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Football Tips: Tue 26th & Wed 27th February
by David Lenton
We have one of the increasingly rare Premier League midweek fixture lists this week with all 20 teams in action across Tuesday and Wednesday night.
There’s some great games to look forward to as well including Chelsea taking on Tottenham in what is a must-win London derby game for both teams.
There’s also a massive clash at the foot of the table where Southampton take on Fulham in what is equally a must-win game for both these sides too.
Add to that Man Utd’s tough trip to Crystal Palace and both Liverpool and Manchester City having home games, and it should be an exciting couple of days.
Premier League Tips: Tuesday 26th February
February 26, 2019
King Power Stadium
February 26, 2019
King Power Stadium
Despite having four times as many shots as their opponents, Leicester went down 4-1 at home to Palace at the weekend in what was a poor result for the Foxes.
Brighton did not play at the weekend as their game with Chelsea was postponed due to the Carabao Cup Final. The Seagulls dropped down to 16th place in the table.
The teams shared the goals when they met at the AMEX Stadium in November, Leicester earning a 1-1 draw despite being down to 10 men for most of the game.
The historic record between the teams is very even with both having amassed 13 wins with just six game between the teams ending in a draw.
There is no doubt in my mind that Leicester will be scratching their heads as to the result of their last home against Crystal Palace at the weekend. The Foxes had more possession and far more shots at goal, but were thumped 4-1 in front of their home fans - which eventually cost Claude Puel his job.
Brighton had their feet up as their game with Chelsea was postponed due to Chelsea playing in the Carabao Cup Final this weekend so they should be well rested for the game. However, they also dropped down into a precarious 16th place in the table on the back of wins for Burnley and Newcastle.
Chris Hughton’s men therefore will be well aware that they need to start picking up points as a matter of urgency but in truth the Seagulls form has been as patchy as Leicester’s has been for a good while and they are finding landing those points extremely tough.
This will be close and while I feel Brighton may be well-rested, Leicester will want to bounce back after the debacle on Saturday and even manger-less I think they will do precisely that to secure a narrow win here.
Leicester to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £45.00
Newcastle picked up three more valuable points with a 2-0 win over Huddersfield at the weekend to move them away from the drop zone.
Burnley remain two points ahead of Newcastle following their excellent 2-1 victory over Tottenham Hotspur at Turf Moor on Saturday.
Newcastle also won the game between the teams earlier this season, as they defeated Burnley 2-1 at Turf Moor thanks to a Ben Mee own goal and Ciaran Clark’s header.
Newcastle have lost just one of their last five Premier League games. Burnley have gone eight Premier League games undefeated since losing 5-1 to Everton on Boxing Day.
I have to admit to having a huge admiration for both of these teams what they have achieved this season. Neither team has the strongest squad in terms of talent, but both have managers who can wring the absolute maximum out of the players that they do have to achieve results that regularly go beyond what you would expect from them.
I also feel that both will be safe this season when relegation issues are sorted. Burnley are on a superb run and are unbeaten in eight Premier League games. Newcastle too have lost just one of their last five and so this isn’t quite a cut-and-dried pick as many would expect, even if Newcastle did win the reverse game at Turf Moor earlier this season.
In truth, I can’t see either team doing quite enough to win this game as I think neither has the firepower to get the two or maybe three goals needed to secure a win. On the other hand, I think both are excellent defensively and that this will be the key to the game and that chances may be at a premium at both ends of the pitch.
As such, I am backing the draw here, with it most likely to be either a 0-0 or 1-1 final score.
Having been taken to penalties in the Carabao Cup Final, Chelsea will have those 120 minutes in their legs by Wednesday for this crucial game with Spurs.
Tottenham lost their seventh Premier League game of the season at Burnley at the weekend, a result which many feel may have finally scuppered their title hopes.
Tottenham won the Premier League clash between the teams 3-1 at Wembley but in the Carabao Cup semi, Chelsea triumphed on penalties in the semifinal to reach the final.
Spurs have won three of the last four between the teams. Chelsea last beat Spurs in the Premier League back in August 2017, a 2-1 victory.
There’s a massive subtext to this game and that is whether Kepa the Keeper will play for Chelsea following his incredible refusal to come off when initially substituted in the Carabao Cup Final. Chelsea put a fine display in the final to deny City initially but the penalties defeat and the ramifications from the end of the game will likely continue into this game.
However, all is not great for Spurs at the moment following their loss to Burnley at the weekend and with Liverpool drawing at Manchester United, they need to pick up three points on a ground where their overall record in recent times isn’t particularly good.
The good news for Spurs was the early return from injury of Harry Kane, who netted their goal at Burnley, and he will likely spearhead the attack again. After their Carabao Cup semi final loss to Chelsea, Spurs fans will be desperate to gain some revenge over a Chelsea side who just fell short at Wembley.
With the game being shown live, the scrutiny on Chelsea and their goalkeeper, whoever is selected could overshadow the game but don’t forget, Chelsea have a very good record at home and I think they will do just enough to scrape the win here, even after their Wembley defeat on Sunday.
Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £43.30
Palace come into this game on the back of a thumping 4-1 win at Leicester, they are unbeaten in their last six games and now have 30 points in the league.
Man Utd have a number of new injury concerns following their 0-0 draw with Liverpool at the weekend. Lingard, Mata and Herrera all picking up knocks in the game.
The teams last met in November last year at Old Trafford where Palace came away from the game with a creditable 0-0 draw.
Palace have won just one of the last 26 games between the teams, a 2-1 win in the League Cup in 2011. Their last league win over United was a 3-0 home win back in May 1991.
Manchester United suffered a number of injuries in their game with Liverpool at the weekend which could well be problematic for them for this tricky clash at Selhurst Park against a Palace side that will be buoyant following their 4-1 win at Leicester City at the weekend, a result which was the final straw for Leicester bosses who sacked Claude Puel in the aftermath.
It’s fair to say that United did well to nullify Liverpool’s attacking threat at Old Trafford but at a cost as they didn’t really look awfully dangerous going forward although the three injuries before half time may well have a lot to do with that.
Both sides have solid form coming into this game and Palace have earned a point at Old Trafford earlier this season. They also beat Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium so they are not going to be too fazed taking on a United team unbeaten in the league since mid-December.
I can see this one being close. Palace have been much more clinical in front of goal in recent weeks and I think that Manchester United, with the injuries they have, could have to adopt a new approach which will play into Palace’s hands and I think a draw is the most likely outcome.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter