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Nations League Tips: 17th & 18th November

Author: Published: November 16, 2020

Nations League Football TipsI still can’t quite believe I didn’t make a profit last weekend. Admittedly, I only was down £10 but forgive me for feeling hard done to with my selections…

First up Portugal v France, we have Wolves keeper Rui Patricio throwing one up for Ngolo Kante to knee home. A gift goal and then Cristiano Ronaldo decides to have one of his rare off days too. Fair enough the Sweden v Croatia game didn’t quite go to plan but Belgium to win and both teams to score against England, how did England not score in that game?

Still, Wales v the Republic of Ireland delivered the most predictable 1-0 win in the history of football and I only wish I’d gone with my gut instinct which was to include the Bulgaria v Finland game in this set of tips as I felt the Finns were a nap to win that one (which they duly did).

Anyway… we are now into the last set of Nations League tips for the competitions group stages, enjoy.

Nations League Football Tips: Tuesday 15th November

Spain VS Germany
17/11/2020 7:45 pm GMT

Key Stats

Spain need to beat Germany to qualify from this group.
If Germany draw or win, they will qualify for the semifinals of the Nations League.
The teams drew 1-1 in Germany when they met on Matchday 1.
Germany’s only two wins in the Group Stage have come against the Ukraine.

Analysis

This promises to be the most exciting of all the Nations League games this weekend. Two genuine European superpowers clashing with a place in the semifinals on the line makes this a game that you would ordinarily only get in the latter stages of a European Championship or World Cup competition.

Neither side is in particularly great form heading into this game, Germany are unbeaten in their last 11 but have won just two of their last five, both against Ukraine. Spain have just one win in their last five and have scored more than one goal in a game on just one occasion in their last seven matches.

Jose Gaya’s last minute equaliser gave Spain a draw in Germany and that goal means that this game does have real meaning for both sides and mean’s Spain still have their own destiny in their own hands. Playing the game in Seville, which has been a stronghold for Spanish teams for many years, is also a positive move.

That said, I feel this German team has the capacity to get something from this game and as such, I am backing them to earn the draw that they need to reach the semifinals.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £35.00
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Belgium VS Denmark
18/11/2020 7:45 pm GMT

Key Stats

Belgium are top of the group and need just a draw or better to reach the semifinals.
Denmark must win the game if they are to top the group.
Belgium were 2-0 winners when the teams met in Denmark on Matchday 1.
The teams have met 14 times, Denmark winning 6, Belgium 5 with three draws.

Analysis

After defeating England 2-0 on Sunday, Belgium looked likely to qualify for the semifinals as the Danes were being held 1-1 by Iceland in the other game, but a last gasp penalty earned the Danes a win and means that this game is now the decider in the group.

With Iceland already relegated and England confirmed as third, this is the all or nothing game for both teams. Denmark have to win, so will that necessitate a more attacking approach than you would normally expect to see from the Danish side?

It is a risk as in the game in Denmark between the teams, Belgium ran out comfortable 2-0 winners and there is a real risk that Belgium could do the same again to Denmark, especially given that this is how they won the game against England on Sunday night too.

I don’t expect too many goals here but I do expect Belgium to keep a clean sheet and I think that alongside that they will get a goal or two to ensure that they reach the next round of the tournament.

Prediction

Belgium to win to nil - £10 returns £26.30
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Football Betting Tips: Wednesday 16th November

Bosnia Herzegovina VS Italy
18/11/2020 7:45 pm GMT

Key Stats

Bosnia & Herzegovina are already relegated from Group A with just 2 points.
Italy need a win to be sure of topping the group. A draw could let in the Netherlands.
If Italy lose and Poland win against the Netherlands, the Poles could top the group.
The teams drew 1-1 on Matchday 1. Italy have drawn 3 of their five games so far.

Analysis

This is the group with the most still to be decided and the permutations of the group are somewhat complicated! Bosnia and Herzegovina are relegated after picking up just two points, but Italy would win the group with a win here. If they draw, then they need Poland and the Netherlands to finish in a draw or a Poland win to qualify.

But if Italy lose, then a win for either the Netherlands or Poland would see them qualify, but if Italy lose and Poland and the Netherlands, draw, then Italy would still go through by virtue of a better record against the Netherlands. Poland need to win, and hope Italy lose to stand any chance of progressing.

I do feel since the start of this group Italy have improved markedly, and they have beaten the Dutch away from home back in September. That should be enough of a confidence boost to ensure that they can pick up a win here against a team that have not won in the Group thus far.

Bosnia have some good players, but I feel Italy will strangle the game and perhaps grab a goal or two on the counter to claim the win and top the group. The Italians are yet to concede a goal on the road in the group thus far and so I feel they should keep that run going here too.

Prediction

Italy to win to nil - £10 returns £23.00
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Wales VS Finland
16/11/2020 7:45 pm GMT

Key Stats

A win or draw for Wales sees them promoted from Group B into Group A.
Finland must win in order to earn promotion to Group A themselves.
When the teams met in Finland, Wales were 1-0 winners on the opening matchday.
The teams have met 13 times, Wales with 5 wins, Finland with 4 and 4 drawn games.

Analysis

There’s a place in Group A of the Nations League up for grabs for these two teams in Cardiff on Wednesday night. Wales, by virtue of their win in Finland in their opening game in the group, have the advantage and a draw or better would be sufficient for the Welsh side to make the step up to Group A.

Finland come into this game having won all four of their last four in this competition and also having qualified for Euro 2020 next summer. It is fair to say that many feel that this is the best Finnish team in their history and they are primed to give the Welsh a very good game.

The Finns have won in Ireland to earn this shot so they won’t be afraid of this trip, however I think the big difference between Wales and Ireland is that the Welsh do have real attacking threat in the shape of players like Dan James, David Brooks and of course Gareth Bale and I feel that may the difference here.

This won’t be a pushover win for Wales and it may well be another 1-0 but I am backing them to claim a narrow victory here and to keep the Finns from scoring too.

Prediction

Wales to win to nil - £10 returns £28.80
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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