Wolverhampton Wanderers Logo
Wolverhampton Wanderers
VS
Crystal Palace Logo
Crystal Palace
December 2, 2019
Molineux
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Wolves have picked up four points over the festive period, losing to Liverpool, drawing at Fulham and then earning a superb 3-1 come-from-behind win over Spurs.
  • Palace stunned Man City to win 3-2 at the Etihad before Christmas before earning a 0-0 draw with Cardiff. They face Chelsea at home on Sunday prior to this game.
  • Wolves won the encounter between the teams back in October by a 1-0 scoreline but before that Palace had won the previous three encounters.
  • The teams have met 64 times in total throughout their histories, Palace have won 20 games, Wolves have won 26 and there have been 18 draws.
Analysis:

Somewhat similar to the Everton v Leicester game above, these two teams are also somewhat inconsistent at times, although both have a tendency to play their best against the top teams. Palace’s win at Manchester City was undoubtedly the shock of the season so far, but Wolves win at Spurs a few days later is not far behind.

Molineux has been a decent place for Wolves so far this season but they have come unstuck at times, notably against Huddersfield. Palace though do tend to blow hot and cold and cannot seem to string a positive series of results together, much to the frustration of their fans.

Having had 24-hours less to prepare for this game too, I feel this is a big ask for Palace in what is the final game in a gruelling Christmas fixture list and those 24 hours of rest, as well as home advantage, are I think going to be decisive factors in this game.

As such, I am backing Wolves to win the game narrowly, but once again, I am keeping things very simple and taking the around even money option on any win for the home side against a Palace side which always seems to struggle for consistency.

Wolves to win - £10 returns £20.50
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December 2, 2019
Newcastle United
VS
Man Utd
St James' Park
7:45 pm
Newcastle United Logo
Newcastle United
VS
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
December 2, 2019
St James' Park
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Newcastle have lost just one of their last four games (4-0 to Liverpool) but they have only picked up one win in that run, an away win at Huddersfield.
  • Man Utd have bounced back to form since Solskjaer was appointed, with wins over Cardiff and Huddersfield ahead of their game with Bournemouth on Sunday.
  • The teams have met 168 times and Man Utd hold the advantage with 85 wins compared to 42 for Newcastle with just 39 games between the teams ending in draws.
  • Newcastle have won just two of the last 12 between the teams, both by a 1-0 scoreline. They did take a 2-0 lead at Old Trafford in October before losing the game 3-2.
Analysis:

Last time out at Old Trafford, Manchester United went 2-0 behind before staging a fine comeback to win the game 3-2, much to Rafa Benitez’ chagrin. Newcastle now have home advantage, but somewhat oddly, I think they’ll find this game against the Red Devils much more difficult than the game at Old Trafford.

The reason for that is the Solskjaer factor. With Mourinho now gone, the former United star has galvanised the team and picked up two big wins in his first two games and with a game to come against Bournemouth at the time of writing, United could well have landed three big wins in a row heading into this match.

It isn’t so much the results but the performances Solskjaer has seen from his team with United looking a much stronger team than they did in Mourinho’s last game against Liverpool at Anfield and I think that bodes well for the visitors and is a worrying sign for the home fans.

In truth, Manchester United still have issues defensively and I can see Newcastle scoring a goal, but once again, I don’t think it will be enough and that the visitors will claim a victory.

Man Utd to win & both teams to score - £10 returns 35.00
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Football Tips: Thursday 3rd Jan

December 3, 2019
Man City
VS
Liverpool
Ethiad
7:45 pm
Man City Logo
Man City
VS
Liverpool Logo
Liverpool
December 3, 2019
Ethiad
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Man City faced Southampton on Sunday having won just one of their last four league games in what has been a surprising collapse from Pep Guardiola’s team.
  • Liverpool are ten points clear of City before the game with Southampton and they have won all of their last seven league games, beating Arsenal 5-1 at Anfield last time out.
  • The teams played out a 0-0 draw at Anfield back in October. City have won just 3 of the last 12 games between the teams, Liverpool winning 7 and there being 2 draws in that time.
  • The teams have met 211 times in their history and Liverpool have won 104 of those contests to 54 for City with 53 ending in a draw.
Analysis:

Quite simply, this is a game Manchester City will feel that they absolutely must win if they are to get back into the title race, for Liverpool it is a game which could well confirm them as the team to beat in the Premier League this season and is likely their stiffest test remaining in the competition.

The Reds come into this game in sensational form and with their team now starting to fire on all cylinders in attack. In contrast, City come into this game on the back of a really poor (for them) run of form, including defeats to Leicester City and Crystal Palace over the festive period.

The game at Anfield was shaded by City and they should have won it, had Mahrez not blazed a late penalty over the bar, howevet this Liverpool team is playing far better now than it was back then, and City in contrast, are looking to be in much poorer form.

With Fernandinho’s absence keenly felt, I think this is going to be a cracker and while the smart money may be on a City won or a draw, something just tells me that this Liverpool team wants to prove they are the best and a win here would undoubtedly underline that and as such, I am backing the visitors to carry on their incredible form

Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £54.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

the Cheeky Punter
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.