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Midweek Football Tips: 21st-23rd Jan
by David Lenton
I’m not going to sugar-coat it, last weekend was very disappointing as none of the tips came in.
I did feel a little hard done by… had Troy Deeney not missed his penalty I’d have at least broken even and had Man Utd not missed two great chances, I’d have landed another win there. Not to be.
This week we have another full complement of games in the Premier League in midweek, due to the fact that this weekend has been blocked off in the calendar for the FA Cup Fourth Round.
Games will be played across Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday evening, with the majority of matches taking place on Tuesday, including a big London derby clash between Chelsea and Arsenal as well as Manchester City’s tricky trip to Bramall Lane to take on Sheffield United.
Here are my tips for this weeks Premiership action.
Football Betting Tips: Tuesday 21st January
January 21, 2020
January 21, 2020
Palace earned a point at Man City, their fourth draw in a row, to remain 9th.
Southampton lost 2-3 at home to Wolves to drop to 13th in the league table.
Southampton have won five of the last nine between the teams, Palace winning just two.
Both the last two games between the teams have finished in 1-1 draws (at Southampton).
Crystal Palace have lost both the last two games they have played at home to Southampton and the improvement in form from the Saints over the last six games, where they have picked up 13 points out of the 15 available, before the home loss to Wolves at the weekend, does make this a daunting task for the home side.
Palace’s problem this season, as it was last, has been consistency, although to be fair they have improved on that since last year. Goalscoring remains a problem though and it is this lack of goals which has been their main Achilles heel all season. That said, the Eagles have drawn all their last four in the EPL.
Southampton though have the in form Danny Ings to call on and I think their form, allied with their more dangerous attack means that they are going to cause this Palace side a few problems and in truth, of the two teams, I can see the Saints being more likely to win this one, if there is to be a winner.
However, I think the stats and form here strongly suggest that a draw is the most likely outcome so that is what I’ll be backing here.
Everton battled to a 1-1 draw in their last game away to West Ham.
Newcastle earned a snatch and grab 1-0 win over Chelsea at the weekend.
Everton have won nine of the last 12 encounters with Newcastle.
Newcastle have not won at Goodison Park since a 1-0 win back in September 2010.
It is very surprising to discover just how poor Newcastle’s recent run of form is against Everton, with the Toffees winning nine of the last 12 between the teams and Newcastle without a win at Goodison Park in almost ten years. This game promises to be a close one between two teams that have had good, and bad, points so far this season.
Newcastle will be pleased to have seen some of their expensive signings finding the net in recent games and they badly need that to continue if Steve Bruce’s team are to continue their journey away from the drop zone.
Everton’s recent form has, by and large, been much improved since Marco Silva’s sacking and the Toffee’s will be hoping that with history on their side and the backing of a partisan Goodison Park, they should have enough quality to get the job done here.
This will be close, and I can see both teams scoring, but I just fancy the home side to do just enough to take the three points and keep them moving the right way up the table.
Everton to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £34.00
Chelsea remain 4th despite losing 1-0 at Newcastle at the weekend.
Arsenal are 10th following their 1-1 draw with Sheff Utd at the Emirates.
Chelsea have won three of the last four between the teams.
Chelsea earned a 2-1 win at the Emirates in December coming from behind late on to win.
When these two teams last met at the end of December, Arsenal held onto a narrow one goal lead until the last ten minutes of the game, before Chelsea scored twice in quick succession to claim a perhaps undeserved win on balance of play that day.
Since taking over Mikel Arteta has seen an improvement in form from his Arsenal side, if not quite the upturn in results he would have wanted, especially on the road where Arsenal still struggle, a 1-1 draw away to Crystal Palace being a good example of that.
Chelsea have also had their struggles at home, but they have tended to come against lesser opponents who dig in deep and hit the Blues on the counter, as Bournemouth and West Ham have done in recent times. I can see Arsenal trying to play that way, but I feel the Gunners defence isn’t of the ability to keep Chelsea out for sustained periods.
I can see Arsenal grabbing a goal here as they are very dangerous on the counter attack, but I am backing Chelsea to come through and land a win.
Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £31.00
Wolves lie 6th after a come from behind 3-2 win at Southampton on Saturday.
Liverpool defeated Man Utd to extend their lead at the top of the table to 16 points.
Liverpool have won 8 of the last 12 between the teams, Wolves winning three of those.
Only 17 of the 105 games between the teams have finished in a draw the last in 2010.
It is very surprising to note that drawn games between these two teams are something of a rarity, with just 17 draws in 105 games, the last coming way back in 2010 at Molineux in the league. That is even more unusual when you consider just how many games Wolves have drawn this season.
Liverpool though have been strolling through the season and they sit deservedly at the top of the table and there is no doubt that Jurgen Klopp’s men will be focused hard on this game, which is the final game of a tough stretch of matches (Everton, Tottenham, Man Utd and now Wolves) throughout January.
Wolves did give Liverpool plenty of problems at Anfield, in a 1-0 defeat back in December and I felt they were unlucky not to get something from this game, but Liverpool have tended to play better away from home against the top sides of late, a 4-0 win over Leicester a case in point and while I can see Wolves scoring a goal (a rarity in recent weeks against this back line), I still feel Liverpool will run out winners by a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline.
Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £34.50
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter