Premier League Final Day Tips – 22nd May

Author: Published: May 21, 2022

Premier League TipsWell, we called the FA Cup Final almost bang on the money and that made us a £36 return, but I couldn’t add to that with my other three games, which meant that I made a loss of £4 on last week’s selections.

Disappointing but not terminal after a good couple of weeks have really helped bolster the bank balance.

We now move on to what will be the final week of the Premier League season. It seems strange to think that after 37 games, we head into the weekend with so many key issues in the league still to be resolved.

Top of that list is the destination of the Premier League title with Manchester City needing to beat Aston Villa at home to achieve their fourth success in five years in the competition. However a draw or defeat for City and that could let in Liverpool to claim the title with a home win over Wolves, which would also complete a domestic treble.

Also to be decided is the race for fourth between Spurs and Arsenal, whether it will be West Ham or Manchester United who enter the Europa League next season, with the team finishing 7th out of those two entering the Europa Conference League.

Finally, with Everton now safe, it is a straight fight between Burnley and Leeds to stay in the Premier League with Burnley needing to match or better Leeds result against Brentford to ensure their survival for another season.

Finally, I’d like to thank you for following my tips over the course of the season. It’s been an up and down season in truth and not one of my best. However, that gives me all the more reason to review that and look ahead to next season with more optimism.

Enjoy the summer and let’s hope we can finish the season with a number of winners from this selection of tips.

Football Betting Tips: Sunday 22nd May

Brentford VS Leeds United
22/05/2022 4:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

The Bees are the fourth best team in the EPL over their last 8 games, amassing 16 pts.
Leeds have won the same number of points away from home as at home (17).
Luke Ayling and Daniel James are suspended for Leeds for this game.
Three of the last five games between the two have finished as a draw.

Analysis

Leeds United know that given their goal difference is 20 worse than Burnley, they have to better Burnley’s result at home to Newcastle in order to stand any chance of staying up. They face a Brentford side that are in very good form at the moment with the fourth best points total over the last eight games of all Premier League teams.

Part of that improvement has been the influence of Christian Eriksen whose undeniable quality has added a level of depth and skill to the Brentford attack that just was not there previously. Eriksen is only on a short-term deal though and it is likely that he will move on after this game.

Brentford are safe and could finish in the top half of the table if results were to go their way in other games. That would be a remarkable performance from Thomas Frank’s team in their first season in the Premier League. The pressure is therefore off the home side.

For Leeds though, this is a game where their fans will have one ear on events at Turf Moor and I can see a nervy and edgy afternoon in store, but Leeds poor form and tendency to concede goals makes me worry that they may come up short here, even if they do score a goal.

Prediction

Brentford to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £40.00
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Brighton VS West Ham
22/05/2022 4:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Brighton are 10th in the EPL, West Ham are 7th, 8 points apart in the table.
The last 6 games between the two have all finished as score draws.
Brighton are the form team picking 15 points up from the last 24, West Ham just 8.
25 of Brighton’s 37 games have seen under 2.5 goals scored, the most in the EPL.

Analysis

Both these teams have enjoyed much better seasons than they would have expected so this should be a good chance for both teams to end the season on a high. Brighton’s form over the last eight games is much better than West Ham’s, but the Londoners have picked up seven out of the last nine points available in their EPL games.

That means that if West Ham can win and Man Utd lose or draw away to Crystal Palace, then the Hammers would qualify for the Europa League ahead of Man Utd and the Red Devils would take the Europa Conference League place that is up for grabs.

Brighton could finish as high as 8th in the table if results were to go their way this weekend and that would be a massive achievement for Graham Potter and his team, especially with a number of people, myself including, tipping them to struggle this season.

However, Brighton’s home for is the fourth worst in the Premier League this season and West Ham seem to have found a bit of form just in time. They know they have a chance to have another crack at the Europa League if they can win here and Palace can hold or beat Man Utd, so I expect a big performance from the Hammers here and perhaps a 2-1 victory to break the run of drawn games.

Prediction

West Ham to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £50.00
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Leicester VS Southampton
22/05/2022 4:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Leicester are 9th in the EPL table (49pts), Southampton lie 15th (40pts)
Saints have lost four of their last five, Leicester have taken 7 points from the last 9.
The last two games between the teams have finished as score draws.
Southampton have won just 2 of the last 11 between the two (Leicester winning 6).

Analysis

Both these teams have nothing more to play for this season other than pride, but the reason I have gone for this game is that games involving the two of late have generally seen both teams score, in fact no team in the Premier League has been involved in more games with both teams finding the net than Leicester.

Leicester have 25 games where both teams have scored and Southampton have 22, the same as Man Utd and just one behind West Ham with 23. That does suggest to me that we can expect both teams to find the net here.

As such, that leaves just picking the right bet to pair with that and looking at the form of both teams, it looks to me like this is Leicester City’s game to win. The Foxes have picked up seven points from the last nine available, including a draw away to Chelsea in midweek and that is much better than the Saints most recent form.

Leicester have flattered to deceive at home at times this season but I think this will be a good way to finish off the season and I’m backing them to land a win here but with both teams finding the net.

Prediction

Leicester City to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £32.00
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Man City VS Aston Villa
22/05/2022 4:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

City are top of the table with 90 points, Villa lie 14th with 45 points.
City have won 11 of the last 12 between the teams, drawing the other game.
The home side have not lost at home to Villa in the league since 2007.
A win for Manchester City assures them of winning the Premier League title.

Analysis

Manchester City know that a win over Aston Villa will give them the Premier League title, however a draw or defeat could well see Liverpool take over at the top of the table and claim the title in front of them. So it is fair to say that the Etihad will be nervous ahead of this game.

City have won the league at home before, most famously against Queens Park Rangers over a decade ago, and they start as the massive favourites to win the game and claim the title here and in truth, there’s no statistics that you look at that suggest Aston Villa are going to cause an upset here.

The home side are dominant in almost every major category that you would care to look at here so Liverpool fans may be clutching at straws to land the result they need here, but I do think Villa will score a goal and it could be their ex-Liverpool man Philippe Coutinho who gets it.

He has a proven record of scoring goals against Manchester City, mainly for Liverpool and he did net against Manchester United for Villa earlier in the season. He’s got great odds to score at any time too, so he is my bet here.

Prediction

Philippe Coutinho to score at anytime - £10 returns £70.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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