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Football Tips & Predictions: 21st & 22nd September
by David Lenton
We had a small winning night in the Champions League this week but the Europa League was a total bust.
Now it’s back to the Premier League for my weekend football tips which have been going well so far this season (lets hope that continues).
The only game not considered this weekend is Friday’s south coast derby between Southampton and Bournemouth, but the other nine games were considered and here’s the four tips I like the look of the most for this week.
Football Tips: Saturday 21st September
September 21, 2019
King Power Stadium
September 21, 2019
King Power Stadium
Leicester are 5th in the table with 8 points from 5 games.
Tottenham are 3rd also with 8 points from 5 games but a better goal difference.
Spurs have won five of the last seven games between the teams, losing just once.
Spurs have lost just one of their last six games against Leicester away from home.
Spurs should be the more confident of these two teams coming into the game on the back of a fine 4-0 win over Crystal Palace last weekend, but although Leicester lost at Old Trafford to Manchester United, I think they deserved more than that and overall this season, their performances have been better and more consistent than Spurs.
However, Tottenham are a momentum side and their record at Leicester over the years is excellent and that will certainly be on the minds of Leicester’s fans and players. But, I do worry about Spurs’ away record which has been unashamedly awful over the latter half of last season and also into this.
If this game was against a weaker side than Leicester, I would probably have gone for a Tottenham win here, but I feel Leicester are a real force to be reckoned with in the Premier League this season and a defeat at Old Trafford won’t dissuade me from that. I reckon they are good enough to hold Tottenham here to a point and I do feel that both sides will score a goal.
Newcastle currently lie 18th in the table with 4 points and a -4 goal difference.
Brighton are two places above them in 16th with 5 points and a -3 difference.
The teams have only met 24 times. Brighton winning 10 to Newcastle’s 9 with 5 draws.
Newcastle have never beaten Brighton in the Premier League (lost 2, drawn 2).
I don’t think either manager of these two teams will be pushing the panic button just yet, the season is just five games old after all, but both will likely view this game as one they could pick up three points in if they can play to their best ability.
Newcastle’s sole win this season came at Tottenham and they have just one point from their two home games so far. Their fans will be expecting a win, even against a Brighton side who recent records suggest are the more likely side to win the game.
Brighton have not win in four though and while they are proving difficult to break down for all but the top Premier League sides, Graham Potter’s team don’t score too many goals and that tends to mean teams are still in matches right to the end against them, and it has cost them on occasion already this season.
I think this will be a close one here and I would not rule out a late goal for either side to push the game one way or the other. I do feel both teams will score and this could finish either 2-1 to either team or even 2-2, so I am going with the catch-all Over 2.5 goals bet here.
Palace dropped from 4th to 12th in the table after losing 4-0 to Spurs last week.
Wolves lie 19th in the table after their 5-2 home defeat to Chelsea last weekend.
Only Wolves and Watford are yet to win a Premier League game this season.
Palace have lost just one of the last six games played against Wolves.
Up until last weekend, the season had been going relatively well for Crystal Palace, but that thumping against Spurs saw them plummet down the table and bring them back down to earth with a bang. They now face a Wolves side still without a Premier League win this season and sorely lacking confidence after their 5-2 bashing by Chelsea last weekend.
Palace’s inconsistency has been their main problem for a long time now. Brilliant against the best at times, but equally poor against the worst, you never really know what Palace performance you will get from one week to the next.
Wolves were the model of consistency last season but are struggling this and the lack of confidence in the team is a real worry for Nuno Santos. He will know his team need to start picking up points quickly to avoid becoming embroiled at the wrong end of the table.
I fancy them to do that here as I think Palace’s inconsistencies will mean Wolves can pick up a point in this game.
Chelsea lie 6th in the table despite conceding 11 goals in 5 games so far.
Liverpool are top with 5 wins from 5 and 5 points clear of Man City in 2nd.
Liverpool have conceded the fewest goals in the EPL (4), Chelsea the most (11).
Liverpool have won two and drawn one of their last four games at Stamford Bridge.
Liverpool’s overall record against Chelsea isn’t that great but their actual record at Stamford Bridge in recent times is pretty decent, picking up seven points from 12 available over the last four seasons. However, they face a Chelsea side that will be brimming with confidence following their 5-2 win at Wolves and after the hard game they gave the Reds in the Super Cup a few weeks back.
That 2-2 draw saw Liverpool win on penalties and Chelsea will no doubt want revenge and their youthful attack has been scoring plenty of goals, with 11 in the Premier League so far. However, their real problem is in defence where they have shipped an equal number of goals.
Against Liverpool that is going to be a huge problem as if Chelsea commit to attack, the Reds can hit them on the counter and if they sit back and counter, that hands the initiative to a side that has won five games in a row in the league so far this season.
This will be close and I can see both teams finding the net, but I just see Liverpool doing enough to secure another vital and important win here.
Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £34.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter