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Football Tips: Tuesday 4th & Wednesday 5th December

Premier League TipsNot the best weekend in the Premier League, although Liverpool’s last gasp win over Everton gave me at least one winner. Good job we had profit in the European games the previous week to make up for it.

This week is an unusual one as it is one of the few midweek Premier League fixture lists with games taking place on Tuesday and Wednesday night this week and all 20 teams in action.

The more intriguing fixtures take place on Wednesday night which also sees one of the big Premier League matches as Manchester United welcome Arsenal to Old Trafford. The Gunners will be flying after their superb 4-2 win over Arsenal at the weekend, while United will be licking their wounds after a disappointing 2-2 draw with Southampton.

It should be an interesting week with six points up for grabs for both teams and the table could look very different come Monday morning next week.

Mid-Week Footie Tips: Tuesday 4th December

December 4, 2018
West Ham
VS
Cardiff City
London Stadium
7:45 pm
West Ham Logo
West Ham
VS
Cardiff City Logo
Cardiff City
December 4, 2018
London Stadium
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • West Ham picked up another 3 points with a comfortable 3-0 win at Newcastle at the weekend, they have one defeat in their last five league games.
  • Cardiff bagged their second home win in a row with a 2-1 win over Wolves at the weekend, a result which moved Neil Warnock’s team up to 16th in the table.
  • West Ham have won all of the last six games between the teams and seven of the last eight, although their last contest came back in January 2014.
  • The Hammers have won four of those six games by a 2-0 scoreline and Cardiff only managed to score in one of those six games (a 3-2 defeat in the 2013 Football League Cup).
Analysis:

I must admit, when I checked West Ham’s recent form, I was surprised at how consistent they had been in terms of avoiding defeats, if not winning games. The win over Newcastle at the weekend was an important one and I think the Hammers will use the confidence from that win in this game against a team struggling against the drop.

Cardiff’s home form has improved a great deal of late, but there’s no doubt that the Bluebirds are struggling on the road and although West Ham do have a tendency of losing these types of games, I strongly fancy them to get back to winning ways in front of their home fans here.

In truth, it is hard to see how Cardiff City will score a goal in this one as away from home they have struggled to find the net, the Hammers will also be in great spirits having kept a fine clean sheet away at Newcastle which is something the defence will want to build on.

As such, I am backing the Hammers superior strike force to be the difference here, handing them a victory to nil over their Welsh rivals.

West Ham to win to nil - £10 returns £31.00
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Football Tips & Predictions: Wednesday 5th December

December 5, 2018
Everton
VS
Newcastle United
Goodison Park
7:45 pm
Everton Logo
Everton
VS
Newcastle United Logo
Newcastle United
December 5, 2018
Goodison Park
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Everton will hope to bounce back after their unfortunate derby defeat to Liverpool on Sunday. The Toffees remain in sixth place in the Premier League despite that loss.
  • Newcastle went down to a disappointing 3-0 home defeat to West Ham after winning three on the bounce. The Toon Army currently lie 15th in the table on 12 points.
  • Everton have a great recent record in this fixture, winning all of the last five and nine of the last eleven matches between the teams.
  • Three of the last four games have finished 1-0 to Everton, with three of the last seven games also seeing victories for Everton but by a 3-0 scoreline.
Analysis:

Everton fans and players will have been gutted by the freakish nature of their derby defeat at Anfield, but they have the perfect opportunity to bounce back here against a Newcastle United side that saw their recent return to form brought to an abrupt end at the weekend at home to West Ham.

Rafa Benitez side were unusually poor in that 3-0 defeat and they will travel to Everton knowing that they can expect a reaction from Marco Silva’s team following their unfortunate loss to Liverpool on Sunday. That could well make this a torrid afternoon for the visitors.

That is all the more evident when you view the recent results in this game with Everton having a superb record in this game and Newcastle struggling to even find the net against their Merseyside rivals in recent years.

As such, I can’t really make any case for Newcastle to get anything from this game. I do think it will be close and I can see it may well be a single goal that decides it, but I am backing that goal to come from an Everton player in favour of the home side.

Everton to win to nil - £10 returns £26.50
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December 5, 2018
Wolverhampton Wanderers
VS
Chelsea
Molineux
7:45 pm
Wolverhampton Wanderers Logo
Wolverhampton Wanderers
VS
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
December 5, 2018
Molineux
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Wolves fell to another defeat at the weekend, which leaves them in 12th place in the league table on 16 points. They have lost five of their last six games.
  • Chelsea got back to winning ways with a 2-0 derby victory over Fulham at the weekend. The win moved Chelsea back into third in the table above Tottenham.
  • Wolves have beaten Chelsea just once since February 1983, a 1-0 win in the Premier League back in January 2011. Chelsea have won 10 or the last 11 matches between the two.
  • The teams meeting came in the FA Cup last season, when Chelsea won 2-0 at Molineux to move into the fifth round.
Analysis:

Wolves record against Chelsea is very poor in more recent times, although the teams have only met once in the last few years, in the FA Cup last season, which saw a young Chelsea side emerge with a solid 2-0 victory.

Nuno Santo’s team have struggled of late with just one draw and no wins in their last six games. The confidence they had at the start of the season seems to have evaporated as the realisation of just how tough the Premier League is, has hit home in recent weeks.

Oddly enough though, Wolves better performances have tended to come against the top teams with draws with Man Utd, Man City, Everton and Arsenal already this season. Of the top six, only Spurs have beaten Wolves (3-2 a few weeks back).

That said, I cannot see anything other than a comfortable win for the visitors here although they do seem to have lost a little sparkle in the last game when they laboured to a 2-0 win over Fulham. I expect a similar result for Chelsea here but I do feel that the home side will do enough to score a goal.

Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £38.00
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December 5, 2018
Man Utd
VS
Arsenal
Old Trafford
8:00 pm
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
VS
Arsenal Logo
Arsenal
December 5, 2018
Old Trafford
8:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Utd have not won a league game since beating Bournemouth in early November. Losing to City and drawing with Palace and Southampton since.
  • Arsenal’s unbeaten run continued at the weekend with a 4-2 win over rivals Tottenham at the Emirates Stadium. They are now unbeaten in 19 games.
  • United won both of the games between the teams last season, winning 3-1 at the Emirates and then earning a 2-1 victory at Old Trafford.
  • Seven of the last nine games between the teams have seen both teams score a goal at some point in the game.
Analysis:

Arsenal have beaten United just three times since March 2011and have just four wins in the last 23 games between the teams (although they have won two of the last six, losing three and drawing the other). United then clearly hold the edge historically in one of the biggest Premier League games of the season.

However, when it comes to recent form it is the Gunners who hold the better record having gone 19 games without a defeat since losing to Chelsea in the second game of the season. United have not won at home at Old Trafford in the Premier League since a narrow 2-1 win over Everton in October and they have gone three games without a win.

There’s also the clear fall out between manager Jose Mourinho and notably Paul Pogba and it remains to be seen whether this relationship can be resolved or whether one, or both, will be forced out of the club before things can resolve themselves.

History shows United do well in these games, but I cannot in all good faith back them over an Arsenal side playing with passion and right in form at the moment. As such, I am going for a rare Gunners win at Old Trafford on Wednesday night.

Arsenal to win - £10 returns £30.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

the Cheeky Punter
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.