Premier League Tips – 21st to 22nd January

Author: Published: January 21, 2023

Premier League TipsWell last week saw me guarantee myself a profit after the first of my four games came in, but despite going very close in the other selections, I couldn’t add to that which meant that following the final game of the weekend, I made a not-so-huge £3 profit!

Still, it’s better than nothing and I did feel somewhat unlucky that my other tips didn’t come in as they were not far off the mark at all.

Any profit is always better than any loss though, so I’ll head into this week’s selection of games hoping that I can follow last week’s example but this time land an extra one or two results to make a small profit into a much larger one.

This weekend sees some cracking games in the Premier League too. We have Liverpool taking on Chelsea in the opening game of the weekend on Saturday lunchtime and then on Sunday afternoon we have the small matter of Arsenal hosting Manchester United.

We’ve also got some massive games at the other end of the table too as West Ham United host Everton in a battle between two sides that currently sit in the relegation zone, and I’ll be honest and say that I didn’t expect to write that at the start of this season.

Manchester City are also in action at home to Wolves, while Newcastle United face a trip to Crystal Palace, who held Manchester United 1-1 in the week at Selhurst Park.

There is one game not taking place over the weekend and that is the Monday night London derby clash between Fulham and Tottenham at Craven Cottage, and as a result we won’t be including that game in our weekend tips.

Here’s the selections for this weekend’s EPL action.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 21st January

Liverpool VS Chelsea
21/01/2023 12:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

EPL Positions – LIV – 9th, 28pts (+9), CHE – 10th, 28pts (+1)
Form (last 5 all comps) – LIV – W3, D0, L2; CHE – W2, D1, L2
History – Liverpool Wins – 84, Chelsea Wins – 65, Draws - 43
Trend – Last 4 games all been draws, Chelsea won just 2 of last 12 between the two.

Analysis

You would not have got very long odds on this game being one between the 9th and 10th placed teams in the Premier League at the midway point of the season, but that is precisely what has happened as both Liverpool and Chelsea have hit the skids over the last few months to leave themselves miles off the pace being set at the top of the table.

Chelsea have already changed manager with Graham Potter coming in but he has seen his Chelsea side beset by injuries and they have lost seven of their last ten games in all competitions, a shocking turn of form and one that has already got the ex-Brighton manager under real pressure from Chelsea fans.

Jurgen Klopp may not be under quite so much pressure at Liverpool, but his team’s performances in recent league games have been woeful. Brentford was bad but Brighton was a new low as the Reds were outperformed in every facet of the field. They need a big performance and a good result here in order to get some confidence back.

The problem is I can’t see that happening with the defensive issues Liverpool have. The last four games between these two, excluding penalty wins, have all finished as draws and I think given the situation that both teams find themselves in, that is a solid bet for this game too.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £37.50
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West Ham VS Everton
22/01/2023 3:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

EPL Positions – WHU – 18th, 15pts (-10), EVE – 19th – 15pts (-11)
Form (last 5 all comps) – WHU – W0, D1, L4; EVE – W0, D1, L4
History – West Ham Wins – 43, Everton Wins – 74, Draws - 31
Trend – Four of last five have finished 1-0. One draw in last 12 between the two.

Analysis

It seems strange to see both these two giants of the Premier League struggling down the bottom of the table and there is no doubt that both David Moyes and Frank Lampard, who have histories with their opponents today, are under enormous pressure to start picking up results.

Both teams have hit poor form at the wrong time and there is clear anger within their supporters at the predicament that they find themselves in. Many fans have taken to Twitter to call this game the “Sackico”, with the manager that loses the game likely to find themselves facing the sack should that be the case.

I can’t really find any rhyme or reason for their form. Both teams should certainly be doing better than they are, but of course confidence is low and poor results adds more pressure and detracts more from confidence and in the end, you find yourself in a massive spiral downwards and that is probably where both teams find themselves at the moment.

In these situations, I think the support of a home crowd can be useful and I think that will likely be the difference here. I was going to go for a 0-0 draw, but I think the situation is so dire that someone will take a risk and win it and I think that is more likely to be West Ham with the attackers they have.

Prediction

Jarrod Bowen (West Ham) to Score First - £10 returns £80
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Football Betting Tips: Sunday 22nd January

Leeds United VS Brentford
22/01/2023 2:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

EPL Positions – LEE – 15th, 17pts (-7), BRE – 8th, 29pts (+4)
Form (last 5 all comps) – LEE W0, D2, L3; BRE – W4, D1, L0
History – Leeds Wins – 15, Brentford Wins – 13, Draws - 15
Trend – All of last four have seen both teams score. All of last 3, over 2.5 goals.

Analysis

Leeds bounced back to winning ways in the FA Cup in midweek with a 5-2 win over Cardiff City in which their Italian star Wilfred Gnonto scored two goals. That should give the home side a boost of confidence that they need heading into Sunday’s game against a Brentford side that have been in absolutely superb form of late.

Thomas Frank sets his team up so well for games that you always feel Brentford have a chance, although I do feel that is more the case at home than on the road. Elland Road is a tough place to go and win and I think the Bees won’t be relishing this game, despite winning the last match between the two 5-2 last season.

I like what Jesse Marsch is doing at Leeds but he badly needs some positive results to get his team moving in the right direction away from the drop zone. They have talented players Leeds, but at the moment, they are not quite firing as they have in previous seasons and some of them are flitting in and out of games.

On a positive note, Patrick Bamford’s double in midweek will give him huge confidence here and I think that positive result against Cardiff will give the home side a boost and will mean that they end up with a share of the spoils here.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £35.20
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Arsenal VS Man Utd
22/01/2023 4:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

EPL Positions – ARS – 1st, 47pts (+28), MNU – 3rd, 39pts (+8)
Form (last 5 all comps) – ARS – W4, D1, L0; MNU – W4, D1, L0
History – Arsenal Wins – 86, Man Utd Wins – 101, Draws - 50
Trend - Arsenal have won 4 of the last 8. Last 3 games have seen both teams score.

Analysis

Manchester United are the only team to have beaten Arsenal this season in the Premier League and that 3-1 win at Old Trafford perhaps showed the potential of the team under Erik Ten Hag. Similarly, though, even in defeat Arsenal played very well that day and that has certainly translated into great form as the Gunners sit atop the Premier League table comfortably.

However, they did come unstuck a little in their last big home game against a top four side when drawing 0-0 with Newcastle United and while they have returned to winning ways since, you do feel that Manchester United may offer a bit more in the attacking third to cause the Gunners defence, the best in the Premier League this season, some problems.

That said, I can say exactly the same for Arsenal’s attack as even with Gabriel Jesus out injured, Eddie Nketiah’s form along with that Odegaard, Saka and Martinelli in particular, means that the Gunners always look likely to find the net against almost any team.

Prediction

Draw And Both Teams to Score - £10 returns £48.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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