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Football Tips & Predictions: 7th & 8th March
by David Lenton
You may remember that I told you VAR had denied me a big winner a short time ago…
Well last weekend it happened once again, with Everton’s last minute winner against Manchester United being cancelled out by the virtual referee which cost me a £50 return on that game.
So last weekend was a disappointment once again and I have to say that I am having a bit of a lull in form at the moment.
When this happens, I do have a strategy and that is to keep things simpler, take the shorter odds available on some more certain bets and get back into profit.
I’ll be doing that where I can this weekend but the fixtures don’t quite fully allow it.
Football Betting Tips: Saturday 7th March
March 7, 2020
March 7, 2020
Crystal Palace lie 12th in the tabe, with 36 points from 28 games.
Watford are 17th, above Bournemouth on goal difference of one better.
The teams drew 0-0 when they met at Vicarage Road back in December.
Palace have not beaten Watford since Dec 2017 (losing 3, drawing 2 since then).
Both these teams struggle for goals and consistency, so really I probably should have avoided this game, but there is a reason I have picked it this week, ostensibly because I feel Watford are a team that pick up their points in clusters of wins.
They did that a short time ago when Nigel Pearson was appointed manager and now having beaten Liverpool, I think the confidence from that will serve them well, especially against a goal-shy Crystal Palace, who are also one of the least consistent sides at home.
This is a game which I feel will likely be like the 0-0 draw the teams had back in December. Defensive, hard fought and with few chances, but something tells me that the confidence in the team from that win over Liverpool may just give Watford the edge and perhaps from a set piece, they can find the winner.
As such, I am backing Watford to take all three points with them back to Vicarage Road in this game and to further ease their relegation worries.
Burnley lie 9th in the table with 38 points from their 28 games.
Tottenham are 7th on 40 points having also played 28 games.
Spurs have won 7 of the last 11 between the teams since 2014.
Burnley’s only win in that run was in this fixture last season, a 2-1 home win.
Tottenham have a very good record in this fixture in recent years but they will know that Burnley managed to earn a victory over them in this fixture last season and with Jose Mourinho’s side’s form being so poor at the moment, this is by no means a foregone conclusion that Tottenham will be able to get something from the game.
Burnley are flying at the moment and I think it is fair to say that they should already be safe from relegation with 10 games to go in the season. That’s a big achievement for a team that spent a lot of time in the bottom three earlier on in the season and at one stage, looked like they could not buy a win.
However, Sean Dyche has managed to get the best out of his team in recent weeks and that has result in some outstanding performances and excellent results, unbeaten in their last five, I think they will be able to continue that run here against a Spurs side lacking bite in attack due to the absence of Kane and Son.
That said, I still feel Spurs have it in them to perhaps grab an equaliser and head back to London with a share of the spoils.
Chelsea are 4th in the table, with 45 points from their 28 games.
Everton are 11th in the table with 37 points also from 28 games played.
Everton have not lost in their last four games against Chelsea (2 wins, 2 draws).
The Toffee’s were 3-1 winners when the teams met back in early December.
Chelsea have really suffered at home at times this season and there is no doubt that Frank Lampard’s team, who have won just one of their last five, do seem to have something of a mental block when it comes to picking up results at home.
Given that, one team you would not want to face at the moment are Everton who seem to be turning their season around since Carlo Ancelotti took over the job full time. Building on the success of caretaker boss Duncan Ferguson, who masterminded Everton’s 3-1 win over Chelsea before Xmas, the Italian is carefully moulding Everton into a decent side.
Chelsea fans have been less than impressed with home performances of late and while I do feel Frank Lampard will eventually turn things around, I can’t see this being the game where he does that convincingly. Although having said that, I am not sure Everton have quite the capacity within them to head to London and pick up a win at Stamford Bridge.
As a result I am backing this one to finish in a scoring draw, a result which probably won’t enhance the long term prospects of either team a great deal.
United lie 5th in the Premier League on 42 points from their 28 games played.
City are 2nd in the table with 57 points although they have played 27 games.
7 of the last 11 games between the teams have been won by the away team.
United’s last home win over Man City was a 1-0 win in the League Cup in Oct 2016.
This is a rather unusual fixture, a bit like last week’s Spurs v Wolves game, where in the last few years it is the away team that has had the more positive results. That would tend to play into Manchester City’s hands here and in truth, I do feel City will win the game, but this could be a tricky one to predict for a number of reasons.
Firstly, City come into this game after a busy week of Cup games plus they know with a European ban looming, and Liverpool so far ahead, they have little but local pride to play for, especially with their focus likely to be on the cup competitions.
United’s focus though is going to be predominantly on the league as they seek to claim back a place in the Champions League, which could happen at City’s expense if they are banned from the competition. As such, United are the team that badly needs the win here, more so than City.
However, that said, City on the road seem able to pick United apart defensively as they did in the Carabao Cup Semi final 1st leg a few weeks ago and if they can produce a performance anywhere near that, then I think it will be the blue half of Manchester celebrating the win on Sunday.
Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £31.50
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter