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Football Tips & Predictions: 30th & 31st March
by David Lenton
After a not so profitable international break I am looking forward to getting back to normal with the return of the Premier League this weekend.
I’ve picked two each from Saturday and Sunday’s fixture list to make up this week’s batch of tips and included in that of course, is the big game at Anfield as Liverpool take on Tottenham in what could be a crucial match at the top of the table for both teams.
It looks likely that the Reds will need a win to go back to the top of the table.
But let’s not get ahead of ourselves on that score, here are my tips for this weekend’s four Premier League games and the good news is, that we should have a free run in from now until the end of the season.
Football Tips: Saturday 30th March
March 30, 2019
March 30, 2019
Four defeats in a row have left Burnley perilously close to the relegation zone, just two points ahead of Cardiff in the final relegation spot and having played a game more.
Wolves fine run of unbeaten form of late has seen them move up to seventh in the table, seven points behind Chelsea having amassed 44 points from 30 games so far.
This will only be their fourth clash in the Premier League and Wolves have won all of their previous Premier League encounters, one 2-1 and the other two by a 1-0 scoreline.
Wolves have the better record between the teams. They have met 129 times, Wolves winning 66 of those games, Burnley 37 with just 26 matched drawn between the teams.
This poor run of form has come at the worst possible time for Burnley, save for perhaps an end of season implosion and they now have the task of ending that run by facing a Wolves side brimming with confidence after reaching the FA Cup Semi Final thanks to their superb win over Manchester United in the quarters.
Nuno Santo’s men have been the surprise package in the Premier League this season and they have given the top teams a real examination at times, however if they have had any difficulties then it has tended to come against the teams lower in the table. They have lost twice in the league to Huddersfield this season.
Burnley will be hoping the same sense of nerves hits Wolves again here but I think that Burnley have another weapon. Their pace and power has been a problem for Wolves at times and I think that if Burnley approach this game correctly, then they can certainly get something from it.
I just don’t feel they have enough quality at either end of the field to ensure they get a much-needed win, but I am backing the home side to come away with a point from the game and it will feel like a point earned, rather than two dropped, if that is the case.
Two wins in their last two games have boosted Leicester up the table into 10th place and have given Brendan Rodgers a positive start to his career with the Foxes.
Bournemouth have just one win in their last five which is somewhat indicative of the inconsistent season they have had this time around. They lie in 12th.
The teams last met in September last year and it was the Cherries who ran out winners, earning a 4-2 victory over Leicester on home soil.
Leicester have won six of the 16 games between the teams losing five and drawing five but they have never beaten Bournemouth in the Premier league in seven attempts.
Brendan Rodgers will be pleased enough with his start at the King Power Stadium since joining from Celtic, but he will know that this is a great opportunity to extend their running win to three games against a Bournemouth side that have been very inconsistent over the course of the season, after what was a decent start for Eddie Howe’s men.
Indeed without that solid start, the Cherries could be much closer to the relegation battle and as it is, they will be glancing over their shoulders, especially if the teams beneath them in the table continue to pick up results.
Bournemouth have the capability to beat any side in this league but they don’t often play to that level and that is especially the case away from home. Leicester though have flattered to deceive against lesser opponents this season, so this is by no means a straightforward pick.
Having said that, I think Rodgers arrival will certainly inject new life into Leicester and as such, I am backing them to pick up their third win in a row for the new manager on Saturday.
Leicester to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £34.50
Cardiff are 18th place in the league two points from safety behind Burnley & with an inferior goal difference, but they do have a game in hand.
Chelsea occupy sixth place in the table on 57 points, a point behind Man Utd in 5th and three behind Arsenal in sixth and four behind Spurs in third.
Cardiff have won just two of their last five games, while Chelsea have won one and drawn two of their last five, losing the other two games.
Chelsea have won all four of the most recent games between the teams including a 4-1 victory between the teams when they met at Stamford Bridge in September.
It’s not been the best of times for either of these clubs of late, Cardiff have struggled for form and have had the whole Emiliano Sala issue to deal with, while Chelsea’s critics have been vocal following a number of high profile defeats in recent weeks, which has heaped the pressure on the incumbent manager, Mauricio Sarri.
Neil Warnock will know that this may be the best time to face Chelsea, but it could also be the worst as with little to lose, the Blues, who are now battling solely for a Champions League place next season, will have all their focus on winning this match and trying to close the gap on the teams above them in the top four.
Cardiff though need the win to try and move out of the drop zone and with Burnley and Southampton both having tricky games, a win here could well do that for the bluebirds. However, their record against Chelsea in recent times is shocking and doesn’t do their cause any favours.
I can see Cardiff scoring a goal but I can also see Chelsea having the quality in their team to score at least a couple in reply and as such, I am backing the visitors to come away with the points here.
Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £33.50
Liverpool come into the game top of the table by two points having played a game more than Manchester City, they have won three of their last four games.
Tottenham are 13 points behind City (15 to Liverpool) in third and they have played 30 games amassing 61 points. They are a point clear of Arsenal in fourth.
The last game between the teams finished in a 2-1 win for Liverpool at Wembley in September. Wijnaldum and Firmino scoring for the Reds with Lamela for Spurs.
Liverpool have lost just one of the last 13 games between the teams, winning eight and drawing four. The teams drew 2-2 at Anfield last season.
Last season’s encounter between these teams was a Premier League classic, Spurs awarded two penalties, missing one and scoring the other, a VAR decision handing Spurs that second penalty just seconds after Mo Salah had seemingly won the game in injury time for Liverpool at the other end. It is easy to forget that in the same game Victor Wanyama scored a wondergoal for Spurs too.
However, this season I am not expecting quite so crazy a game. Liverpool’s home form of late has been superb and they are unbeaten at Anfield all season in the league. Spurs recent away form has been very poor by their standards and has been the reason they have dropped off the pace behind City and Liverpool at the top of the table.
I can see Spurs, with Kane and Alli back in the fold, scoring a goal at Anfield even against a quality Liverpool defence, but by the same token, Spurs defending in recent games has not been great and with Sadio Mane in particular in superb form, I fancy the home side to enough to take the win.
Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £31.50
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter