Premier League Football Tips: Sunday 23rd May

Author: Last Updated: May 21, 2021

Premier League TipsGet In! What a fantastic midweek I had with three of my selections coming in, which meant I took home a total profit of £54.50, which added to a profit of £6.80 that I made on my two correct predictions last weekend!

That is more like it as we head into the last weekend of Premier League action.

Manchester City are the Premier League Champions, Manchester United will finish second and Fulham, West Brom and Sheffield United have been relegated.

However, the race for the remaining two Champions League spots is still very much on with three teams in with a shout, Chelsea, Liverpool and Leicester City, while there are even more teams in with a chance of Europa League football, including the three teams mentioned above, plus West Ham, Tottenham, Everton and Arsenal.

Let’s hope we can finish what has been a pretty good season for me on the tips with a bang, but don’t forget, I will be back with tips for the Champions and Europa League finals, as well as plenty of tips for the Euro 2020 tournament too.

Thanks for reading this season, I hope you’ll stick with me throughout the summer and next season too!

Football Tips: Sunday 23rd May

Aston Villa VS Chelsea
22/05/2021 4:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

A win for Chelsea confirms they finish 3rd in the Premier League.
Aston Villa are 11th in the table and cannot improve or worsen that position.
If Chelsea lose or draw, they could be overtaken by Leicester and Liverpool.
Chelsea have won 10 of the last 12 games between the two teams. Losing just one.

Analysis

After securing a win over Spurs in midweek, Aston Villa cannot improve on their mid-table 11th place position in the Premier League and as such, I can see Dean Smith perhaps thinking about giving some of his fringe and younger players some game time here in readiness for next season.

Liverpool and Leicester may not like it but Villa have earned that right after what has been a generally excellent campaign. Chelsea won’t be focusing too much on next week’s Champions League final as they know they still have a job to do here. Lose this game and the final against Man City and they could well be playing Europa League football next season.

As such, I think Thomas Tuchel will name a very strong team for this game and I can see him asking his team to go for it early, establish a good lead and then try to rest players from the hour mark or so, provided of course it all goes to plan.

Villa won’t make it that easy of course, but I do think the visitors will land the win, however I can see both teams finding the net to finish off the season.

Prediction

Chelsea to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £32.00
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Leicester VS Tottenham
23/05/2021 4:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Leicester must better Liverpool’s result to claim a Champions League spot.
If both teams win, Leicester must improve their goal difference by at least 6 to qualify.
Spurs need to win to be assured of a Europa League spot.
If Spurs lose or draw, Everton and Arsenal could overtake the Londoners.

Analysis

There are so many issues on this final game of the season at the King Power. After Liverpool’s win in midweek and Leicester’s loss at Chelsea, the Foxes are now trailing Liverpool by a goal difference of four, with both teams on 66 points.

If Liverpool and Leicester both draw, or lose, Liverpool will quality. If Liverpool lose and Leicester draw or win, Leicester qualify. If Liverpool win and Leicester lose or draw, Liverpool quality. However, if both teams win then it goes down to goal difference and that would mean Leicester would need to improve their goal difference by at least five more than Liverpool (and likely more) in order to qualify.

Essentially, this is a win or bust game for both teams. Ryan Mason knows that a Europa League spot is the minimum acceptable for Spurs this season, so the caretaker manager has that pressure on him, especially after being booed off the pitch in midweek.

However, if Harry Kane is leaving Spurs, he’d want to go out on a positive note and I can see Spurs frustrating Leicester here to claim a draw, which may ultimately not be enough for either team and will leave their fans checking results elsewhere.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £40.00
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Man City VS Everton
23/05/2021 4:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

City are Champions and can finish the season with 86 points, their third best haul under Pep.
Everton are 8th and need to better Spurs and match Arsenal’s results to qualify for Europe.
City lost five games this season, four of those have come at home.
Everton have earned almost double the number of points away from home as at home.

Analysis

Manchester City fans will likely view this game as one to get out of the way before they head to Portugal for the Champions League Final against Chelsea next weekend, but for Everton fans, if they can land a surprise win here, it could propel them into the Europa League next season.

The Toffees poor goal difference means that if they finish level on points with Spurs and/or Arsenal, they would lose out, but if they can win and Arsenal and Spurs slip up by drawing or losing, then Everton would clinch that Europa League spot.

City’s home form hasn’t been great of late and they have picked up more points away from home than at home this season (45 to 39). Similarly, Everton have picked up 37 points on the road and just 22 at home.

Despite that, I still feel even with key players rested for the Champions League final, City have so much quality in depth that they will land a win here, but I am expecting a close game with a fair few goals.

Prediction

Manchester City to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £30.00
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West Ham VS Southampton
23/05/2021 4:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

West Ham need just one point to be assured of a Europa League place.
A win for Southampton could move them as high as 12th in the table.
West Ham are unbeaten in the last six games against Southampton, winning five.
However, the teams drew 0-0 when they met in December this season.

Analysis

West Ham’s home form this season has been pretty good against teams ranked in the bottom half of the table and that will be a warning to Southampton, who have little to play for other than to improve their position in the table a little.

The Hammers need a point to be assured of a place in the Europa League next season, but they can lose this game and as long as Everton don’t win by a huge scoreline (resulting in a swing of +8 goals in the Toffees favour), then they will be in the Europa League next season anyway.

However, I don’t think David Moyes will leave anything to chance here and I think the Hammers, on the back of that excellent win in midweek over West Brom, will have more than enough quality to get the job done here.

I can see the Saints grabbing a goal but even so, I still expect West Ham to land a comfortable win.

Prediction

West Ham to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £32.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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