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Int. Football Tips: 6th, 7th & 8th September
by David Lenton
We tore it up last weekend, £10 stakes were up +£20.30, thanks to some solid value win and both teams to score tips.
This week’s tips see us move away from the Premier League for a week as we look at the start of the new UEFA Nations League tournament.
UEFA’s brainchild to allow teams to play more even quality opponents more often and to do away with meaningless friendly games for fans.
I’m not convinced…
Regardless I’ve put together a selection of international football tips covering the next few days.
Football Betting Tips: Thursday 6th September
September 6, 2018
September 6, 2018
After a poor World Cup, Joachim Low has made changes to his squad. Nico Schulz, Kai Havertz and Thilo Kehrer earn call ups, while Leroy Sane is recalled.
World Cup Winners France will be without Hugo Lloris for their games but Kingsley Coman, Adrien Rabiot and Laurent Koscielny all return to the squad.
Germany’s last win over France was at the 2014 World Cup Finals in Brazil. Since then France have won two games between the teams and there has been one draw.
The teams have met 29 times previously, France winning 13 games, Germany 10 with six games being drawn. Germany have won just two of the last 11 games.
These two giants of European football had contrasting World Cup performance in th summer. While Germany were sent packing from the tournament bottom of their group, France went on to become World Cup winners for the second time in what was a memorable summer for Didier Deschamps team.
The French also have a decent record over Germany, especially in recent games where they have won seven and drawn two of the last 11 games between the teams.
Both squads have seen some changes since the summer, with Germany losing Mario Gomes and Mesut Ozil to retirement from international football, while a number of French stars are missing through injury, allowing some familiar faces to return to the fold.
This promises to be a cracking game to start the UEFA Nations League with and while France are the form team, Germany in Germany very seldom lose too many games. As such, I am backing this one to end in an entertaining draw with a goal or maybe two for each team.
Wales will do without Hal Robson Kanu who retired from international football. Paul Dummet returns to the squad and Gareth Bale is fit to play.
Irish boss Martin O’Neil has just eight Premier League players in his 26-man squad after Harry Arter made himself unavailable for selection.
The teams met in the qualifiers for the World Cup 2018 tournament with the teams drawing 0-0 in Dublin before Ireland eliminated Wales by winning 1-0 in Cardiff.
The teams have met 15 times previously with Wales winning just five, Ireland six and four draws. Wales last win over the Irish came back in February 1992.
Ryan Giggs has already been moved to dispel a feeling of revenge for Wales after the Republic of Ireland ended their World Cup hopes last year with a 1-0 win in Cardiff thanks to James McLean’s strike.
The ex-Manchester United star will be up against former team mate Roy Keane and Martin O’Neil in what is a youthful and perhaps untested Republic of Ireland side, with many of their squad plying their trade in the Championship or even a division or two below.
Wales have the luxury of calling on one of the world’s best players in Gareth Bale and he could be the difference between the two teams, but the Republic have managed to cope with Bale well in the recent past and I am sure O’Neil and Keane will be planning to do the same again here.
I think this will be a very tight game and one with few goals, and in truth I think this is a game that will likely see both teams share the spoils.
New Italy boss Mancini has named a youthful squad for this game including Manuel Lazzari of Spal, Nicolo Barella of Cagliari and Pietro Pellegri of AS Monaco.
Jerzy Brzeczek includes eight players in his squad currently playing in Serie A, as well as Robert Lewandowski of Bayern Munich and Kamel Glik of AS Monaco.
The teams last met in a friendly back in November 2011 when Italy won 2-0 in Poland thanks to goals from Mario Balotelli and Giampaolo Pazzini.
The teams have met 14 times previously, with five wins for Italy, three for Poland and six games between the teams have been drawn.
It’s very much a new era for the Azzuri as Roberto Mancini comes in as their new manager following the failure to qualify for the 2018 World Cup Finals in Russia, Mancini has kept some of the old guard, but has also introduced plenty of new faces in what is an expansive 31-man squad he has selected for the game with Poland.
Poland can also call on plenty of Serie A experience with eight men in their squad playing their club football in Italy. They also have one of the world’s best strikers in Robert Lewandowski, but in trurth the Poles have struggled to create too many chances for the striker in their most recent games.
If there is one thing you can count on with Italy, is that after a disappointment they will tend to bounce back strongly and in Mancini they have a proven winner as manager. I think they’ll do well in this tournament and I am backing to start that with a solid performance and a win against a shot-shy Polish side here.
New Spain boss Luis Enrique has overlooked Barcelona left back Jordi Alba for this game, while Diego Costa has pulled out of the squad for personal reasons.
Notable call ups to Southgate’s squad include Liverpool pair Joe Gomez and Adam Lallana, Burnley defender James Tarkowski and Man Utd left back Luke Shaw.
England have won just one of the last six games between themselves and Spain, losing four and drawing the most recent game 2-2 at Wembley in November 2016.
In history, the teams have played 25 times, England winning 13, Spain winning 9 and there have been just three drawn games between the teams.
After England’s semifinal performance in the summer, expectation for Gareth Southgate’s young team will be higher going into the Nations League tournament but the Young Lions have a tough group, drawn with Spain and Croatia and it would be a huge boost if they were to qualify ahead of the World Cup Finalists and one of the teams that are favourites to win the trophy outright.
Spain’s World Cup started poorly and only went downhill from there. There were flashes of brilliance but in the end disappointment for Fernando Hierro’s team. Now Luis Enrique has the job and has already ruffled a few feathers by leaving Barcelona left back Jordi Alba out of the squad.
England’s record against Spain recently isn’t great and they threw away a two-goal lead late on in the last game to allow Spain to snatch a 2-2 draw. I fancy Spain to be more on the ball this time around, but I still fancy this one to finish in a draw, most likely by a 1-1 scoreline.
Draw - £10 returns £32.00
*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter