Premier League Tips – Saturday 1st & Sunday 2nd May

Author: Published: April 30, 2021

Premier League TipsWell last weekend, we made a £3 loss on our tips, but my midweek Champions League and Europa League tips scored us a £46 profit – with both my Europa League predictions coming in bang on the money!

So that is a £43 profit across both sets of tips last week, and I will happily take that at any time.

This weekend, we move back onto focusing on the Premier League and there are a number of intriguing games coming up.

We have a crucial game on Sunday at Old Trafford where Manchester United face rivals Liverpool and we’ve also have big games at St James’ Park, where Newcastle take on Arsenal and Stamford Bridge where local rivals Chelsea and Fulham will clash with both sides in need of the three points.

Let’s hope we can bang in another profit from the bookmakers with this set of tips for the May Day bank holiday weekend fixtures.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 1st May

Chelsea VS Fulham
01/05/2021 5:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

Chelsea lie 4th in the EPL with 58 points from 33 games, three ahead of West Ham in 5th.
Fulham are 18th in the table, eight points from safety with just five games left to play.
Since 1980 Fulham have won one game in 39 against Chelsea, a 1-0 win in March 2006.
Chelsea have won 25 of those games with 13 draws including all the last six.

Analysis

Fulham fans reading this should probably look away now as their record against Chelsea from 1980 onwards is painful viewing. Just one win in almost 40 games between the teams makes for dismal reading and doesn’t offer Scott Parker’s team much hope of an upset here to help in their battle against the drop.

Chelsea also come into this game needing to win to cement their fourth placed spot in the Premier League and with the boost of a good draw in Madrid in midweek, holding Real 1-1 away form home has set up Chelsea nicely for their Champions League semifinal second leg in the week.

I can’t see Thomas Tuchel letting his team lose their focus on the Premier League though for this game and given both teams situation and their historic record, any type of bet on a Chelsea win is really not very appealing odds, hence I am going to go back to my trusty Correct Score bet here.

I do think Tuchel will rest some players for this game but even so, I am expecting Chelsea to win by a 2-0 scoreline as they have on both the last two occasions they have met Fulham at Stamford Bridge.

Prediction

Chelsea to win 2-0 - £10 returns £70.00
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Everton VS Aston Villa
01/05/2021 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Everton are 8th in the EPL table with 52 points, but have only played 32 games.
Aston Villa have also played 32 games and lie 11th in the table with 45 points.
The last five games between the teams have seen two wins apiece with one draw.
Eight of the last sixteen games between these two teams have finished as a draw.

Analysis

Historically, games between these two teams have been very tight with Everton having one more win than Aston Villa in 122 games between the teams. (82 wins to 81 with 59 draws). Three of the last five games have been won by the home team, with just one away win in that run (a 3-1 win by Everton at Villa Park in Marc 2016).

I also feel that despite their poor home record this season, Everton have more to play for here than Villa. The Toffees have a game in hand on the teams above them and could move 6th in the table if they win that game and that would put them in with a real chance of a top four finish.

Villa in contrast don’t have quite so much to play for, safely in mid table, they are under no threat of relegation but they also cannot really push into the frame for European football next season, although manager Dean Smith will of course want his team to finish as high as possible in the table.

I do think Villa lack a lot though when Grealish is not fully fit and as such, I think Everton are likely just to shade the win here.

Prediction

Everton to win - £10 returns £20.30
New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. T&C's apply.

Football Tips: Sunday 2nd May

Newcastle United VS Arsenal
02/05/2021 2:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Newcastle lie 16th in the Premier League table with 36 points, 9 clear of relegation.
Arsenal are 10th in the table with 46 points from 33 games.
The Gunners have won 16 of the last 17 games between the teams, losing just the one.
The last draw between the teams was 18 games ago, a 0-0 draw in August 2011.

Analysis

Arsenal have a stunning record against Newcastle in recent times winning 17 of the last 18 games between the teams and 22 of the last 26. However three of those four games that they didn’t win all came at St James’ Park where historically, Newcastle have enjoyed good results, albeit some time ago, against the Londoners.

I also think you can read too much into historic form. At the moment, it is Newcastle who are in the better form of the two teams as they are unbeaten in their last four, including games with Tottenham and Liverpool in that run. Arsenal, in contrast, have lost their last two games in all competitions and have won just one of their last five.

That said, I think Arsenal are a side that are difficult to beat away from home at times. The Gunners best performances have come on the road, especially in Europe, and they won’t be an easy opponent for the home side.

Although they are rare results between these teams, I think the facts seem to point to the draw here, so that is what I am going to back.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £37.00
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Man Utd VS Liverpool
02/05/2021 4:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

United are 2nd in the table with 67 points from 33 games.
Liverpool lie 6th in the table with 54 points also from 33 games.
Seven of the last 11 games between the teams have finished as a draw, four of those 0-0.
They have played twice this season a 0-0 draw at Anfield and a 3-2 win for United in the Cup.

Analysis

There is no doubt that Liverpool have by far the more pressing need of both these teams to win the game. United would like to keep City waiting for their Premier League title celebrations, but United look safe in second spot in the table and in truth, their focus will likely be on the Europa League once they get this game out of the way.

United did beat Liverpool at home back in January in the FA Cup, by a 3-2 scoreline, a week after the teams played out a 0-0 draw at Anfield. Liverpool’s defensive situation has improved a little since then with the signing of Kabak in particular helping out, while Nat Phillips development has also helped too.

However, Liverpool still look very rocky at times and they are not taking their chances in front of goal, as well as shipping them at the back. That is a worry against a team like United who rattled six past AS Roma in the Europa League semifinal on Thursday night to set them up perfectly for this game.

It will be close as it always is between these two great rivals and despite the fact Liverpool are inexplicably the favourites here, I am backing United to land a big home win.

Prediction

Manchester United to win - £10 returns £28.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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