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Premier League Football Tips Sunday 12th May

Premier League TipsWhat an amazing week it’s been.

Sorry I didn’t get my European Tips posted but circumstances beyond my control prevented me from post.

I’m back now though and ready to deal with the the final day of the Premier League season with the title still all to play for.

I’ve gone through the fixtures and tried to workout which games have the least chance of volatility and therefore are the ones I feel I can best predict.

Check our my tips and predictions for Sunday May 12th below…

Football Betting Tips: Sunday 12th May

May 12, 2019
Burnley
VS
Arsenal
Turf Moor
3:00 pm
Burnley Logo
Burnley
VS
Arsenal Logo
Arsenal
May 12, 2019
Turf Moor
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Burnley have not won in their last three, losing their last two, but before that won three games in a row to secure their Premier League status for another season.
  • Arsenal have picked up just four out of the last 18 available in the league losing four matches in that run conceding three goals on three separate occasions.
  • The teams met in December just before Christmas at the Emirates Stadium with Arsenal running out 3-1 winners.
  • Burnley have lost all of the last nine between the teams and drawn just one of the last 11 games. Their last win came in the League Cup back in December 2008.
Analysis:

Although Burnley’s recent form suggests they are in for a tough time this afternoon, they are playing an Arsenal team who will be tired from their midweek Europa League tie with Valencia and who have been struggling on the road in recent times, shipping a lot of goals in a very poor run of form which has cost them a top four spot in the Premier League.

Neither side therefore had a huge amount to play for in this game but I think of the two, Burnley will be the ones most keen to finish their season with some momentum and I think their strikers have the power and muscle to cause a rather lightweight Gunners defence some real problems.

I think Arsenal’s legs are going to be heavy in the second half of this one and while I can see this being level at the interval, I think Burnley’s freshness will prove key in what has been a long and hard season for both sides. As such, I can see them at least scoring one, if not twice in the second half and if they do, that should be enough for them to claim the win.

The Gunners may well trade a defeat here for victory in the Europa League final, if they manage to scrape through their semifinal with Valencia later this evening, but that will be little consolation in what has been an ultimately disappointing Premier League season for the Gunners.

Burnley to win - £10 returns £32.00
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May 12, 2019
Leicester
VS
Chelsea
King Power Stadium
3:00 pm
Leicester Logo
Leicester
VS
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
May 12, 2019
King Power Stadium
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Leicester’s decent run of form has seen them climb to ninth in the table. They have won six of their last ten games, drawing just once in that run.
  • Chelsea have clinched a top four spot in the Premier League despite a run that has seen them land just two wins in their last six matches.
  • When the teams met in December a Jamie Vardy goal at Stamford Bridge was enough to give Leicester the points.
  • The teams have met 113 times previously with Chelsea winning 56 times to Leicester’s 26 with 31 games drawn. Chelsea have lost two of the last 17 matches between the two.
Analysis:

Leicester City have had a very tough end to the season with matches against Arsenal, Manchester City and now Chelsea to finish off their campaign. The Foxes beat Arsenal at home comfortably and were narrow losers to City, but I think Brendan Rodgers will fancy his sides chances here against one of the clubs where he learnt his trade.

Mauricio Sarri’s first season has seen the Italian secure a top four spot in the Premier League, a Carabao Cup Final appearance and likely a Europa League Final appearance. Not bad for a manager who has been widely criticised by many Chelsea fans and who was seemingly on his way out of the club a few months back.

That’s said, having had a crucial Europa League semifinal to play in midweek, I think Chelsea’s players are going to be a lot more tired in this game than Leicester and if Chelsea have progressed, then they may well play this game with one eye on the final in Baku in a couple of weeks’ time.

That I think offers Leicester a real opportunity to complete a very rare double over Chelsea in the league and given their home form of late, and how they perform against top six sides, I feel it is one they may well take.

Leicester City to win - £10 returns £28.00
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May 12, 2019
Southampton
VS
Huddersfield Town
St Mary's
3:00 pm
Southampton Logo
Southampton
VS
Huddersfield Town Logo
Huddersfield Town
May 12, 2019
St Mary's
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Southampton have lost just one of their last five games at home, a 1-3 defeat to Liverpool. They have beaten Spurs and Wolves in that run.
  • Huddersfield have lost all of their last seven on the road in the Premier League, their last point coming in a 0-0 draw with Cardiff back in Jan.
  • When the teams met earlier in the season goals from Redmond, Ings and Obafemi handed Saints a 3-1 win over the Terriers for whom Billing netted a consolation.
  • The teams have played 27 times previously, Southampton winning 12 to Huddersfield’s 11 with just four draws. Southampton have lost just two of the last ten between the two.
Analysis:

It’s not surprising I know to have backed Southampton to win this game. Huddersfield have a dismal record in the Premier League, especially on the road and they have been shipping goals at an alarming rate all season long. Saints home form has also improved of late and so it is not a surprise that I am going for the home win here.

However, I think Southampton are a club who under Hassenhuttl are looking to develop and while they have been better going forward of late, I feel they are still weak at the back and the Austrian manager will be wanting a better defensive display from his team in this game.

With Huddersfield’s strikers generally misfiring all season long, it is hard to see how the Terriers in their final Premier League game, will manage to break through the Saints defence and if they can’t do that, then I can’t see them having any chance of even a draw in this one.

As such, I think a Southampton win without the visiting team scoring a goal, is the most likely outcome here.

Southampton to win to nil - £10 returns £24.50
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May 12, 2019
Tottenham
VS
Everton
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
3:00 pm
Tottenham Logo
Tottenham
VS
Everton Logo
Everton
May 12, 2019
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Before their 3-2 comeback win vs Ajax, Spurs had lost all of their last three in all comps, winning just one of their last seven in total.
  • Everton have lost just one of their last six fixtures, beating West Ham, Chelsea, Manchester United and Arsenal in that run of games.
  • Spurs handed Everton their worst result of the season when they met at Goodison Park, winning 6-2, with Kane and Son each scoring two and Alli and Eriksen a one each.
  • The teams have met 176 times, Spurs winning 67, Everton 55 and 54 matches have been draws. Everton have not beaten Spurs since a win at Goodison Park in December 2012.
Analysis:

Everton have an absolutely dismal record against Tottenham in recent times with just ione win in their last 13 games between the teams and that came back in December 2012. Since May 2009, the Toffees have won just three times against Tottenham, losing ten of those games with the other seven games finishing as draws.

You have to go back to November 2008 to find the last Everton win away to Tottenham at Spurs old White Hart Lane ground, so this is a fixture which the London club have dominated over the years and one that they have won all of the last four and seven of the last ten between the teams.

Spurs will of course now have one eye on the Champions League final on June 1st but that game is some way away and Mauricio Pochettino does not have to rest players with that in mind. Even so, after the emotional scenes in Ajax next week, he may need to rest a few players legs in this game which could hand Everton a chance.

However, history suggests that this is a game strongly in favour of the home side and though their recent form has been very poor, I am backing that Ajax win to have given Spurs a huge boost for them to finish the season on a high with a win in front of their home fans.

Tottenham to win - £10 returns £22.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter