Premier League Tips – 11th & 12th December

Author: Published: December 9, 2021

Premier League TipsIt’s been a cracking few sets of tips for profits and while I am waiting to see how the results of my midweek Champions League and Europa League Matchday 6 tips went, I can report that last weekend we made a very tidy profit of £61 across the four games!

Add that to the steady profit I have made over the last few weeks, with just one blowout and the good news is that I am back to banking profit at the bookmaker’s expense, which is just the way I like it!

We’ve got a bit of an odd mix this week when it comes to Premier League games. On Friday we have Watford v Brentford which narrows down our possible selections to nine and then on Saturday we have a lot of games that look like very likely wins for one team over another.

Sunday’s games though, in contrast, are far more evenly matched, so it is going to be a task of finding the right bets across the right fixtures for both days in order to get some good quality value bets that will give us the best chance of profit.

There are some interesting games, Manchester City face Wolves, a team who beat them home and away a couple of years ago and they go into the game having lost to Red Bull Leipzig in midweek. Chelsea face Leeds in a game that fans who can remember the 1970s will reminisce about, while Liverpool welcome ex-captain Steven Gerrard to Anfield as manager of Aston Villa.

There is also a full set of midweek games once again from Tuesday through to Thursday so do remember to check back on Tuesday morning for the next set of tips.

Here’s this weekend’s selections.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 11th December

Chelsea VS Leeds United
11/12/2021 3:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Chelsea have won two of their last five and have dropped to third in the table.
Leeds United are 15th with 16 points, 17 behind Chelsea.
Leeds have won just 2 of the last 13 between the teams, Chelsea winning 7.
Chelsea have not lost at home to Leeds since December 1999 (0-2 defeat)

Analysis

Are Chelsea suffering their first stumble of the season? The Blues were held in midweek by Zenit and that means that they have won just two of their last six games in all competitions. Thomas Tuchel’s side have also started conceding goals, conceding three against West Ham and three against Zenit.

Their loss to West Ham last week saw them drop to third in the table behind Manchester City and Liverpool but it has been the goals being conceded moreso than the results that will worry Thomas Tuchel, even though I can’t see them having too many problems against Leeds here.

Marcelo Bielsa’s team have not enjoyed as good a season the second time around in the Premier League and I do feel Leeds have been found out by some teams. Chelsea are good enough to be one of those that know exactly how to get a result over this Leeds side.

I think the return of a number of key players will help Leeds in the next few weeks, but I can’t see them being good enough to get anything here. I feel they may grab a goal, they tend to in most games, but I still see Chelsea registering a comfortable win here.

Prediction

Correct Score – Chelsea 3-1 Leeds United - £10 returns £120.00
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Norwich City VS Man Utd
11/12/2021 5:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

Norwich dropped to the bottom of the table after losing 3-0 to Spurs last weekend.
United’s 1-0 win over Crystal Palace moved them into 6th position in the table.
No team has scored fewer or conceded more goals than Norwich in the EPL.
United have won 20 of the last 24 games between the two teams, losing just 3 of those.
In the last nine games between the two Norwich have scored 4 goals, United 24.

Analysis

There is no doubt that we have seen a significant improvement from Norwich over the last few weeks, although they were well beaten last weekend by Tottenham. Daniel Farke got a win in his last game and Dean Smith added another, but after Newcastle’s win last week, they remain at the foot of the EPL table.

Manchester United now have Ralf Rangnick in charge and he watched them beat Crystal Palace 1-0 last week but then saw an under-strength United hang on to land a 1-1 draw with Young Boys in Europe in midweek in what was not a great performance.

That does make me feel Norwich have a chance here, as incredible as it may sound and especially given how poor their record is against United over the years. But I can’t quite see the home side having enough firepower to get them something in the game, even with Teemu Pukki in form.

So I am expecting a dogged performance from Manchester United and for them to grab a couple of goals and that should be enough for them to claim the win even if Norwich City claim a goal in consolation.

Prediction

Manchester United to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £32.00
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Football Betting Tips: Sunday 12th December

Leicester VS Newcastle United
12/12/2021 2:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Leicester have won just one of their last five games in the EPL.
Newcastle have the worst away record in the EPL, taking just three points on the road.
Newcastle won this fixture 4-2 last season to break a run of four Leicester wins.
For both teams 11 of their 15 matches played have seen both teams score a goal.

Analysis

I have gone for this game because of value on the draw. I actually feel this is one of the most difficult games to predict of all the matches this weekend, but I thought that getting all my money back on one bet on this game was too good to turn down.

First off, these are two teams that score goals but also concede them. In 11 of each teams 15 EPL games this season, both teams have scored, which makes that a key part of the bet for me. So it is a case of pairing it with a result.

Newcastle have landed that crucial first win and that boost of confidence will do them a huge amount of good. They face a Leicester side somewhat out of sorts this season and unable to string a consistent run of results together.

Combine those two factors and a match which should really be a comfortable home win for Leicester City turns into something a bit more difficult to predict and that is why I think a draw may well be an acceptable result for both teams here and 1-1 or even 2-2 looks likely to me.

Prediction

Draw and both teams to score - £10 returns £40.00
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Brighton VS Tottenham
12/12/2021 2:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Brighton have drawn four and lost one of their last five Premier League games
Spurs have won three of their last four under Antonio Conte.
Tottenham are 5th in the EPL table, while Brighton lie 9th 5 points behind them.
Brighton have won both the last two home games against Spurs (3-0 and 1-0)

Analysis

It’s fair to say that there has been more of a Conte evolution than revolution at Tottenham since the Italian took over from Nuno Santos. Spurs lie fifth in the table and they have been far from convincing this season and goalscoring has become a real problem for them.

They did manage three last weekend against Norwich City and I think that and the fact that they have won three of their last four does show that Conte is having an affect and they will need it against a Brighton side who are very tough to beat.

The Seagulls have drawn four of their last five but do not score many goals and I think that is their achilles heel this season. With a good goal scorer, I’d put them higher in the table and I think in games like this against top six sides, that lack of a top predator is all the more evident.

I feel Brighton will probably have more of this game, fail to take their chances and Spurs will go down the other end and take one or maybe two of the chances that they create in order to land the win.

Prediction

Tottenham to win - £10 returns £40.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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