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Midweek Football Tips: 28th & 29th November
by the Cheeky Punter
This week there’s a full selection of Premier League matches taking place across Tuesday and Wednesday evenings in one of the rare midweek dates for league games.
It’s the start of a busy period for teams as we head towards Christmas and the New Year with some teams facing the prospect of 8 or 9 days across a 30-day period or thereabouts.
We nailed it on Sunday for a good profit over the weekend overall – £10 bettors returning £72.50 total – and I’m keen to keep our running streak going. Here are my midweek football tips for November 28th and 29th:
Football Betting Tips: Tuesday 28th November
November 28, 2017
November 28, 2017
Brighton have recovered from a slow start to collect 16 points in the League so far this season and are in a superb 9th place.
The Seagulls have lost just one of their last six, that being a narrow 1-0 defeat at Old Trafford against Manchester United at the weekend.
Palace have now gone unbeaten in two games after their 2-1 win over Stoke moved them onto eight points and a win here could move them off the bottom of the table.
The Eagles have lost just one of their last four games (away to Tottenham) and striker Wilfred Zaha is bang in form keeping Christian Benteke out of the side.
Chris Hughton has done a superb job with his newly promoted Brighton side and he along with Sean Dyche are proving you don’t need to spend hundreds of millions to do a good job in this league. The Seagulls were superb in their 1-0 defeat at Old Trafford with only a deflected goal giving their opponents the victory on Saturday.
Roy Hodgson has had a tough start at Palace but a win over Chelsea seems to have galvanised the team and while they have still lost games, they have also started scoring and picking up points, with three more coming at the weekend in a last gasp win over Stoke City.
However, I think this is a big ask for Palace as although Brighton are not a stellar name in the Premier League, they are solid at home and I think that they have by far the more settled team. Palace do have flair and they may grab a goal here, but I think that Hughton’s team will likely do enough to get three more points in the bag here.
Leicester have not won in three, but have also lost just once in their last six games and they lie in 11th position in the table on 14 points.
Spurs have hit a rocky spell of results winning just three of their last six, losing two and drawing their last game at home to West Brom.
Since 2014, the teams have met nine times with Spurs winning four, three draws and two wins for Leicester, both of which came at White Hart Lane.
Leicester’s last home win over Spurs was a 3-2 win in the FA Cup back in Jan 2006. Their last home league win over the same opposition came back in May 2002 (2-1).
A couple of years ago, these two teams finished 1-2 in the Premier League but their fortunes have changed since then with Leicester looking much more like a mid-table team now, while Spurs recent form has seen them fall from joint 2nd in the table to fourth.
That said, Spurs have a good record on the road against Leicester with wins at the King Power on their last two visits, including a 6-1 mauling of the Foxes last season. That win was when Spurs were flying in the league so I cannot see a repeat of that happening here.
Leicester have shown glimpses of better form in most games this season but they are struggling to kill off teams and while I think they will find the net against Spurs out of sorts defence, I also feel Tottenham have too much going forward and I think Christian Erikssen and Harry Kane will be the key to what I feel will be a Spurs win by the odd goal in three.
Tottenham To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £36.00
Football Tips: Wednesday 29th November
November 29, 2017
November 29, 2017
Everton lie 16th in the table at present ahead of their Sunday trip to Southampton. They have won one and drawn one of their last six games, losing four.
West Ham new boss David Moyes picked up his first point at home to Leicester on Friday and they have the luxury of two extra days to prepare for this game.
The teams are evenly matched over their last seven contests with both winning two apiece and three draws between the teams.
Historically, West Ham have a poor record against Everton, winning just three games since Dec 2005 including a stretch of 14 games from 2008 to 2014 when they failed to win once.
David Moyes return to the club where he made a name for himself is one of several intriguing plot threads in this clash between two teams that should not be languishing in the bottom five of the Premier League table.
Everton, still without a manager as I write, looked abject against Atalanta and they face a tricky trip to Southampton ahead of this game and with West Ham having two extra days to prepare for this clash after playing Friday night, that extra time could be crucial for Moyes to get his team prepared.
There were signs West Ham are starting to understand Moyes approach in their draw with Leicester but the same defensive frailties remain. Everton’s defensive issues are also woeful and as such, I really don’t feel confident backing either team to win, or keep a clean sheet. In my mind, this is a match where the result tends to pick itself and a score draw seems the likeliest outcome.
Stoke have won just one of their last six games and come into this without a win in three games. They lie 15th in the table following their weekend defeat at Crystal Palace.
Liverpool failed to capitalise on Spurs draw with West Brom drawing 1-1 with Chelsea at Anfield on Saturday evening. They lie in 5th position in the table as of Sunday morning.
Adam Lallana made his return from injury as a sub for that game and he, plus Wijnaldum, Sane and Firmino could be in contention for a first team spot against Stoke City.
Liverpool have won eight of the last ten between the teams in all competitions but both losses in that run have come at the Bet365 Stadium.
Liverpool generally have an excellent record against Stoke but despite eight wins in ten, most Liverpool fans remember the horror of a 6-1 defeat in Steven Gerrard’s last game for the club in May 2015. I can’t see Stoke doing anything that dramatic here to be honest especially since Mark Hughes team were beaten 2-1 by Crystal Palace at the weekend.
However, Stoke do have a tendency to raise their games against top sides at home in particular with good performances against Arsenal and Manchester United already at the Bet365 Stadium this season and they will certainly make life difficult for Liverpool defensively as they are so powerful and dangerous at set plays.
However, I feel if Liverpool play both Mane and Salah, as I think they will, their pace on the counter could be deadly here and while I do feel Stoke will find the net, I think the Reds will grab just one more goal to claim only their third away win of the season, but I am expecting it to be very close.
Liverpool To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £30.50
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.