Premier League Tips – 17th & 18th September

Author: Published: September 15, 2022

Premier League TipsAfter the understandable postponement of last week’s Premier League games, teams have had an unexpected extra bit of time to recover from their last exertions and with several teams having played twice in Europe ahead of this week’s Premier League games, it is going to be interesting to see whether the unexpected break has helped, or hindered, some of the teams.

This week we have two games on Friday night, Aston Villa v Southampton and then Nottingham Forest take on Fulham with both games kicking off at 8pm. This means that with four games on Sunday, and the fact that the Brighton v Crystal Palace game has been postponed due to expected striker action, we have just three games on Saturday.

In one of the most interesting games of the week, Wolves take on Manchester City in the Saturday lunchtime game, but it is the games on Sunday that will likely catch the most attention this week.

Brentford face Arsenal, with the Bees having beaten the Gunners in their first home game in the Premier League at the start of last season. Manchester United face their rivals Leeds United at Old Trafford, while Everton host West Ham in a game both teams will be desperate to win.

However, the big game at the weekend sees Chelsea host Liverpool in a match which is absolutely vital to both teams Premier League hopes, given that they have endured poorer than expected starts to the season. With Chelsea having a new manager and Liverpool not having won an away game this season, a defeat here for either side could effectively end their title hopes before we reach October.

So with that in mind, let’s take a look at the tips we have put together for this week.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 17th September

Wolverhampton Wanderers VS Man City
17/09/2022 12:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

Wolves have won just once in the EPL this season and lie 14th on 6 points.
City lie 2nd in the table a point behind Arsenal and are undefeated this season.
This game pits the highest scorers in the EPL (City with 20) against the lowest (Wolves 3).
However Wolves have the best defensive record in terms of goals conceded (4 goals).

Analysis

Wolves are one of the toughest teams to score against in the Premier League, shipping just four goals in six games. However, the Black and Gold have scored just three goals in those games, meaning that they have only landed one victory and three draws, although they are unbeaten in their last three Premier League games.

In contrast Manchester City have drawn two of their last four Premier League games, but they have scored 20 goals in those six games, and Erling Haaland has scored half of those and Premier League teams are struggling to find ways to stop the marauding Man City striker.

Wolves may take comfort from how Aston Villa did so well against City in their last game a couple of weeks back, but Villa do have some decent attacking talent, Wolves I feel don’t have quite so much and that means the only way I see them winning this is by scoring a goal and keeping Man City out.

I can see Wolves perhaps taking an early lead here, but as City have shown so often, they can come back and I think a really intriguing and huge value bet is the Wolves/Man City HT/FT bet which comes with huge odds and I think this is a game where it has a real prospect of paying off.

Prediction

HT/FT – Wolves / Manchester City - £10 returns £230.00
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Football Betting Tips: Sunday 18th September

Brentford VS Arsenal
18/09/2022 2:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Brentford are 8th in the EPL table with 9 points from their six games.
Arsenal remain top of the table by a point ahead of Man City and Spurs.
Brentford will be without the injured Norgaard and Pinnock for this game.
In 15 games between the two, Brentford have 6 wins, Arsenal 5 with 4 draws.

Analysis

For me, these two teams have played some of the best and most entertaining football in the Premier League this season and you have to respect how well Brentford have played at home this season, with Ivan Toney in particular starting to attract plenty of attention for his goalscoring feats.

That said, I feel the Bees team is not just based on talented individuals, this team has developed such a strong winning mentality, relying heavily on Danish players in the main and Thomas Frank, who has been linked strongly with a move to a number of Premier League clubs in the last couple of weeks, has assembled them into a fine team.

However, you can say the same with Arsenal and manager Mikel Arteta who has massively improved how the Gunners have not only played, but also in terms of results as they sit at the top of the table with Gabriel Jesus, the signing from Man City, in particularly outstanding form for the club.

I backed Jesus to score first last week in the postponed game, so I think he is going to be itching find the back of the net this week and with Arsenal having a point to prove, I think they will land a narrow win here in a great game, but I think Jesus to score first is a good value bet.

Prediction

Gabriel Jesus to score first - £10 returns £45.00
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Man Utd VS Leeds United
18/09/2022 2:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Man Utd lie fifth in the EPL table, winning their last four games
Leeds have picked up 1 point in the last 9 available and lie 9th in the table.
Man United have lost just one of the last 10 between the two, winning seven, drawing 2.
The Red Devils are unbeaten in the last 5 against Leeds, scoring 18, conceding just 5.

Analysis

Ignoring their Europa League form, United are on a winning run of four games in the Premier League while Leeds have lost two of their last three games, but strangely there are not too many points between the two in the table and there’s no doubt that after a couple of big wins last season for United, the gap between the teams has shrunk.

However, Leeds record at Old Trafford isn’t great although their last win over United came away from home in the FA Cup back in 2010, however they have not won a league game at Old Trafford since 1981 and in truth it is hard to see them doing so here.

I do like what Jesse Marsch is doing with Leeds, but Manchester United have so many talented players and more importantly they have hit some improved form in recent times and they will certainly want, and expect, to continue that here even against one of their most fierce rivals from over the years.

Games between these two teams do tend to see them both score a goal as the two games last season saw 12 goals scored in total (9 for United 3 for Leeds) but despite Leeds improvements I think the home side will still run out relatively comfortable winners here.

Prediction

Man Utd to win and both teams to score – No - £10 returns £27.00
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Chelsea VS Liverpool
18/09/2022 4:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

Chelsea are 6th in the EPL on 10 points, Liverpool are 7th on 9 points.
Both games between the two in the EPL last season finished as draws (1-1 and 2-2).
Chelsea also lost both domestic cup finals, on penalties, to Liverpool last season.
Liverpool could see Thiago and Diogo Jota return to first team action after injury.

Analysis

Both of these teams have not enjoyed the starts to the campaign that they would have liked. Chelsea have lost twice in the EPL and also in the Champions League, which cost Thomas Tuchel his job. Graham Potter is now the man in charge and after his midweek European bow, this will be his first game in the dugout for Chelsea in the Premier League.

I can’t begrudge Potter this opportunity, he has been exceptional at Ostersund and then Brighton and he has fully earned this. I also feel Chelsea will benefit from having a bit of a bump in confidence with a new manager coming in, especially at home and against one of the teams that they will feel the owe one too from last season.

Liverpool’s struggles on the road this season are well documented, in four away games they have drawn two and lost two and it has been the manner of those two defeats, plus the performance in the draws that will have given the Anfield faithful cause for concern.

The Reds midfield has been their big downfall and that will be improved with Thiago coming back if he is fit, but even so, I still feel that all the momentum in this one is in Chelsea’s favour and as such I’d back them to land the win here.

Prediction

Chelsea to win - £10 returns £26.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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