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Premier League Tips: 19th & 20th December

Author: Published: December 19, 2020

Premier League TipsI’m not going to sugar-coat things, the last two sets of tips have been rubbish.

In my defence, it has been late goals that have killed me… late goals in three different fixtures to be precise.

So it is fair to say that after a few weeks where I felt the luck was perhaps rolling with me for a while and we made some very nice profits, the last couple of sets of tips have seen the coin flip the other side.

I am hoping though to go into the Christmas period with another profit behind me with this set of tips for the weekend.

I have gone through this weekend’s games to come up with the following four tips which I feel, as best as I can tell, have a great chance of success.

Premier League Tips: Saturday 19th December

Southampton VS Man City
19/12/2020 3:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Southampton are 3rd in the table, with 24 points from their 13 games.
Manchester City are 9th with 20 points from their 12 games so far.
Of the top nine teams, City have scored the fewest goals this season (18).
Saints won this game 1-0 last season, ending a run of 7 straight defeats to City.

Analysis

This is a very tough game to call. City have won just 5 of their 12 games this season, a very low percentage for them and Southampton have won 7 of their 13 games, losing just three and sit well above City in third place in the league table.

However, the Saints have shown that the better teams can give them real problems at home as Tottenham and Manchester United have proven in recent times and I think City know that a win here is an absolute must to stay in touch with the teams at the top of the table.

It won’t be easy for City to achieve that. They are struggling to find the net in games and while defensively look more solid, they are not their fluent, fast, attacking selves just yet. Saints also generally score at home, which makes things tough for City when goals are hard to come by.

That said, I still feel City just edge this one, possibly by a 2-1 scoreline.

Prediction

Man City to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £28.00
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Newcastle United VS Fulham
19/12/2020 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Newcastle are 14th in the table with 17 points after 12 games played.
Fulham are 18th in the table with 9 points from their 13 games so far.
Fulham have lost just one of their last four, drawing the last two of those games.
Six of the last seven matches between the teams has seen one or fewer teams score.

Analysis

I was a bit disappointed with Newcastle in midweek, at 2-2 away to Leeds I fancied them to go on and claim the win I’d tipped, but they fell apart and fell to a heavy defeat and manager Steve Bruce will want a reaction from his players to that defeat.

He should get it against a Fulham side who earned a fine point against Liverpool at home but then looked very tired in their midweek game at home to Brighton where they hung on somewhat for a 0-0 draw. This long trip North is a big ask for Scott Parker’s squad and I think that could catch up with them.

Fulham don’t score that many, but they have not been conceding that many of late too and you can say the same for Newcastle, Leeds United game apart. As such, I think this has a feel of a game where one goal, or possibly two, might win it.

For me, the home side has the advantage here in terms of quality of squad and with something to prove to their fans and manager. This is a tough one for Fulham and I think Newcastle win this either 1-0 or 2-0.

Prediction

Newcastle United to win to nil - £10 returns £44.00
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Football Betting Tips: Sunday 20th December

Tottenham VS Leicester
20/12/2020 2:15 pm GMT

Key Stats

Tottenham are 2nd in the Premier League table 3 points behind Liverpool.
Leicester are 4th in the EPL, one point behind Spurs in second.
Spurs have won six of the last nine between the teams, Leicester two with 1 draw.
Spurs have won all the last three at home between the two (5-4, 3-1 and 3-0).

Analysis

For me this is a match between two teams, one where we know what we will get from them (Tottenham) and the other who could be brilliant, mediocre or anything in between (Leicester). Spurs dropped to second on the back of their 2-1 defeat at Anfield in midweek but Leicester failed to capitalise as they were beaten 2-0 at home by a resurgent Everton.

The Foxes could have gone second in the table with a win but once again fluffed their lines as they have had a habit of doing at times this season. They seem to be able to shine against the top sides in the main, but then struggle against teams you would expect them to win against.

That kind of does point to a Leicester win here, but I can’t in good faith back that. Spurs record against the Foxes of late is pretty good, especially at home, and I think they are a stronger side now than they were in any of those three wins over the past three seasons.

I can see Leicester scoring a goal here, Vardy and Maddison are looking sharp, but I think it will be a consolation as I am expecting Spurs to run out 2-1 winners in the end.

Prediction

Tottenham to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £38.00
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Man Utd VS Leeds United
20/12/2020 4:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

United are 6th in the EPL with 23 points, but have a game in hand.
Leeds are 13th in the table after 13 games with 17 points.
The teams have not met in the EPL since Feb 2004 (1-1 draw at Old Trafford).
Leeds have won 2 of the last 16 games between the teams (United winning 10).

Analysis

Despite being under criticism for their Champions League exit, Manchester United are the form team in the Premier League at the moment and although they lie 6th, if they win their game in hand they would move up to 2nd in the table, two points behind Liverpool.

If they are going to sustain that then they are going to have to improve their home form, which has been their Achilles Heel this season but there are signs that they are starting to do that in recent weeks and Solskjaer will be keen to continue that improvement in the Premier League.

A game with Leeds is always fiercely contested and Marcelo Bielsa’s team come into this game having earned a big 5-2 win over Newcastle in midweek. They are so dangerous on the break, especially on the road, but I feel United are equally strong on the counter and that this could lead to a very open game, much like the games Leeds had against Man City and Liverpool earlier on in the season.

When that happens it is usually the team that takes the chances it creates that comes out on top and in terms of quality and with home advantage, I am backing Man Utd for the win here, but I would not be surprised if Leeds score a goal or two in reply.

Prediction

Man Utd to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £28.80
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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