League Cup Semi Final Tips: Jan 10th & 11th

EFL Cup TipsI made a small profit on this weekend’s FA Cup ties with Marcus Rashford duly obliging with Manchester United’s final two goals in their 4-0 rout of Reading and West Bromwich Albion and Derby County both finding the net in Derby’s shock win over the Baggies at the Hawthorns.

Everton and Liverpool let me down but profit is profit and I sent out a 5/1 winner to the email list. It’s free to join and you get extra tips, just use the form below to start getting the tips now:

This week things will be different and I’ve got football tips for the League Cup semi final matches taking place on Tuesday January 10th and Wednesday January 11th.

League Cup Football Tips – Tue 10th January

Manchester United v Hull City

Often in first leg matches of two-legged semi finals, games can be a cagey affair with neither side willing to press too hard, for fear of losing heavily and effectively rendering the second leg a formality. However, given the respective form of both of these sides and the fact that this first leg is at fortress Old Trafford, I am expecting the home side to take a very comfortable lead back to the KCOM Stadium for the second leg on the 26th January.

United come into this game on the back of their best form for many years and in particular, they have been almost invincible at Old Trafford over the past couple of months. Their opponents Hull City have just sacked manager Mike Phelan and sit bottom of the Premier League table.

However, in the cups, Hull have done slightly better, reaching this stage thanks to a victory on penalties over Newcastle United after a 1-1 draw and they also defeated Swansea City 2-0 at the KCOM Stadium at the weekend.

That said, this is a daunting task facing a team without a manager and who were defeated 1-0 by United back in August in their third league game, their first defeat of the season.
Having rested several big stars ahead of this clash at the weekend, Manchester United will likely recall the likes of Ibrahimovic, Pogba and Mkhitaryan for this first leg and Hull City just do not have the quality in depth to cope ably with a side packing that sort of talent and bang in form.

The bookmakers clearly agree, having Hull at 20/1 to win the game, while United are an unbackable best price of 1/5 to win. So clearly, we’ll have to look for value in another market.
Marcus Rashford came up trumps for us at the weekend but his two goal salvo may not be enough for him to keep his place in the team for this one. Indeed, with Liverpool on the horizon at the weekend, I am not sure that Jose Mourinho will pick his all-out best eleven here, which puts me off going for an anytime goalscorer.

What I do feel however is that Manchester United will win and they will likely score a fair few goals in the process. As such, I am taking the 7/4 (2.75) at Paddy Power on Man Utd winning and over 3.5 goals being scored in the game.

Wed 11th January Football Betting Tips

Southampton v Liverpool

These two teams met in November at St Mary’s with the game ending in a 0-0 draw, a result which will have irked Liverpool who missed at least two glorious chances to snatch the win in the second half alone.

The Saints come into this game with just one win in their last six games and they have lost both of their most recent home games, 4-1 against Tottenham and 2-1 against West Brom. Liverpool have drawn their last two games somewhat disappointingly, 2-2 away at Sunderland, while the 0-0 home draw with Plymouth in the FA Cup was achieved with the youngest ever Liverpool side selected for a first team game.

It is clear that Jurgen Klopp already had this game on his mind given his team selection on Sunday and it is expected that several first teamers who were not selected for this game, such as Firmino, Lallana, Mignolet, Sturridge and Clyne will return. There’s also good news for Reds fans in the shape of Philippe Coutinho returning to full training, though he is unlikely to be fit for the first leg.

Liverpool defeated Southampton at the quarter final stage of this competition 6-1 last season at St Mary’s, but I think the game on Wednesday night will be a much closer affair.

That said, I think the return of several rested stars will certainly boost Liverpool, although it is fair to say that ex-Saint Sadio Mane, who is now at the African Cup of Nations with Senegal, will be sorely missed. Certainly, the Reds look nowhere near as potent when Mane has been absent from the team.

I think this has the hallmarks of being a closely fought contest and with Mane or Coutinho in the team, I’d have probably gone for a Reds win, however with both absent, I think that this could be delicately poised for the return leg at Anfield on the 25th January.

I’m backing this one to end in a draw which is available at 12/5 (3.40) with Bet365.

the Cheeky Punter

the Cheeky Punter

The Cheeky Punter is an professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.

Comment

Enter your comment:
Display Name *
Title