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Premier League Tips: 28th-30th December 2020

Author: Last Updated: December 23, 2020

Premier League Tips?) I am hoping that we can finish this year with a bang and get one up on the bookies with this set of four tips from four games across the 28th, 29th and 30th December.

Big games abound over this period including Everton taking on Manchester City and Chelsea facing Aston Villa on the 28th.

There’s big games at the foot of the table a day later with Brighton taking on Arsenal and Sheffield United away to Burnley. Man Utd v Wolves finishes off what is an exciting day of games on the 29th.

That then leaves us with just two games on the 30th which begins with Spurs taking on Fulham and the last game of the Premier League year sees Liverpool travelling north to take on Newcastle United.

As per usual, I have picked four fixtures from the ten games over the three days for my tips below and all that remains is for me to wish you a very Happy New Year in 2021, remember that our first tips of the New Year will be coming on the 2nd January and let’s hope that next year is a much better one for all.

Premier League Tips: Monday 28th December

Everton VS Man City
28/12/2020 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Seven of the last nine games between the teams have seen both teams score.
Man City have won all of the last five games (three by a 3-1 scoreline).
Everton’s last win over Man City was in January 2017 when they beat City 4-0 at home.
Everton have won just 2 of the last 16 between the teams (City winning 10).

Analysis

Everton’s recent record against Manchester City makes for grim reading for Toffee’s fans. That one memorable 4-0 win at home apart, back in January 2017, City have by far the best record in recent times winning 10 of the last 16 games and often scoring a fair few goals in the process.

However, at the moment we are seeing something of a shift in fortunes for both sides. Under Carlo Ancelotti, Everton are maintaining a realistic top four bid into the Christmas period at least, coming back from a run of four defeats in five games to put three wins back-to-back against Leicester, Arsenal and Chelsea to move right back into contention.

City, who have played a game less, have not been their fluent attacking self this season and although they have improved markedly defensively, conceding just 12 goals in total, their attack has been unusually unproductive, netting just 19 goals and only seven away from home (compared to 19 by Manchester United).

As such rather than go for the City win, which the bookmakers seem to much prefer, I do feel City will score one goal here, but I think Everton will also be good for a goal too, so I am backing the draw.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £45.00
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Football Predictions: Tuesday 29th December

Southampton VS West Ham
29/12/2020 6:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Southampton have the 4th best home record in the Premier League.
West Ham have won three, drawn one and lost three of their away games in the EPL.
Just one of the last 13 games between the two teams has finished in a draw.
West Ham have won all the last 5 and 6 of the last 7 between the teams.

Analysis

A quick look at the recent stats makes positive reading for Hammers fans, who have won all the last five between these two teams and six of the last seven in all competitions. That should give David Moyes men a real boost as they head to the south coast for this battle between two of the more unexpected teams in the top ten this season.

Ralph Hassenhutl’s Saints team have generally been pretty good at home, only losing to three bigger clubs (Spurs, Man Utd and Man City) and while West Ham’s away form is not too bad (10 points collected), I feel this is a going to be one that goes down to the wire.

Draws are not usual results in this fixture with just one of the last 13 ending all-square, so the odds are on a result one way or the other and although I rate both teams almost as equals in the Premier League, regardless of what the table says, I just feel that home advantage when you have played around 48 hours beforehand is always a massive plus.

As such, I think two tired teams will probably see a few errors creep into the game and I can see both teams scoring here, but ultimately I see Southampton as coming out as the winners by a narrow 2-1 scoreline.

Prediction

Southampton to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £40.00
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Man Utd VS Wolverhampton Wanderers
29/12/2020 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

United have the 12th best home record in the EPL securing just 8 points from 7 games.
Wolves have taken 9 points from their 7 games away from home. Scoring just 6 goals.
Four of the last seven games between the teams finished in a draw.
United have won just one out of the last 7 between the two teams since Sept 2018. Analysi

Analysis

Wolves actually have a very good record against Manchester United and given United’s home form this season, I would have ordinarily fancied Wolves to perhaps take something from this game, but there is something that is stopping me doing that here.

It is not United’s improved home form which has seen them win their last two home games against West Brom and Leeds United. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men are being talked about as genuine title contenders but until they can beat a team of real quality at home, then there will always be question marks against them.

United do seem set up to play so much better away from home as their six wins from six games shows, and Wolves are a good counter-attacking side, a kind of team United have had problems with in the past, so why I am I still backing United to win?

Firstly, United have a stronger squad to cope with fixtures close together, secondly they are at home and thirdly, Wolves are missing Raul Jimenez in attack and his absence from the team is a massive blow to Wolves and one that they are struggling to cope with at the moment. Wolves will score I feel, but I think United win this game 2-1 or 3-1.

Prediction

Man Utd to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £37.50
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Football Betting Tips: Wednesday 30th December

Newcastle United VS Liverpool
30/12/2020 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Newcastle have picked up 10 points at home, ranking them 9th in the EPL for home form.
Liverpool are ranked 9th for away form also picking up 10 points on the road.
Newcastle have won one of the last 9 between the teams (2-0 in Dec 2015).
Liverpool have won 6 out the last 9, and all off the last 5 between the two.

Analysis

There’s been a few close calls for Liverpool in their last five wins here, as well as a few thumping wins for the Reds too. Last season, Liverpool won both games 3-1 and after demolishing Crystal Palace 7-0 in their last away game, Jurgen Klopp’s men should be much more confident for this trip north to St James’ Park.

Newcastle’s home form under Steve Bruce has been decent and they have picked up 10 points at home, however their lack of goals (9 in 7) has been a problem and in truth, even if they did manage to score a goal against Liverpool (as they usually do), I would expect their opponents to get at least a couple in reply.

With Allen Saint-Maximin and Jamal Lascelles both ruled out, I think they are two huge misses for Newcastle and it has affected them in recent games. Liverpool of course have plenty of injuries of their own but are starting to get some players back from them now, which is an ominous warning for the rest of the Premier League.

Newcastle will grab a consolation but I am backing Liverpool to run out 2-1 or 3-1 winners here.

Prediction

Liverpool to win & both teams to score. - £10 returns £28.80
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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