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Premier League Tips: 12th-14th January 2021

Author: Published: January 11, 2021

Premier League TipsI made a small loss of just £1 last weekend, but I am a bit annoyed about it to be honest as I nailed the Arsenal v Newcastle game as a 2-0 home win bang on the money too.

However, it took the Gunners until extra time to grab the goals! That would have turned that small loss into a nice little profit.

I don’t think I have seen a season where teams form has been so up and down often in a short space of time. Liverpool can’t beat a bottom six team to save their lives, Man Utd looked like world beaters until they faced Man City last week, Tottenham were genuine title contenders a few weeks back and are now fourth. Arsenal looked like relegation fodder and have now won four on the bounce.

It is just crazy this season, but perhaps understandable given the current pandemic.

Regardless last week was basically a wash so I’m back and hoping to get one over the bookies this mid-week. Here are my predictions…

Premier League Tips: Tuesday 12th January

Burnley VS Man Utd
12/01/2021 8:15 pm GMT

Key Stats

Burnley have won 3 of their last 5 games. Only Man Utd and Everton can better that.
United have won four of their last five and are the in-form team in the EPL.
United are 2nd in the table but only on goal difference and with a game in hand on Liverpool.
Burnley lie 16th on 16 points, but with two games in hand on most teams.

Analysis

This game is the one that should have been played on the opening weekend of the season, and it has been rearranged for tonight. Both sides come into this game in very solid form, with Manchester United the form team in the Premier League while Burnley’s run of three wins and a draw in their last five has eased them away from the relegation zone.

In the last meeting between the two teams, Burnley were 2-0 winners at Old Trafford back in January 2020, but United won this meeting last season 2-0 at Turf Moor and since 1969, Burnley have only ever beaten Manchester United twice (the other occasion being a 1-0 win in August 2009).

In that same period, United have won 16 games with a surprising number of draws, 11, over that period too. If United were in relatively poor form, I’d give Burnley a chance of perhaps snatching a point here, but United’s away record in the Premier League this season is exceptional, picking up 19 of 21 points available on the road so far.

As such, I am backing Manchester United to claim another big win on the road but I don’t think it will be a big scoreline as it may just be the single goal that claims the victory for United here.

Prediction

Manchester United to win to nil - £10 returns £24.50
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Wolverhampton Wanderers VS Everton
12/01/2021 8:15 pm GMT

Key Stats

Wolves are without a win in their last four in the EPL (drawing 2, losing 2).
Everton lost their last game but before that had won all of their last four games.
Wolves have not scored in both halves of an EPL game this season.
The last six games between the teams have seen two wins each, plus two draws.

Analysis

I think Nuno Santos has found a new style for his Wolves team in the absence of Raul Jimenez in attack. There’s no doubt they struggled without their lynchpin centre-forward in a few games but now with a new pacy counter-attacking style, Wolves look very dangerous again. A good win over Crystal Palace in the cup thanks to an Adama Traore screamer sets them up nicely for this game.

Everton come into this game in decent form but knowing that last week’s 1-0 home defeat to West Ham was a big blow. Last time Everton lost a game in the league, they went on a losing streak and manager Carlo Ancelotti will be keen for his team to claim something from this game to stop that happening again.

Going away to Wolves though is a tough ask (the Toffees lost 3-0 here last season) but I think this Wolves team does struggle to score goals and I can see Everton perhaps taking a first half lead here, only to be pegged back in the second as Wolves claim a late point.

Prediction

Draw & both teams to score - £10 returns £47.50
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Football Predictions: Wednesday 13th January

Man City VS Brighton
13/01/2021 6:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

In their last seven games City have picked up 17 points, the joint-best haul in the EPL.
Over that same period, Brighton have picked up just five, winning 0 games.
One positive for Brighton is that both their wins this season have come on the road.
Manchester City have won all of the last 7 between the teams (scoring 13 in the last 3 games).

Analysis

Since August 2017, these teams have met seven times and Manchester City have won them all. In fact, Brighton have scored just two goals over that period, one at home and one on the road. Suffice to say then that the omens are not good for a third Seagulls victory in the EPL on the road this season.

Especially when you consider a week where Manchester City have beaten Manchester United to reach the Carabao Cup Final, beaten Chelsea 3-1 at Stamford Bridge in a sizzling display and then despatched Birmingham 3-0 with a weakened team to move into the FA Cup Fourth Round.

So for me, this isn’t a question of whether Manchester City will win, it is simply by how much and whether Brighton will score. History suggests not, but for me Brighton have been better on the road this season and Man City’s defence are due to concede a goal or two and they do tend to come in the games where you don’t expect it.

In addition, the odds on a Man City to win to nil were so poor, they weren’t worth a bet, so I am hedging my bets here and hoping for a Brighton consolation in a convincing win for City.

Prediction

Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £29.00
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Football Betting Tips: Thursday 14th January

Arsenal VS Crystal Palace
14/01/2021 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

After a torrid run of form, Arsenal have won their last four in all competitions.
Their home record though is poor with three wins, four defeats and a draw this season.
Crystal Palace’s away record is the exact same as Arsenal’s home record.
Three of the last four between the teams have finished in score draws.

Analysis

The first thing to note with this game is that both teams to score looks a solid bet as the last six games between the two has seen both teams find the net. Draws have been most prevalent in recent years when these two teams have met but I am confident the Gunners will land the win here.

The reason for that is their turnaround in form since the win over Chelsea. Since then they have won their next three games and moved up the table to 11th. Still pretty poor for Arsenal fans but much better than where they were. The team seems to have direction and belief once again.

Palace’s form this season, as it is most seasons, is up and down and while they have had some notable wins on the road this season, particularly at Old Trafford against Man Utd, I think they are going to struggle here to claim anything.

As such, I am backing Arsenal to claim a 2-1 victory here and continue their good run of recent form.

Prediction

Arsenal to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £34.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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