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Premier League Football Tips: 19th & 20th Jan
by David Lenton
I may only landed one winner last weekend, but the massive £55 return for Burnley beating Fulham and both teams scoring meant that I posted another profit round.
Lets hope the same goes for this weekends football tips and predictions.
This weekend sees another batch of Premier League games as we reach Match-day 23 out of 38. The big game to look forward to (and which I am tipping) is the game at the Emirates on Saturday evening where Arsenal and Chelsea lock horns.
There’s also a crucial relegation battle at St James’ Park where Newcastle face Cardiff City which I’ve got covered along with tips for two more fixtures.
Footie Tips: Saturday 19th Jan
January 19, 2019
St James' Park
January 19, 2019
St James' Park
Newcastle lie in 18th in the Premier League table on 18 points from 22 games. They have won just four games so far this season, drawing six and losing 12.
Cardiff are a point ahead of Newcastle on 19 points from 22 games but they have a poorer goal difference by seven. They lie in 17th place in the table.
The teams drew 0-0 in August when Newcastle had Isaac Hayden sent off on 66 minutes and the Kenedy missed a last-minute penalty which would have handed Newcastle the win.
Cardiff City have won just one of the last 12 games between the sides and that came in the FA Cup in 2014. Their last league win was back in 1981 in the old Division Two.
The last game between these two teams saw Kenedy have a shocker as he followed an awful display over 90 minutes by wasting a penalty kick in injury time, Neil Etheridge saving the on loan Chelsea’ stars weak penalty kick.
Newcastle are in a little run of poor form at the moment and the positive momentum the team had built up a few weeks ago has all but disappeared. Rafa Benitez now once again finds himself with his team in the relegation zone and struggling for form.
Defensively Newcastle are not too bad, but they have struggled for goals all season long but they face a Cardiff City side that have a worse defensive record and who have also struggled in front of goal and to be honest, this really is a must win game for the home side moreso than the visitors.
As such, I expect a tight, edgy game and I can see this being settled by a single goal which will probably go in Newcastle’s favour.
Bournemouth have dropped down to 12th in the table with 27 points from their 22 games. They have won just one of their last nine.
After a shaky start, West Ham have improved to move 9th in the Premier League table on 31 points from 22 games – an impressive run.
Callum Wilson is reportedly a target for Chelsea and West Ham in the transfer window, should Marko Arnautovic make his expected move to China in January.
The teams met earlier in the season with Bourhemouth earning a 2-1 victory over West Ham at the London Stadium. Arnautovic scoring for West Ham with Wilson and Cook replying.
It’s been a real struggle for Bournemouth of late with just one win in their last nine games, but that was at home against Brighton and the Victoria Stadium is never an easy place to go and pick up a vital win.
West Ham’s recent form has been much improved, but they have suffered some poor away defeats, notably at Watford and Burnley and as such, this game with Bournemouth must be a little wary for Hammers fans who are used to seeing their side play great in one game, only to lose the next.
Certainly the Hammers form at home has been better than away from it in general, but they may not have a better chance to pick up a three points on the road than against a Bournemouth side that could be without Callum Wilson if he fails to recover from a hamstring injury and who are lacking confidence at the moment.
I expect this game to be a close one and it may just be the one goal that decides it and if that is the case, I think the greater attacking quality in the West Ham side could be the deciding factor, hence I am backing an away win.
Arsenal currently lie in 5th place, level on 41 points with 6th placed Manchester United. They are 16 points adrift of leaders Liverpool and six behind Chelsea.
Chelsea have 47 points to lie in fourth place in the table, one point behind Tottenham in third and ten behind Liverpool at the top of the Premier League.
The teams met on the second day of the season at Stamford Bridge with Chelsea coming through with a narrow 3-2 victory thanks to Marcos Alonso’s late winner.
That win was Chelsea’s first victory in seven matches against Arsenal, their last win coming in February 2017, when they beat the Gunners 3-1 at Stamford Bridge.
The first game between these two teams earlier this season was a cracker with Chelsea roaring into the lead, followed by Arsenal storming back and then Marcos Alonso grabbed a late winner for the home side, a result which left Arsenal pointless after their opening two games of the season.
The Gunners then went on a long run of games without experiencing a defeat but a loss to Southampton a while back has precipitated a disappointing run of results which has seen them lose at both Liverpool and West Ham ahead of this game.
Arsenal still have great attacking quality and they will certainly cause Chelsea plenty of problems going forward, but I feel Chelsea are the better and more consistent team, even though the Blues have had their own problems at home over the last few weeks, with defeat to Leicester followed by a draw with Southampton and a narrow win over Newcastle last weekend.
I think this will be a tighter game than in the first encounter between the teams and I can’t see as many goals being scored. I do feel both teams will score but my money is on this one finishing in a draw with 1-1 being the most likely scoreline.
Fulham come into the game in 19th place in the table, three points ahead of Huddersfield, but five points adrift from safety. They have the worst defensive record in the division.
Tottenham lie third in the table behind Liverpool and Man City and a point ahead of Chelsea. They are seven points ahead of Arsenal and Man Utd in 5th & 6th places respectively.
Tottenham will be without Son who will be at the Asian Cup with South Korea while there are doubts whether Harry Kane will be fit after picking up an ankle injury against Man Utd.
The reverse fixture between the games at Wembley finished in a 3-1 win for Tottenham, Moura, Trippier and Kane scoring for Spurs with Mitrovic grabbing Fulham’s goal.
Spurs will come into this game with something of a crisis in their front line. With Son off to the Asian Cup to play for South Korea and Harry Kane seemingly a huge doubt due to an ankle injury, it could well fall on Lucas Moura and Fernando Llorente to lead the line against a Fulham side who have sharpened up a little of late.
Even so, Claudio Ranieri’s team have still been struggling to find the net and after defeat at Burnley last weekend, this has made their chances of surviving in this division very difficult and they must start picking up points against teams soon, otherwise their chances of surviving will fall still further.
A derby game always has the chance of causing an upset but in truth, I cannot see that here, even with Spurs attack severely depleted by two key players likely absent. Pochettino’s men will want to bounce back after that loss to Manchester United last week and I think they’ll do that here.
Backing Spurs to win doesn’t offer any real value to be frank, so I am going to go for a rare correct score prediction and back Spurs to land the win here by a comfortable 2-0 scoreline, which will pay out a healthy profit should it be correct.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter